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Extreme values are considered in samples with random size that has a mixed Poisson distribution being generated by a doubly stochastic Poisson process. We prove some inequalities providing bounds on the rate of convergence in limit theorems…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-02 Victor Korolev , Igor Sokolov , Andrey Gorshenin

Any limiting point process for the time normalized exceedances of high levels by a stationary sequence is necessarily compound Poisson under appropriate long range dependence conditions. Typically exceedances appear in clusters. The…

Applications · Statistics 2009-03-03 Christian Y. Robert

We study stochastic particle systems that conserve the particle density and exhibit a condensation transition due to particle interactions. We restrict our analysis to spatially homogeneous systems on finite lattices with stationary product…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-05-09 Thomas Rafferty , Paul Chleboun , Stefan Grosskinsky

We re-consider Leadbetter's extremal index for stationary sequences. It has interpretation as reciprocal of the expected size of an extremal cluster above high thresholds. We focus on heavy-tailed time series, in particular on regularly…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-10 Gloria Buriticá , Meyer Nicolas , Thomas Mikosch , Olivier Wintenberger

We introduce and analyse a class of fragmentation-coalescence processes defined on finite systems of particles organised into clusters. Coalescent events merge multiple clusters simultaneously to form a single larger cluster, while…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-31 Andreas E. Kyprianou , Steven W. Pagett , Tim Rogers

We consider a stationary stochastic volatility field $Y_vZ_v$ with $v\in\mathbb{Z}^d$, where $Z$ is regularly varying and $Y$ has lighter tails and is independent of $Z$. We make - relative to existing literature - very general assumptions…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-25 Mads Stehr , Anders Rønn-Nielsen

We survey an area of recent development, relating dynamics to theoretical computer science. We discuss the theoretical limits of simulation and computation of interesting quantities in dynamical systems. We will focus on central objects of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-04-15 Stefano Galatolo , Mathieu Hoyrup , Cristóbal Rojas

We investigate the limiting behavior of discrete determinantal point processes (DPPs) towards continuous DPPs when the size of the set to sample from goes to infinity. We propose a non-asymptotic characterization of this limit in terms of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Hugo Jaquard , Nicolas Keriven

We analyze the convergence rate of various momentum-based optimization algorithms from a dynamical systems point of view. Our analysis exploits fundamental topological properties, such as the continuous dependence of iterates on their…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Michael Muehlebach , Michael I. Jordan

In multivariate or spatial extremes, inference for max-stable processes observed at a large collection of locations is among the most challenging problems in computational statistics, and current approaches typically rely on less expensive…

Computation · Statistics 2015-08-20 Stefano Castruccio , Raphaël Huser , Marc Genton

We study coarsening phenomena in three different simple exclusion processes with quenched disordered jump rates. In the case of the totally asymmetric process, an earlier phenomenological description is improved, yielding for the time…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-05 R. Juhász , G. Ódor

In numerous papers, the behaviour of stochastic population models is investigated through the sign of a real quantity which is the growth rate of the population near the extinction set. In many cases, it is proven that when this growth rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-06 Dang H. Nguyen , Edouard Strickler

We first establish strong convergence rates for multiscale systems driven by $\alpha$-stable processes, with analyses constructed in two distinct scaling regimes. When addressing weak convergence rates of this system, we derive four…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Kun Yin

When there is no independence, abnormal observations may have a tendency to appear in clusters instead of scattered along the time frame. Identifying clusters and estimating their size are important problems arising in statistics of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-08 Miguel Abadi , Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas

The occurrence of some extreme events (such as marine heatwaves or exceptional circulations) can cause other extreme events (such as heatwave, drought and flood). These concurrent extreme events have a great impact on environment and human…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-08 Siyang Yu , Yu Huang , Zuntao Fu

Within the field of process mining, several different trace clustering approaches exist for partitioning traces or process instances into similar groups. Typically, this partitioning is based on certain patterns or similarity between the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-18 Pieter De Koninck , Klaas Nelissen , Seppe vanden Broucke , Bart Baesens , Monique Snoeck , Jochen De Weerdt

A blocks method is used to define clusters of extreme values in stationary time series. The cluster starts at the first large value in the block and ends at the last one. The block cluster measure (the point measure at clusters) encodes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-01 Zaoli Chen , Rafal Kulik

The emergence of clustering and coarsening in crowded ensembles of self-propelled agents is studied using a lattice model in one-dimension. The persistent exclusion process, where particles move at directions that change randomly at a low…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-24 Nestor Sepulveda , Rodrigo Soto

Temporal data, obtained in the setting where it is only possible to observe one time point per experiment, is widely used in different research fields, yet remains insufficiently addressed from the statistical point of view. Such data often…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-10 Polina Arsenteva , Mohamed Amine Benadjaoud , Hervé Cardot

We study the problem of clustering sequences of unlabeled point sets taken from a common metric space. Such scenarios arise naturally in applications where a system or process is observed in distinct time intervals, such as biological…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-10-17 Tamal K. Dey , Alfred Rossi , Anastasios Sidiropoulos
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