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Two non-intrusive uncertainty propagation approaches are proposed for the performance analysis of engineering systems described by expensive-to-evaluate deterministic computer models with parameters defined as interval variables. These…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-15 Alice Cicirello , Filippo Giunta

Bayesian optimization is a powerful technique for optimizing expensive-to-evaluate black-box functions, consisting of two main components: a surrogate model and an acquisition function. In recent years, myopic acquisition functions have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Hui Chen , Xuhui Fan , Zhangkai Wu , Longbing Cao

Bayesian Optimization is methodology used in statistical modelling that utilizes a Gaussian process prior distribution to iteratively update a posterior distribution towards the true distribution of the data. Finding unbiased informative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Ruduan Plug

Bayesian optimization is widely used for optimizing expensive black box functions, but most existing approaches focus on scalar responses. In many scientific and engineering settings the response is functional, varying smoothly over an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Pouya Ahadi , Reza Marzban , Ali Adibi , Kamran Paynabar

We propose a novel Bayesian method to solve the maximization of a time-dependent expensive-to-evaluate stochastic oracle. We are interested in the decision that maximizes the oracle at a finite time horizon, given a limited budget of noisy…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-21 S. Ashwin Renganathan , Jeffrey Larson , Stefan M. Wild

Bayesian optimization (BO) is an effective approach to optimize expensive black-box functions, that seeks to trade-off between exploitation (selecting parameters where the maximum is likely) and exploration (selecting parameters where we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-19 Tristan Fauvel , Matthew Chalk

Recently, there has been rising interest in Bayesian optimization -- the optimization of an unknown function with assumptions usually expressed by a Gaussian Process (GP) prior. We study an optimization strategy that directly uses an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-14 Zi Wang , Bolei Zhou , Stefanie Jegelka

The non-convexity and intractability of distributionally robust chance constraints make them challenging to cope with. From a data-driven perspective, we propose formulating it as a robust optimization problem to ensure that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-23 Zhiping Chen , Wentao Ma , Bingbing Ji

We propose an algorithm for Bayesian functional optimisation - that is, finding the function to optimise a process - guided by experimenter beliefs and intuitions regarding the expected characteristics (length-scale, smoothness, cyclicity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-09 Alistair Shilton , Sunil Gupta , Santu Rana , Svetha Venkatesh

We propose MUMBO, the first high-performing yet computationally efficient acquisition function for multi-task Bayesian optimization. Here, the challenge is to perform efficient optimization by evaluating low-cost functions somehow related…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Henry B. Moss , David S. Leslie , Paul Rayson

Bayesian Optimization (BO) with Gaussian Processes relies on optimizing an acquisition function to determine sampling. We investigate the advantages and disadvantages of using a deterministic global solver (MAiNGO) compared to conventional…

Bayesian quadrature optimization (BQO) maximizes the expectation of an expensive black-box integrand taken over a known probability distribution. In this work, we study BQO under distributional uncertainty in which the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Thanh Tang Nguyen , Sunil Gupta , Huong Ha , Santu Rana , Svetha Venkatesh

The expected improvement (EI) is one of the most popular acquisition functions for Bayesian optimization (BO) and has demonstrated good empirical performances in many applications for the minimization of simple regret. However, under the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Shouri Hu , Haowei Wang , Zhongxiang Dai , Bryan Kian Hsiang Low , Szu Hui Ng

Bayesian optimization (BO) with Gaussian processes is a powerful methodology to optimize an expensive black-box function with as few function evaluations as possible. The expected improvement (EI) and probability of improvement (PI) are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Takuya Kanazawa

Optimization of problems with high computational power demands is a challenging task. A probabilistic approach to such optimization called Bayesian optimization lowers performance demands by solving mathematically simpler model of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-27 Jakub Klus , Pavel Grunt , Martin Dobrovolný

Global data association is an essential prerequisite for robot operation in environments seen at different times or by different robots. Repetitive or symmetric data creates significant challenges for existing methods, which typically rely…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Yixuan Jia , Mason B. Peterson , Qingyuan Li , Yulun Tian , Jonathan P. How

Bayesian optimization is a technique for efficiently optimizing unknown functions in a black-box manner. To handle practical settings where gathering data requires use of finite resources, it is desirable to explicitly incorporate function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-17 Qian Xie , Raul Astudillo , Peter I. Frazier , Ziv Scully , Alexander Terenin

The authors of the discussed paper simplified the information-based acquisition on estimating statistical expectation and developed analytical computation for each involved quantity under uniform input distribution. In this discussion, we…

Computation · Statistics 2021-08-10 Xianliang Gong , Yulin Pan

The exploration-exploitation trade-off is among the central challenges of reinforcement learning. The optimal Bayesian solution is intractable in general. This paper studies to what extent analytic statements about optimal learning are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-13 Philipp Hennig

Doubly intractable distributions arise in many settings, for example in Markov models for point processes and exponential random graph models for networks. Bayesian inference for these models is challenging because they involve intractable…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-03 Jaewoo Park , Murali Haran