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This paper presents a general approach to linear stochastic processes driven by various random noises. Mathematically, such processes are described by linear stochastic differential equations of arbitrary order (the simplest non-trivial…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 Alon Drory

Metastability is a phenomenon observed in stochastic systems which stay in a false-equilibrium within a region of its state space until the occurrence of a sequence of rare events that leads to an abrupt transition to a different region.…

General Economics · Economics 2023-12-18 Diego Marcondes , Adilson Simonis

Stochastic differential games are considered in a non-Markovian setting. Typically, in stochastic differential games the modulating process of the diffusion equation describing the state flow is taken to be Markovian. Then Nash equilibria…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Erhan Bayraktar , H. Vincent Poor

Quantum theory is used to model secondary financial markets. Contrary to stochastic descriptions, the formalism emphasizes the importance of trading in determining the value of a security. All possible realizations of investors holding…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-07 Martin Schaden

The data-driven modeling of dynamical systems has become an essential tool for the construction of accurate computational models from real-world data. In this process, the inherent differential structures underlying the considered physical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-04 Michael S. Ackermann , Ion Victor Gosea , Serkan Gugercin , Steffen W. R. Werner

We introduce a stochastic price model where, together with a random component, a moving average of logarithmic prices contributes to the price formation. Our model is tested against financial datasets, showing an extremely good agreement…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 R. Baviera , M. Pasquini , J. Raboanary , M. Serva

An important class of spatio-temporal models is constructed by leveraging the hierarchical structure of dynamical (or, state-space) models. This paper proposes a new statistical dynamical model for spatio-temporal processes motivated by…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Yutong Zhang , Xiao Liu

This paper provides a new unified framework for second-moment stability of discrete-time linear systems with stochastic dynamics. Relations of notions of second-moment stability are studied for the systems with general stochastic dynamics,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-04 Yohei Hosoe , Tomomichi Hagiwara

Far-from-equilibrium models of interacting particles in one dimension are used as a basis for modelling the stock-market fluctuations. Particle types and their positions are interpreted as buy and sell orders placed on a price axis in the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-17 Frantisek Slanina

In this paper, we present the possibility of using the Ising like models to explain by Statistical Physics means the connection between the financial discontinuities (herd behavior, bubbles, crashes) and "critical points" in physical of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Dorina Andru Vangheli , Gheorghe Ardelean

This paper deals with the alternative mathematical modeling of the two-side platform. Two-sided platforms are specific multi-sided platforms that bring together two distinct groups of a model. The stochastic modeling by adapting various…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-29 Song-Kyoo Kim

There are multiple ways in which a stochastic system can be out of statistical equilibrium. It might be subject to time-varying forcing; or be in a transient phase on its way towards equilibrium; it might even be in equilibrium without us…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-07-08 Péter Koltai , Hao Wu , Frank Noé , Christof Schütte

A central problem of Quantitative Finance is that of formulating a probabilistic model of the time evolution of asset prices allowing reliable predictions on their future volatility. As in several natural phenomena, the predictions of such…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-25 Fulvio Baldovin , Dario Bovina , Francesco Camana , Attilio L. Stella

In this paper we provide a comprehensive analysis of a structural model for the dynamics of prices of assets traded in a market originally proposed in [1]. The model takes the form of an interacting generalization of the geometric Brownian…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-06 Kartik Anand , Jonathan Khedair , Reimer Kuehn

We consider systems with memory represented by stochastic functional differential equations. Substantially, these are stochastic differential equations with coefficients depending on the past history of the process itself. Such coefficients…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-24 David R. Baños , Giulia Di Nunno , Hannes Haferkorn , Frank Proske

In this paper, we propose a minimal model beyond geometric Brownian motion that aims to describe price actions with market inefficiency. From simple financial theory considerations, we arrive at a simple two-variable hidden Markovian time…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-09 Kuang-Ting Chen

In both finance and economics, quantitative models are usually studied as isolated mathematical objects --- most often defined by very strong simplifying assumptions concerning rationality, efficiency and the existence of disequilibrium…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-10-04 Harbir Lamba

Financial markets are prominent examples for highly non-stationary systems. Sample averaged observables such as variances and correlation coefficients strongly depend on the time window in which they are evaluated. This implies severe…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-15 Thilo A. Schmitt , Desislava Chetalova , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr

Financial markets have long since been modeled using stochastic methods such as Brownian motion, and more recently, rough volatility models have been built using fractional Brownian motion. This fractional aspect brings memory into the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-01 Patrick Geraghty

In the over-the-counter market in derivatives, we sometimes see large numbers of traders taking the same position and risk. When there is this kind of concentration in the market, the position impacts the pricings of all other derivatives…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-05 Jun Maeda , Saul D. Jacka