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This paper explores large sample properties of the two-parameter $(\alpha,\theta)$ Poisson--Dirichlet Process in two contexts. In a Bayesian context of estimating an unknown probability measure, viewing this process as a natural extension…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-21 Lancelot F. James

One of the main research areas in Bayesian Nonparametrics is the proposal and study of priors which generalize the Dirichlet process. Here we exploit theoretical properties of Poisson random measures in order to provide a comprehensive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Lancelot F. James , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Pruenster

Fitted probabilities from widely used Bayesian multinomial probit models can depend strongly on the choice of a base category, which is used to uniquely identify the parameters of the model. This paper proposes a novel identification…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-19 Lane F. Burgette , David Puelz , P. Richard Hahn

Bayesian analysis of data from the general linear mixed model is challenging because any nontrivial prior leads to an intractable posterior density. However, if a conditionally conjugate prior density is adopted, then there is a simple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Jorge Carlos Román , James P. Hobert

Many popular Bayesian nonparametric priors can be characterized in terms of exchangeable species sampling sequences. However, in some applications, exchangeability may not be appropriate. We introduce a {novel and probabilistically coherent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Edoardo M. Airoldi , Thiago Costa , Federico Bassetti , Fabrizio Leisen , Michele Guindani

Bayesian predictive probabilities are commonly used for interim monitoring of clinical trials through efficacy and futility stopping rules. Despite their usefulness, calculation of predictive probabilities, particularly in pre-experiment…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-18 Joe Marion , Liz Lorenzi , Cora Allen-Savietta , Scott Berry , Kert Viele

We derive an extended empirical likelihood for parameters defined by estimating equations which generalizes the original empirical likelihood for such parameters to the full parameter space. Under mild conditions, the extended empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-07 Min Tsao , Fan Wu

In the popular approach of "Bayesian variable selection" (BVS), one uses prior and posterior distributions to select a subset of candidate variables to enter the model. A completely new direction will be considered here to study BVS with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-11-03 Wenxin Jiang , Martin A. Tanner

In this paper, we detail and complete the existing characterizations of the decimation of the Ising model on $\Z^2$ in the generalized Gibbs context. We first recall a few features of the Dobrushin program of restoration of Gibbsianness and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-12 Arnaud Le Ny

We revisit the question of priors that achieve approximate matching of Bayesian and frequentist predictive probabilities. Such priors may be thought of as providing frequentist calibration of Bayesian prediction or simply as devices for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Trevor J. Sweeting

We study the relative entropy density for generalized Gibbs measures. We first show its existence and obtain a familiar expression in terms of entropy and relative energy for a class of ``almost Gibbsian measures'' (almost sure continuity…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Christof Kulske , Arnaud Le Ny , Frank Redig

By exploiting the well-known observation that size-biasing or zero-biasing an infinitely divisible random variable may be achieved by adding an independent increment, combined with tools from Stein's method for compound Poisson and Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-11 Fraser Daly

Considering a minimal number of assumptions and in the context of the timeless formalism, conditional probabilities are derived for subsequent measurements in the non-relativistic regime. Only unitary transformations are considered with…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-01-30 Martino Trassinelli

Real-world problems, often couched as machine learning applications, involve quantities of interest that have real-world meaning, independent of any statistical model. To avoid potential model misspecification bias or over-complicating the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-10 Ryan Martin , Nicholas Syring

Likelihood-free methods such as approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) have extended the reach of statistical inference to problems with computationally intractable likelihoods. Such approaches perform well for small-to-moderate dimensional…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-12 G. S. Rodrigues , D. J. Nott , S. A. Sisson

Gibbs samplers are popular algorithms to approximate posterior distributions arising from Bayesian hierarchical models. Despite their popularity and good empirical performances, however, there are still relatively few quantitative results…

Computation · Statistics 2023-10-31 Filippo Ascolani , Giacomo Zanella

Simultaneous predictive distributions for independent Poisson observables are investigated. A class of improper prior distributions for Poisson means is introduced. The Bayesian predictive distributions based on priors from the introduced…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Fumiyasu Komaki

Billingsley's theorem (1972) asserts that the Poisson--Dirichlet process is the limit, as $n \to \infty$, of the process giving the relative log sizes of the largest prime factor, the second largest, and so on, of a random integer chosen…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-09 Richard Arratia , Fred Kochman

Bayesian optimal design is a well-established approach to planning experiments. A distribution for the responses, i.e. a statistical model, is assumed which is dependent on unknown parameters. A utility function is then specified giving…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-03 Antony M. Overstall , Jacinta Holloway-Brown , James M. McGree

Approximate Bayesian computation methods are useful for generative models with intractable likelihoods. These methods are however sensitive to the dimension of the parameter space, requiring exponentially increasing resources as this…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-09 Grégoire Clarté , Christian P. Robert , Robin Ryder , Julien Stoehr