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The interpretation of coefficients from multivariate linear regression relies on the assumption that the conditional expectation function is linear in the variables. However, in many cases the underlying data generating process is…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-16 Nadav Kunievsky

This paper develops a more general theory of sequences of dependent categorical random variables, extending the works of Korzeniowski (2013) and Traylor (2017) that studied first-kind dependency in sequences of Bernoulli and categorical…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-11 Rachel Traylor , Jason Hathcock

Testing the independence between random vectors is a fundamental problem in statistics. Distance correlation, a recently popular dependence measure, is universally consistent for testing independence against all distributions with finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-22 Yuwei Ke , Hok Kan Ling , Yanglei Song

A fundamental task in statistical learning is quantifying the joint dependence or association between two continuous random variables. We introduce a novel, fully non-parametric measure that assesses the degree of association between…

Conditional independence (CI) testing arises naturally in many scientific problems and applications domains. The goal of this problem is to investigate the conditional independence between a response variable $Y$ and another variable $X$,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Adel Javanmard , Mohammad Mehrabi

We introduce an operator-theoretic framework for analyzing directional dependence in multivariate time series based on order-constrained spectral non-invariance. Directional influence is defined as the sensitivity of second-order dependence…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-10 Alejandro Rodriguez Dominguez

Standard rational expectations models with an occasionally binding zero lower bound constraint either admit no solutions (incoherence) or multiple solutions (incompleteness). This paper shows that deviations from full-information rational…

General Economics · Economics 2023-11-01 Guido Ascari , Sophocles Mavroeidis , Nigel McClung

For a linear combination of random variables, fix some confidence level and consider the quantile of the combination at this level. We are interested in the partial derivatives of the quantile with respect to the weights of the random…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Dirk Tasche

Linear nonautonomous/random parabolic partial differential equations are considered under the Dirichlet, Neumann or Robin boundary conditions, where both the zero order coefficients in the equation and the coefficients in the boundary…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-08-23 Janusz Mierczyński , Wenxian Shen

Mutual information is fundamentally important for measuring statistical dependence between variables and for quantifying information transfer by signaling and communication mechanisms. It can, however, be challenging to evaluate for…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-07-29 Clive G. Bowsher , Margaritis Voliotis

We postulate a principle stating that the initial condition of a physical system is typically algorithmically independent of the dynamical law. We argue that this links thermodynamics and causal inference. On the one hand, it entails…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-11-08 Dominik Janzing , Rafael Chaves , Bernhard Schoelkopf

The maximal correlation coefficient is a well-established generalization of the Pearson correlation coefficient for measuring non-linear dependence between random variables. It is appealing from a theoretical standpoint, satisfying…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Elad Domanovitz , Uri Erez

We wish to test whether a real-valued variable $Z$ has explanatory power, in addition to a multivariate variable $X$, for a binary variable $Y$. Thus, we are interested in testing the hypothesis $\mathbb{P}(Y=1\, | \, X,Z)=\mathbb{P}(Y=1\,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 John H. J. Einmahl , Denis Kojevnikov , Bas J. M. Werker

Two objects are independent if they do not affect each other. Independence is well-understood in classical information theory, but less in algorithmic information theory. Working in the framework of algorithmic information theory, the paper…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2008-02-05 Cristian Calude , Marius Zimand

We consider the problem of constructing confidence intervals for the median of a response $Y \in \mathbb{R}$ conditional on features $X \in \mathbb{R}^d$ in a situation where we are not willing to make any assumption whatsoever on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-07 Dhruv Medarametla , Emmanuel J. Candès

We propose new concepts in order to analyze and model the dependence structure between two time series. Our methods rely exclusively on the order structure of the data points. Hence, the methods are stable under monotone transformations of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-02 Alexander Schnurr , Herold Dehling

We propose a new conditional dependence measure and a statistical test for conditional independence. The measure is based on the difference between analytic kernel embeddings of two well-suited distributions evaluated at a finite set of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-17 Meyer Scetbon , Laurent Meunier , Yaniv Romano

We consider the problem of bounding large deviations for non-i.i.d. random variables that are allowed to have arbitrary dependencies. Previous works typically assumed a specific dependence structure, namely the existence of independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-06 Christoph H. Lampert , Liva Ralaivola , Alexander Zimin

In this article, we show that the recently introduced ordinal pattern dependence fits into the axiomatic framework of general multivariate dependence measures, i.e., measures of dependence between two multivariate random objects.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-27 Annika Betken , Herold Dehling , Nüßgen , Alexander Schnurr

We consider nonparametric estimation of mean regression and conditional variance (or volatility) functions in nonlinear stochastic regression models. Simultaneous confidence bands are constructed and the coverage probabilities are shown to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-08-08 Zhibiao Zhao , Wei Biao Wu
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