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High-fidelity simulators that connect theoretical models with observations are indispensable tools in many sciences. When coupled with machine learning, a simulator makes it possible to infer the parameters of a theoretical model directly…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-03 Ali Al Kadhim , Harrison B. Prosper , Olivia F. Prosper

Processed data are insightful, and crude data are obtuse. A serious threat to data reliability is missing values. Such data leads to inaccurate analysis and wrong predictions. We propose an efficient technique to impute the missing value in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-02 Prateek Mishra , Kumar Divya Mani , Prashant Johri , Dikhsa Arya

This paper studies the power properties of confidence intervals (CIs) for a partially-identified parameter of interest with an interval identified set. We assume the researcher has bounds estimators to construct the CIs proposed by Stoye…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-23 Federico A. Bugni , Mengsi Gao , Filip Obradovic , Amilcar Velez

Understanding how much each variable contributes to an outcome is a central question across disciplines. A causal view of explainability is favorable for its ability in uncovering underlying mechanisms and generalizing to new contexts.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-09 Weihan Zhang , Zijun Gao

Differentially private federated learning is crucial for maintaining privacy in distributed environments. This paper investigates the challenges of high-dimensional estimation and inference under the constraints of differential privacy.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-26 Zhe Zhang , Ryumei Nakada , Linjun Zhang

We present and evaluate the Fast (conditional) Independence Test (FIT) -- a nonparametric conditional independence test. The test is based on the idea that when $P(X \mid Y, Z) = P(X \mid Y)$, $Z$ is not useful as a feature to predict $X$,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-10 Krzysztof Chalupka , Pietro Perona , Frederick Eberhardt

Simultaneous confidence intervals (SCIs) that are compatible with a given closed test procedure are often non-informative. More precisely, for a one-sided null hypothesis, the bound of the SCI can stick to the border of the null hypothesis,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-25 Werner Brannath , Liane Kluge , Martin Scharpenberg

Mechanistic Interpretability (MI) aims to reverse-engineer model behaviors by identifying functional sub-networks. Yet, the scientific validity of these findings depends on their stability. In this work, we argue that circuit discovery is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Maxime Méloux , François Portet , Maxime Peyrard

A major challenge in estimating treatment effects in observational studies is the reliance on untestable conditions such as the assumption of no unmeasured confounding. In this work, we propose an algorithm that can falsify the assumption…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Rickard K. A. Karlsson , Jesse H. Krijthe

As artificial intelligence and machine learning tools become more accessible, and scientists face new obstacles to data collection (e.g. rising costs, declining survey response rates), researchers increasingly use predictions from…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-06 Kentaro Hoffman , Stephen Salerno , Awan Afiaz , Jeffrey T. Leek , Tyler H. McCormick

It is well-known that the notion of (strong) conditional independence (CI) is too restrictive to capture independencies that only hold in certain contexts. This kind of contextual independency, called context-strong independence (CSI), can…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Michael S. K. M. Wong , C. J. Butz

Discrete optimization is a central problem in artificial intelligence. The optimization of the aggregated cost of a network of cost functions arises in a variety of problems including (W)CSP, DCOP, as well as optimization in stochastic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-01-12 Ferdinando Fioretto , Enrico Pontelli , William Yeoh , Rina Dechter

Many conventional statistical procedures are extremely sensitive to seemingly minor deviations from modeling assumptions. This problem is exacerbated in modern high-dimensional settings, where the problem dimension can grow with and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-27 Simon S. Du , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Aarti Singh

In many scientific experiments, the data annotating cost constraints the pace for testing novel hypotheses. Yet, modern machine learning pipelines offer a promising solution, provided their predictions yield correct conclusions. We focus on…

A structural causal model is made of endogenous (manifest) and exogenous (latent) variables. We show that endogenous observations induce linear constraints on the probabilities of the exogenous variables. This allows to exactly map a causal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Marco Zaffalon , Alessandro Antonucci , Rafael Cabañas

Testing a hypothesized causal model against observational data is a key prerequisite for many causal inference tasks. A natural approach is to test whether the conditional independence relations (CIs) assumed in the model hold in the data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Hyunchai Jeong , Adiba Ejaz , Jin Tian , Elias Bareinboim

As a fundamental concept in information theory, mutual information ($MI$) has been commonly applied to quantify association between random vectors. Most existing nonparametric estimators of $MI$ have unstable statistical performance since…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-19 Soumik Purkayastha , Peter X. K. Song

Distributed privacy-preserving regression schemes have been developed and extended in various fields, where multiparty collaboratively and privately run optimization algorithms, e.g., Gradient Descent, to learn a set of optimal parameters.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Xinlin Leng , Chenxu Li , Weifeng Xu , Yuyan Sun , Hongtao Wang

Conditional-independence-based discovery uses statistical tests to identify a graphical model that represents the independence structure of variables in a dataset. These tests, however, can be unreliable, and algorithms are sensitive to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Philipp M. Faller , Dominik Janzing

Artificial spike-based computation, inspired by models of computations in the central nervous system, may present significant performance advantages over traditional methods for specific types of large scale problems. In this paper, we…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Wei Wang , Jean-Jacques E. Slotine
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