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Several years ago, it was proposed that the usual solutions of the Yang-Baxter equation associated to Lie groups can be deduced in a systematic way from four-dimensional gauge theory. In the present paper, we extend this picture, fill in…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2019-04-23 Kevin Costello , Edward Witten , Masahito Yamazaki

Ensembles of neural networks (NNs) have long been used to estimate predictive uncertainty; a small number of NNs are trained from different initialisations and sometimes on differing versions of the dataset. The variance of the ensemble's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-30 Tim Pearce , Mohamed Zaki , Andy Neely

This paper is devoted to proving a general invariant representation theorem for generators of general time interval backward stochastic differential equations, where the generator $g$ has a quadratic growth in the unknown variable $z$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-12 Guangshuo Zhou , Fengjiao Du , Shengjun Fan

The unseen-species problem assumes $n\geq1$ samples from a population of individuals belonging to different species, possibly infinite, and calls for estimating the number $K_{n,m}$ of hitherto unseen species that would be observed if…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-28 Claudia Contardi , Emanuele Dolera , Stefano Favaro

Given a conformally variational scalar Riemannian invariant $I$, we identify a sufficient condition for a compact Riemannian manifold to admit finite regular coverings with many nonhomothetic conformal rescalings with $I$ constant. We also…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2025-10-08 João Henrique Andrade , Jeffrey S. Case , Paolo Piccione , Juncheng Wei

Principal component regression uses principal components as regressors. It is particularly useful in prediction settings with high-dimensional covariates. The existing literature treating of Bayesian approaches is relatively sparse. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-28 Philippe Gagnon , Mylène Bédard , Alain Desgagné

We consider robust covariance estimation with group symmetry constraints. Non-Gaussian covariance estimation, e.g., Tyler scatter estimator and Multivariate Generalized Gaussian distribution methods, usually involve non-convex minimization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-06-19 Ilya Soloveychik , Ami Wiesel

The main features of the statistical approach to inverse problems are described on the example of a linear model with additive noise. The approach does not use any Bayesian hypothesis regarding an unknown object; instead, the standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-05 V. Yu. Terebizh

In the estimation of the mean matrix in a multivariate normal distribution, the generalized Bayes estimators with closed forms are provided, and the sufficient conditions for their minimaxity are derived relative to both matrix and scalar…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-16 Ryota Yuasa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Uncertainty quantification is essential when dealing with ill-conditioned inverse problems due to the inherent nonuniqueness of the solution. Bayesian approaches allow us to determine how likely an estimation of the unknown parameters is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-16 Ali Siahkoohi , Gabrio Rizzuti , Felix J. Herrmann

The Bayesian Conjugate Gradient method (BayesCG) is a probabilistic generalization of the Conjugate Gradient method (CG) for solving linear systems with real symmetric positive definite coefficient matrices. Our CG-based implementation of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-04 Tim W. Reid , Ilse C. F. Ipsen , Jon Cockayne , Chris J. Oates

The Bayesian approach to inverse problems is widely used in practice to infer unknown parameters from noisy observations. In this framework, the ensemble Kalman inversion has been successfully applied for the quantification of uncertainties…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-15 Neil K. Chada , Claudia Schillings , Simon Weissmann

We investigate the asymptotic behavior of parametric Bayes estimators under a broad class of loss functions that extend beyond the classical translation-invariant setting. To this end, we develop a unified theoretical framework for loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Robin Requadt , Housen Li , Axel Munk

In a Bayesian setting, inverse problems and uncertainty quantification (UQ) --- the propagation of uncertainty through a computational (forward) model --- are strongly connected. In the form of conditional expectation the Bayesian update…

We propose a unified, yet simple to code, non-conjugate variational Bayes algorithm for posterior approximation of generic Bayesian generalized mixed effect models. Specifically, we consider regression models identified by a linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Cristian Castiglione , Mauro Bernardi

Raking is widely used in categorical data modeling and survey practice but faced with methodological and computational challenges. We develop a Bayesian paradigm for raking by incorporating the marginal constraints as a prior distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-24 Yajuan Si , Peigen Zhou

Bayesian statistics is an integral part of contemporary applied science. bayesics provides a single framework, unified in syntax and output, for performing the most commonly used statistical procedures, ranging from one- and two-sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-18 Daniel K. Sewell , Alan T. Arakkal

In this article, we study Bayesian inverse problems with multi-layered Gaussian priors. We first describe the conditionally Gaussian layers in terms of a system of stochastic partial differential equations. We build the computational…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-30 Muhammad Emzir , Sari Lasanen , Zenith Purisha , Lassi Roininen , Simo Särkkä

Bayesian quadrature (BQ) is a model-based numerical integration method that is able to increase sample efficiency by encoding and leveraging known structure of the integration task at hand. In this paper, we explore priors that encode…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-06 Masha Naslidnyk , Javier Gonzalez , Maren Mahsereci

Generalised Bayesian inference updates prior beliefs using a loss function, rather than a likelihood, and can therefore be used to confer robustness against possible mis-specification of the likelihood. Here we consider generalised Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-12 Takuo Matsubara , Jeremias Knoblauch , François-Xavier Briol , Chris. J. Oates
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