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We study linear chance-constrained problems where the coefficients follow a Gaussian mixture distribution. We provide mixed-binary quadratic programs that give inner and outer approximations of the chance constraint based on piecewise…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Shibshankar Dey , Sanjay Mehrotra , Anirudh Subramanyam

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithms which combine numerical approximation of Hamiltonian dynamics on finite intervals with stochastic refreshment and Metropolis correction are popular sampling schemes, but it is known that they may…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-16 Peter A. Whalley , Daniel Paulin , Benedict Leimkuhler

We consider Metropolis Hastings MCMC in cases where the log of the ratio of target distributions is replaced by an estimator. The estimator is based on m samples from an independent online Monte Carlo simulation. Under some conditions on…

Computation · Statistics 2012-06-01 Geoff K. Nicholls , Colin Fox , Alexis Muir Watt

We study the approximation of $\mathbb{E}f(X_T)$ by a Monte Carlo algorithm, where $X$ is the solution of a stochastic differential equation and $f$ is a given function. We introduce a new variance reduction method, which can be viewed as a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ahmed Kebaier

Computation of the marginal likelihood from a simulated posterior distribution is central to Bayesian model selection but is computationally difficult. I argue that the marginal likelihood can be reliably computed from a posterior sample by…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2010-06-24 Martin D. Weinberg

This paper addresses the issue of estimating the expectation of a real-valued random variable of the form $X = g(\mathbf{U})$ where $g$ is a deterministic function and $\mathbf{U}$ can be a random finite- or infinite-dimensional vector.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-09-10 Clément Walter

Regularized linear regression under the $\ell_1$ penalty, such as the Lasso, has been shown to be effective in variable selection and sparse modeling. The sampling distribution of an $\ell_1$-penalized estimator $\hat{\beta}$ is hard to…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-24 Qing Zhou

The standard Kernel Quadrature method for numerical integration with random point sets (also called Bayesian Monte Carlo) is known to converge in root mean square error at a rate determined by the ratio $s/d$, where $s$ and $d$ encode the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-01 Francois-Xavier Briol , Chris J. Oates , Jon Cockayne , Wilson Ye Chen , Mark Girolami

We analyze a stochastic approximation algorithm for decision-dependent problems, wherein the data distribution used by the algorithm evolves along the iterate sequence. The primary examples of such problems appear in performative prediction…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Joshua Cutler , Mateo Díaz , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy

We introduce a simple general method for finding the equilibrium distribution for a class of widely used inexact Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms. The explicit error due to the non-commutivity of the updating operators when numerically…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2008-11-26 M. A. Clark , A. D. Kennedy

We present bounds for the finite sample error of sequential Monte Carlo samplers on static spaces. Our approach explicitly relates the performance of the algorithm to properties of the chosen sequence of distributions and mixing properties…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-19 Joe Marion , Joseph Mathews , Scott C. Schmidler

We prove lower bounds for the randomized approximation of the embedding $\ell_1^m \rightarrow \ell_\infty^m$ based on algorithms that use arbitrary linear (hence non-adaptive) information provided by a (randomized) measurement matrix $N \in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Robert Kunsch , Erich Novak , Marcin Wnuk

Consider a central problem in randomized approximation schemes that use a Monte Carlo approach. Given a sequence of independent, identically distributed random variables $X_1,X_2,\ldots$ with mean $\mu$ and standard deviation at most $c…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-18 Mark Huber

We present a new approach to sample from generic binary distributions, based on an exact Hamiltonian Monte Carlo algorithm applied to a piecewise continuous augmentation of the binary distribution of interest. An extension of this idea to…

Computation · Statistics 2015-10-13 Ari Pakman , Liam Paninski

Randomized parallel algorithms for many fundamental problems achieve optimal linear work in expectation, but upgrading this guarantee to hold with high probability (whp) remains a recurring theoretical challenge. In this paper, we address…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Chase Hutton , Adam Melrod

We propose a new randomized algorithm for solving L2-regularized least-squares problems based on sketching. We consider two of the most popular random embeddings, namely, Gaussian embeddings and the Subsampled Randomized Hadamard Transform…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-26 Jonathan Lacotte , Mert Pilanci

For a probability measure on a real separable Hilbert space, we are interested in "volume-based" approximations of the d-dimensional least squares error of it, i.e., least squares error with respect to a best fit d-dimensional affine…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2012-10-08 Gilad Lerman , J. Tyler Whitehouse

We consider the numerical approximation of $\mathbb{P}[G\in \Omega]$ where the $d$-dimensional random variable $G$ cannot be sampled directly, but there is a hierarchy of increasingly accurate approximations $\{G_\ell\}_{\ell\in\mathbb{N}}$…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-21 Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Jonathan Spence , Aretha Teckentrup

We investigate regularized algorithms combining with projection for least-squares regression problem over a Hilbert space, covering nonparametric regression over a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. We prove convergence results with respect…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-09 Junhong Lin , Volkan Cevher

We give algorithms for estimating the expectation of a given real-valued function $\phi:X\to {\bf R}$ on a sample drawn randomly from some unknown distribution $D$ over domain $X$, namely ${\bf E}_{{\bf x}\sim D}[\phi({\bf x})]$. Our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-29 Vitaly Feldman