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Logistic Regression and Support Vector Machine algorithms, together with Linear and Non-Linear Deep Neural Networks, are applied to lending data in order to replicate lender acceptance of loans and predict the likelihood of default of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-04 Jeremy D. Turiel , Tomaso Aste

We develop a model to predict consumer default based on deep learning. We show that the model consistently outperforms standard credit scoring models, even though it uses the same data. Our model is interpretable and is able to provide a…

General Economics · Economics 2019-10-07 Stefania Albanesi , Domonkos F. Vamossy

Stroke remains one of the most critical global health challenges, ranking as the second leading cause of death and the third leading cause of disability worldwide. This study explores the effectiveness of machine learning algorithms in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-16 Anastasija Tashkova , Stefan Eftimov , Bojan Ristov , Slobodan Kalajdziski

Credit Scoring is one of the problems banks and financial institutions have to solve on a daily basis. If the state-of-the-art research in Machine and Deep Learning for finance has reached interesting results about Credit Scoring models,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-31 Abdollah Rida

Credit scoring is an essential tool used by global financial institutions and credit lenders for financial decision making. In this paper, we introduce a new method based on Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) to forecast the probability of…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-17 Hamidreza Arian , Seyed Mohammad Sina Seyfi , Azin Sharifi

This paper examines two different yet related questions related to explainable AI (XAI) practices. Machine learning (ML) is increasingly important in financial services, such as pre-approval, credit underwriting, investments, and various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Swati Tyagi

We build a 167-indicator comprehensive credit risk indicator set, integrating macro, corporate financial, bond-specific indicators, and for the first time, 30 large-scale corporate non-financial indicators. We use seven machine learning…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-24 Yanran Wu , Xinlei Zhang , Quanyi Xu , Qianxin Yang , Chao Zhang

Machine learning plays an essential role in preventing financial losses in the banking industry. Perhaps the most pertinent prediction task that can result in billions of dollars in losses each year is the assessment of credit risk (i.e.,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-01 Jillian M. Clements , Di Xu , Nooshin Yousefi , Dmitry Efimov

Since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), the use of stress tests as a tool for assessing the resilience of financial institutions to adverse financial and economic developments has increased significantly. One key part in such exercises is…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-08 Martin Guth

Compared to consumer lending, Micro, Small and Medium Enterprise (mSME) credit risk modelling is particularly challenging, as, often, the same sources of information are not available. Therefore, it is standard policy for a loan officer to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-09 Matthew Stevenson , Christophe Mues , Cristián Bravo

This paper takes a deep learning approach to understand consumer credit risk when e-commerce platforms issue unsecured credit to finance customers' purchase. The "NeuCredit" model can capture both serial dependences in multi-dimensional…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-06 Di Wang , Qi Wu , Wen Zhang

Machine Learning (ML) models are being increasingly employed for credit risk evaluation, with their effectiveness largely hinging on the quality of the input data. In this paper we investigate the impact of several data quality issues,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Andrea Maurino

Credit card fraud detection remains a critical challenge in financial security, with machine learning models like XGBoost(eXtreme gradient boosting) emerging as powerful tools for identifying fraudulent transactions. However, the inherent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Siyaxolisa Kabane

The forecasting of the credit default risk has been an important research field for several decades. Traditionally, logistic regression has been widely recognized as a solution due to its accuracy and interpretability. As a recent trend,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-22 Dangxing Chen , Weicheng Ye , Jiahui Ye

This paper introduces a credit risk rating model for credit risk assessment in quantitative finance, aiming to categorize borrowers based on their behavioral data. The model is trained on data from Experian, a widely recognized credit…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-19 O. Didkovskyi , N. Jean , G. Le Pera , C. Nordio

Algorithms are increasingly common components of high-impact decision-making, and a growing body of literature on adversarial examples in laboratory settings indicates that standard machine learning models are not robust. This suggests that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-28 Suproteem K. Sarkar , Kojin Oshiba , Daniel Giebisch , Yaron Singer

Credit default poses significant challenges to financial institutions and consumers, resulting in substantial financial losses and diminished trust. As such, credit default risk management has been a critical topic in the financial…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Yuanhong Wu , Jingyan Xu , Wei Ye , Christina Schweikert , D. Frank Hsu

Whereas traditional credit scoring tends to employ only individual borrower- or loan-level predictors, it has been acknowledged for some time that connections between borrowers may result in default risk propagating over a network. In this…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-26 Sahab Zandi , Kamesh Korangi , María Óskarsdóttir , Christophe Mues , Cristián Bravo

Accurate prediction of future loan defaults is a critical capability for financial institutions that provide lines of credit. For institutions that issue and manage extensive loan volumes, even a slight improvement in default prediction…

Machine learning models are increasingly used in a wide variety of financial settings. The difficulty of understanding the inner workings of these systems, combined with their wide applicability, has the potential to lead to significant new…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-10 Samuel N. Cohen , Derek Snow , Lukasz Szpruch