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This paper considers a challenging problem of identifying a causal graphical model under the presence of latent variables. While various identifiability conditions have been proposed in the literature, they often require multiple pure…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-03 Seunghyun Lee , Yuqi Gu

Discovering causal structures with latent variables from observational data is a fundamental challenge in causal discovery. Existing methods often rely on constraint-based, iterative discrete searches, limiting their scalability to large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Parjanya Prashant , Ignavier Ng , Kun Zhang , Biwei Huang

Instrumental variables have proven useful, in particular within the social sciences and economics, for making inference about the causal effect of a random variable, B, on another random variable, C, in the presence of unobserved…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-26 Roland R. Ramsahai

We study identification in a binary choice panel data model with a single \emph{predetermined} binary covariate (i.e., a covariate sequentially exogenous conditional on lagged outcomes and covariates). The choice model is indexed by a…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-25 Stéphane Bonhomme , Kevin Dano , Bryan S. Graham

Discovering the underlying dynamics of complex systems from data is an important practical topic. Constrained optimization algorithms are widely utilized and lead to many successes. Yet, such purely data-driven methods may bring about…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-17 Nan Chen , Yinling Zhang

This paper considers identification and inference for the distribution of treatment effects conditional on observable covariates. Since the conditional distribution of treatment effects is not point identified without strong assumptions, we…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-23 Sungwon Lee

We study a class of missingness mechanisms, called sequentially additive nonignorable, for modeling multivariate data with item nonresponse. These mechanisms explicitly allow the probability of nonresponse for each variable to depend on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-19 Mauricio Sadinle , Jerome P. Reiter

It is commonplace to encounter heterogeneous or nonstationary data, of which the underlying generating process changes across domains or over time. Such a distribution shift feature presents both challenges and opportunities for causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-26 Biwei Huang , Kun Zhang , Jiji Zhang , Joseph Ramsey , Ruben Sanchez-Romero , Clark Glymour , Bernhard Schölkopf

Many applications in mechanical, acoustic, and electronic engineering require estimating complex dynamical models, often represented as additive multi-input multi-output (MIMO) transfer functions with structural constraints. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-21 Rodrigo A. González , Maarten van der Hulst , Koen Classens , Tom Oomen

It is commonplace to encounter nonstationary data, of which the underlying generating process may change over time or across domains. The nonstationarity presents both challenges and opportunities for causal discovery. In this paper we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-06-21 Kun Zhang , Biwei Huang , Jiji Zhang , Bernhard Schölkopf , Clark Glymour

Structural identifiability is a property of a differential model with parameters that allows for the parameters to be determined from the model equations in the absence of noise. The method of input-output equations is one method for…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-01-28 Alexey Ovchinnikov , Gleb Pogudin , Peter Thompson

The ill-posedness of the inverse problem of recovering a regression function in a nonparametric instrumental variable model leads to estimators that may suffer from a very slow, logarithmic rate of convergence. In this paper, we show that…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-27 Denis Chetverikov , Daniel Wilhelm

Marginally specified models have recently become a popular tool for discrete longitudinal data analysis. Nonetheless, they introduce complex constraint equations and model fitting algorithms. Moreover, there is a lack of available software…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-15 Ozgur Asar , Ozlem Ilk

In this paper we propose a class of structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) characterized by structural breaks (SVAR-WB). Together with standard restrictions on the parameters and on functions of them, we also consider constraints across…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-10 Emanuele Bacchiocchi , Toru Kitagawa

This paper investigates how the discount factor and payoff functions can be identified in stationary infinite-horizon dynamic discrete choice models. In single-agent models, we show that common nonparametric assumptions on per-period…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-29 Yu Hao , Hiroyuki Kasahara , Katsumi Shimotsu

Tests for structural breaks in time series should ideally be sensitive to breaks in the parameter of interest, while being robust to nuisance changes. Statistical analysis thus needs to allow for some form of nonstationarity under the null…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Fabian Mies

Identifying structural parameters in linear simultaneous-equation models is a longstanding challenge. Recent work exploits information in higher-order moments of non-Gaussian data. In this literature, the structural errors are typically…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-11 Ziyu Jiang

To reach human level intelligence, learning algorithms need to incorporate causal reasoning. But identifying causality, and particularly counterfactual reasoning, remains elusive. In this paper, we make progress on counterfactual inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-31 Marc Braun , Jose M. Peña , Adel Daoud

We develop a principled framework for discovering causal structure in partial differential equations (PDEs) using physics-informed neural networks and counterfactual perturbations. Unlike classical residual minimization or sparse regression…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-26 Ronald Katende

This paper provides estimation and inference methods for an identified set's boundary (i.e., support function) where the selection among a very large number of covariates is based on modern regularized tools. I characterize the boundary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-14 Vira Semenova