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Despite the impressive success of quantum structures to model long-standing human judgement and decision puzzles, the {\it quantum cognition research programme} still faces challenges about its explanatory power. Indeed, quantum models…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2019-04-05 Sandro Sozzo

We provide here a general mathematical framework to model attitudes towards ambiguity which uses the formalism of quantum theory as a ``purely mathematical formalism, detached from any physical interpretation''. We show that the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Sandro Sozzo

{\it Ellsberg thought experiments} and empirical confirmation of Ellsberg preferences pose serious challenges to {\it subjective expected utility theory} (SEUT). We have recently elaborated a quantum-theoretic framework for human decisions…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-20 Sandro Sozzo

One of the most complex systems is the human brain whose formalized functioning is characterized by decision theory. We present a "Quantum Decision Theory" of decision making, based on the mathematical theory of separable Hilbert spaces.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-10-29 V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette

A survey is given summarizing the state of the art of describing information processing in Quantum Decision Theory, which has been recently advanced as a novel variant of decision making, based on the mathematical theory of separable…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-13 V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette

Empirical evidence has confirmed that quantum effects occur frequently also outside the microscopic domain, while quantum structures satisfactorily model various situations in several areas of science, including biological, cognitive and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-12-31 Diederik Aerts , Sandro Sozzo , Jocelyn Tapia

The 'expected utility hypothesis' and 'Savage's Sure-Thing Principle' are violated in real life decisions, as shown by the 'Allais' and 'Ellsberg paradoxes'. The popular explanation in terms of 'ambiguity aversion' is not completely…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-01-07 Diederik Aerts , Sandro Sozzo

We present a novel variant of decision making based on the mathematical theory of separable Hilbert spaces. This mathematical structure captures the effect of superposition of composite prospects, including many incorporated intentions,…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2011-03-07 V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette

The 'expected utility hypothesis' is one of the foundations of classical approaches to economics and decision theory and Savage's 'Sure-Thing Principle' is a fundamental element of it. It has been put forward that real-life situations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-03-28 Diederik Aerts , Bart D'Hooghe , Sandro Sozzo

The Machina thought experiments pose to major non-expected utility models challenges that are similar to those posed by the Ellsberg thought experiments to subjective expected utility theory (SEUT). We test human choices in the `Ellsberg…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-09 Diederik Aerts , Suzette Geriente , Catarina Moreira , Sandro Sozzo

This paper provides the foundations of a unified cognitive decision-making framework (QulBIT) which is derived from quantum theory. The main advantage of this framework is that it can cater for paradoxical and irrational human decision…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-30 Catarina Moreira , Matheus Hammes , Rasim Serdar Kurdoglu , Peter Bruza

The Ellsberg and Machina paradoxes reveal that expected utility theory is problematical when real subjects take decisions under uncertainty. Suitable generalizations of expected utility exist which attempt to solve the Ellsberg paradox, but…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-01-08 Diederik Aerts , Sandro Sozzo , Jocelyn Tapia

The applications of techniques from statistical (and classical) mechanics to model interesting problems in economics and finance has produced valuable results. The principal movement which has steered this research direction is known under…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-23 Emmanuel Haven , Sandro Sozzo

Ambiguity and ambiguity aversion have been widely studied in decision theory and economics both at a theoretical and an experimental level. After Ellsberg's seminal studies challenging subjective expected utility theory (SEUT), several…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-03-20 Diederik Aerts , Sandro Sozzo

Quantum decision theory (QDT) is a recently developed theory of decision making based on the mathematics of Hilbert spaces, a framework known in physics for its application to quantum mechanics. This framework formalizes the concept of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-28 M. Favre , A. Wittwer , H. R. Heinimann , V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette

The 1961 Ellsberg paradox is typically seen as an empirical challenge to the subjective expected utility framework. Experiments based on Ellsberg's design have spawned a variety of new approaches, culminating in a new paradigm represented…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-01-10 Christoph Kuzmics , Brian W. Rogers , Xiannong Zhang

In this paper, we introduce a new model of selection behavior under risk that describes an essential cognitive process for comparing values of objects and making a selection decision. This model is constructed by the quantum-like approach…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-18 Masanari Asano , Irina Basieva , Andrei Khrennikov , Masanori Ohya , Yoshiharu Tanaka

The formalism of quantum theory in Hilbert space has been applied with success to the modeling and explanation of several cognitive phenomena, whereas traditional cognitive approaches were problematical. However, this 'quantum cognition…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-12 Diederik Aerts , Lyneth Beltran , Massimiliano Sassoli de Bianchi , Sandro Sozzo , Tomas Veloz

An approach is presented treating decision theory as a probabilistic theory based on quantum techniques. Accurate definitions are given and thorough analysis is accomplished for the quantum probabilities describing the choice between…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-06-06 V. I. Yukalov

The Allais and Ellsberg paradoxes show that the expected utility hypothesis and Savage's Sure-Thing Principle are violated in real life decisions. The popular explanation in terms of 'ambiguity aversion' is not completely accepted. On the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-01-08 Diederik Aerts , Sandro Sozzo
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