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We consider a two-component mixture model with one known component. We develop methods for estimating the mixing proportion and the unknown distribution nonparametrically, given i.i.d.~data from the mixture model, using ideas from shape…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-10 Rohit Kumar Patra , Bodhisattva Sen

We provide a general methodology for unbiased estimation for intractable stochastic models. We consider situations where the target distribution can be written as an appropriate limit of distributions, and where conventional approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-01 Sergios Agapiou , Gareth O. Roberts , Sebastian J. Vollmer

In typical high dimensional statistical inference problems, confidence intervals and hypothesis tests are performed for a low dimensional subset of model parameters under the assumption that the parameters of interest are unconstrained.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-19 Ming Yu , Varun Gupta , Mladen Kolar

We extend the correspondence between two-stage coding procedures in data compression and penalized likelihood procedures in statistical estimation. Traditionally, this had required restriction to countable parameter spaces. We show how to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-08 Sabyasachi Chatterjee , Andrew Barron

Many products in engineering are highly reliable with large mean lifetimes to failure. Performing lifetests under normal operations conditions would thus require long experimentation times and high experimentation costs. Alternatively,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-12 Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan , María Jaenada , Leandro Pardo

In this work, we consider the problem of estimating the probability distribution, the quantile or the conditional expectation above the quantile, the so called conditional-value-at-risk, of output quantities of complex random differential…

Computation · Statistics 2023-05-23 Quentin Ayoul-Guilmard , Sundar Ganesh , Sebastian Krumscheid , Fabio Nobile

Pattern-mixture models provide a transparent approach for handling missing data, where the full-data distribution is factorized in a way that explicitly shows the parts that can be estimated from observed data alone, and the parts that…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-26 Yen-Chi Chen , Mauricio Sadinle

We study mixed models with a single grouping factor, where inference about unknown parameters requires optimizing a marginal likelihood defined by an intractable integral. Low-dimensional numerical integration techniques are regularly used…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Alex Stringer , Blair Bilodeau , Yanbo Tang

Existing metrics in competing risks survival analysis such as concordance and accuracy do not evaluate a model's ability to jointly predict the event type and the event time. To address these limitations, we propose a new metric, which we…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-20 Kartik Ahuja , Mihaela van der Schaar

Bayesian model comparison (BMC) offers a principled probabilistic approach to study and rank competing models. In standard BMC, we construct a discrete probability distribution over the set of possible models, conditional on the observed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-22 Marvin Schmitt , Stefan T. Radev , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Many popular statistical models for complex phenomena are intractable, in the sense that the likelihood function cannot easily be evaluated. Bayesian estimation in this setting remains challenging, with a lack of computational methodology…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-31 Nial Friel , Antonietta Mira , Chris. J. Oates

Incorporating information about the target distribution in proposal mechanisms generally produces efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms (or at least, algorithms that are more efficient than uninformed counterparts). For instance, it…

Computation · Statistics 2021-08-27 Philippe Gagnon

In this paper we propose a new lifetime model, called the odd generalized exponential linear failure rate distribution. Some statistical properties of the proposed distribution such as the moments, the quantiles, the median, and the mode…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-28 M. A. El-Damcese , Abdelfattah Mustafa , B. S. El-Desouky , M. E. Mustafa

This paper considers inference for conditional moment inequality models using a multiscale statistic. We derive the asymptotic distribution of this test statistic and use the result to propose feasible critical values that have a simple…

Applications · Statistics 2015-12-10 Timothy B. Armstrong , Hock Peng Chan

In the context of the usual calibration model, we consider the case in which the independent variable is unobservable, but a pre-fixed value on its surrogate is available. Thus, considering controlled variables and assuming that the…

Applications · Statistics 2008-02-06 Betsabé G. Blas Achic , Mônica C. Sandoval , Olga Satomi Yoshida

We describe a new approach to estimating relative risks in time-to-event prediction problems with censored data in a fully parametric manner. Our approach does not require making strong assumptions of constant proportional hazard of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-10 Chirag Nagpal , Xinyu Rachel Li , Artur Dubrawski

In this paper, we extend the vertical modeling approach for the analysis of survival data with competing risks to incorporate a cured fraction in the population, that is, a proportion of the population for which none of the competing events…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-18 M. A. Nicolaie , J. M. G. Taylor , C. Legrand

Classical semiparametric inference with missing outcome data is not robust to contamination of the observed data and a single observation can have arbitrarily large influence on estimation of a parameter of interest. This sensitivity is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Eva Cantoni , Xavier de Luna

Insurance loss data are usually in the form of left-truncation and right-censoring due to deductibles and policy limits respectively. This paper investigates the model uncertainty and selection procedure when various parametric models are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-01 Qian Zhao , Sahadeb Upretee , Daoping Yu

Bayesian nonparametric inferential procedures based on Markov chain Monte Carlo marginal methods typically yield point estimates in the form of posterior expectations. Though very useful and easy to implement in a variety of statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-04 Julyan Arbel , Antonio Lijoi , Bernardo Nipoti