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Understanding the decisions of tree-based ensembles and their relationships is pivotal for machine learning model interpretation. Recent attempts to mitigate the human-in-the-loop interpretation challenge have explored the extraction of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-05 Leonardo Arrighi , Luca Pennella , Gabriel Marques Tavares , Sylvio Barbon Junior

Ensemble models are powerful model building tools that are developed with a focus to improve the accuracy of model predictions. They find applications in time series forecasting in varied scenarios including but not limited to process…

The regsem package in R, an implementation of regularized structural equation modeling (RegSEM; Jacobucci, Grimm, and McArdle 2016), was recently developed with the goal of incorporating various forms of penalized likelihood estimation in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-11 Ross Jacobucci

In this manuscript, we propose a federated F-score based ensemble tree model for automatic rule extraction, namely Fed-FEARE. Under the premise of data privacy protection, Fed-FEARE enables multiple agencies to jointly extract set of rules…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-20 Kun Li , Fanglan Zheng , Jiang Tian , Xiaojia Xiang

Despite their remarkable effectiveness and broad application, the drivers of success underlying ensembles of trees are still not fully understood. In this paper, we highlight how interpreting tree ensembles as adaptive and self-regularizing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-05 Alicia Curth , Alan Jeffares , Mihaela van der Schaar

We propose an approach to estimate the number of samples required for a model to reach a target performance. We find that the power law, the de facto principle to estimate model performance, leads to large error when using a small dataset…

Ensembles improve prediction performance and allow uncertainty quantification by aggregating predictions from multiple models. In deep ensembling, the individual models are usually black box neural networks, or recently, partially…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-26 Lucas Kook , Andrea Götschi , Philipp FM Baumann , Torsten Hothorn , Beate Sick

In this paper, I explored how a range of regression and machine learning techniques can be applied to monthly U.S. unemployment data to produce timely forecasts. I compared seven models: Linear Regression, SGDRegressor, Random Forest,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Kyungsu Kim

Set prediction is about learning to predict a collection of unordered variables with unknown interrelations. Training such models with set losses imposes the structure of a metric space over sets. We focus on stochastic and underdefined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 David W. Zhang , Gertjan J. Burghouts , Cees G. M. Snoek

The perspective of developing trustworthy AI for critical applications in science and engineering requires machine learning techniques that are capable of estimating their own uncertainty. In the context of regression, instead of estimating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Quentin Duchemin , Guillaume Obozinski

This article explains the usage of R package CausalModels, which is publicly available on the Comprehensive R Archive Network. While packages are available for sufficiently estimating causal effects, there lacks a package that provides a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-19 Joshua Wolff Anderson , Cyril Rakovski

Decision trees and their ensembles are very popular models of supervised machine learning. In this paper we merge the ideas underlying decision trees, their ensembles and FCA by proposing a new supervised machine learning model which can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Egor Dudyrev , Sergei O. Kuznetsov

In two-way contingency tables under an asymmetric situation, where the row and column variables are defined as explanatory and response variables, respectively, quantifying the extent to which the explanatory variable contributes to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Wataru Urasaki , Kouji Tahata , Sadao Tomizawa

varstan is an \proglang{R} package for Bayesian analysis of time series models using \proglang{Stan}. The package offers a dynamic way to choose a model, define priors in a wide range of distributions, check model's fit, and forecast with…

Computation · Statistics 2020-05-22 Izhar Asael Alonzo Matamoros , Cristian Andres Cruz Torres

Package spar for R builds ensembles of predictive generalized linear models with high-dimensional predictors. It employs an algorithm utilizing variable screening and random projection tools to efficiently handle the computational…

Computation · Statistics 2024-11-28 Roman Parzer , Laura Vana-Gür , Peter Filzmoser

Ensemble learning is a mainstay in modern data science practice. Conventional ensemble algorithms assigns to base models a set of deterministic, constant model weights that (1) do not fully account for variations in base model accuracy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-20 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , John Paisley , Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou , Brent A. Coull

A compositional tree refers to a tree structure on a set of random variables where each random variable is a node and composition occurs at each non-leaf node of the tree. As a generalization of compositional data, compositional trees…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-20 Bingkai Wang , Brian S. Caffo , Xi Luo , Chin-Fu Liu , Andreia V. Faria , Michael I. Miller , Yi Zhao

Deep neural networks are behind many of the recent successes in machine learning applications. However, these models can produce overconfident decisions while encountering out-of-distribution (OOD) examples or making a wrong prediction.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-24 Navid Kardan , Ankit Sharma , Kenneth O. Stanley

There has been a great deal of recent interest in the development of spatial prediction algorithms for very large datasets and/or prediction domains. These methods have primarily been developed in the spatial statistics community, but there…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-10 Ranadeep Daw , Christopher K. Wikle

Kernel density estimation is a widely used nonparametric approach to estimate an unknown distribution. Recent work in Bayesian predictive inference has considered stochastic processes formed by specifying the predictive distribution for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Torey Hilbert