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This paper develops a unified estimation framework, the Maximum Ideal Likelihood Estimation (MILE), for general parametric models with latent variables. Unlike traditional approaches relying on the marginal likelihood of the observed data,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-08 Yizhou Cai , Ting Fung Ma

Estimating income distributions plays an important role in the measurement of inequality and poverty over space. The existing literature on income distributions predominantly focuses on estimating an income distribution for a country or a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-04 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Genya Kobayashi , Yuki Kawakubo

This paper proposes asymptotically distribution-free inference methods for comparing a broad range of welfare indices across dependent samples, including those employed in inequality, poverty, and risk analysis. Two distinct situations are…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-29 Jean-Marie Dufour , Tianyu He

This paper proposes three novel test procedures that yield valid inference in an environment with many weak instrumental variables (MWIV). It is observed that the t statistic of the jackknife instrumental variable estimator (JIVE) has an…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-28 Luther Yap

This paper is an attempt to set a justification for making use of some dicrepancy indexes, starting from the classical Maximum Likelihood definition, and adapting the corresponding basic principle of inference to situations where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-24 Michel Broniatowski

This article investigates uncertainty quantification of the generalized linear lasso~(GLL), a popular variable selection method in high-dimensional regression settings. In many fields of study, researchers use data-driven methods to select…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-11 Quentin Duchemin , Yohann de Castro

Public-use survey data are an important source of information for researchers in social science and health studies to build statistical models and make inferences on the target finite population. This paper presents two general inferential…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-26 Puying Zhao , J. N. K. Rao , Changbao Wu

Ensemble learning is widely used in applications to make predictions in complex decision problems---for example, averaging models fitted to a sequence of samples bootstrapped from the available training data. While such methods offer more…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-13 Byol Kim , Chen Xu , Rina Foygel Barber

We develop a general framework for distribution-free predictive inference in regression, using conformal inference. The proposed methodology allows for the construction of a prediction band for the response variable using any estimator of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-09 Jing Lei , Max G'Sell , Alessandro Rinaldo , Ryan J. Tibshirani , Larry Wasserman

Using tax and census data, we demonstrate that the distribution of individual income in the USA is exponential. Our calculated Lorenz curve without fitting parameters and Gini coefficient 1/2 agree well with the data. From the individual…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-02-25 Adrian Dragulescu , Victor M. Yakovenko

In this paper, we derive a general representation for the expectation of the Gini coefficient estimator in terms of the Laplace transform of the underlying distribution, together with the mean and the Gini coefficient of its exponentially…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Roberto Vila , Helton Saulo

We develop an empirical Bayes (EB) G-modeling framework for short-panel linear models with nonparametric prior for the random intercepts, slopes, dynamics, and non-spherical error variances. We establish identification and consistency of…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-13 Myunghyun Song , Sokbae Lee , Serena Ng

Comparison of appropriate models to describe observational data is a fundamental task of science. The Bayesian model evidence, or marginal likelihood, is a computationally challenging, yet crucial, quantity to estimate to perform Bayesian…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-11-10 A. Spurio Mancini , M. M. Docherty , M. A. Price , J. D. McEwen

Representational distinctions within categories are important in all perceptual modalities and also in cognitive and motor representations. Recent pattern-information studies of brain activity have used condition-rich designs to sample the…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-20 Hamed Nili , Alexander Walther , Arjen Alink , Nikolaus Kriegeskorte

This paper develops several interesting, significant, and interconnected approaches to nonparametric or semi-parametric statistical inferences. The overwhelmingly favoured maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) under parametric model is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-30 Haodi Liang , Jiahua Chen

Introductory texts on statistics typically only cover the classical "two sigma" confidence interval for the mean value and do not describe methods to obtain confidence intervals for other estimators. The present technical report fills this…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-11 Christoph Dalitz

Ordinary least square (OLS), maximum likelihood (ML) and robust methods are the widely used methods to estimate the parameters of a linear regression model. It is well known that these methods perform well under some distributional…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-01-29 Şenay Özdemir , Olcay Arslan

Prediction intervals in supervised Machine Learning bound the region where the true outputs of new samples may fall. They are necessary in the task of separating reliable predictions of a trained model from near random guesses, minimizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-20 Anton Akusok , Yoan Miche , Kaj-Mikael Björk , Amaury Lendasse

We utilise a sampler originating from nonequilibrium statistical mechanics, termed here Jarzynski-adjusted Langevin algorithm (JALA), to build statistical estimation methods in latent variable models. We achieve this by leveraging…

Computation · Statistics 2025-10-27 James Cuin , Davide Carbone , O. Deniz Akyildiz

This paper studies a class of rank-based inequality measures built from linear combinations of expected order statistics. The proposed framework unifies several well-known indices, including the classical Gini coefficient, the $m$th Gini…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Roberto Vila , Helton Saulo