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This paper develops a new approach to post-selection inference for screening high-dimensional predictors of survival outcomes. Post-selection inference for right-censored outcome data has been investigated in the literature, but much…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-22 Tzu-Jung Huang , Alex Luedtke , Ian W. McKeague

Population attributable fractions aim to quantify the proportion of the cases of an outcome (for example, a disease) that would have been avoided had no individuals in the population been exposed to a given exposure. This quantity thus…

Time-to-event models are a popular tool to analyse data where the outcome variable is the time to the occurrence of a specific event of interest. Here we focus on the analysis of time-to-event outcomes that are either intrisically discrete…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-14 Moritz Berger , Matthias Schmid

Censored quantile regression (CQR) has become a valuable tool to study the heterogeneous association between a possibly censored outcome and a set of covariates, yet computation and statistical inference for CQR have remained a challenge…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Xuming He , Xiaoou Pan , Kean Ming Tan , Wen-Xin Zhou

Survival analysis is a type of semi-supervised ranking task where the target output (the survival time) is often right-censored. Utilizing this information is a challenge because it is not obvious how to correctly incorporate these censored…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-12 Margaux Luck , Tristan Sylvain , Joseph Paul Cohen , Heloise Cardinal , Andrea Lodi , Yoshua Bengio

Continuous-time multi-state survival models can be used to describe health-related processes over time. In the presence of interval-censored times for transitions between the living states, the likelihood is constructed using transition…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-24 Robson J. M. Machado , Ardo van den Hout

We introduce and study a local linear nonparametric regression estimator for censorship model. The main goal of this paper is, to establish the uniform almost sure consistency result with rate over a compact set for the new estimate. To…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-07 Feriel Bouhadjera , Elias Saïd , Riad Remita

In statistics, time-to-event analysis methods traditionally focus on the estimation of hazards. In recent years, machine learning methods have been proposed to directly predict the event times. We propose a method based on vine copula…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-16 Shenyi Pan , Harry Joe

Predicting time-to-event outcomes in large databases can be a challenging but important task. One example of this is in predicting the time to a clinical outcome for patients in intensive care units (ICUs), which helps to support critical…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-06 Yingying Xu , Joon Lee , Joel A. Dubin

We consider the conditional treatment effect for competing risks data in observational studies. While it is described as a constant difference between the hazard functions given the covariates, we do not assume specific functional forms for…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-28 Denise Rava , Ronghui Xu

In this paper, we consider survival analysis with right-censored data which is a common situation in predictive maintenance and health field. We propose a model based on the estimation of two-parameter Weibull distribution conditionally to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-24 Achraf Bennis , Sandrine Mouysset , Mathieu Serrurier

Survival regression aims to predict the time when an event of interest will take place, typically a death or a failure. A fully parametric method [18] is proposed to estimate the survival function as a mixture of individual parametric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-25 Qinxin Wang , Jiayuan Huang , Junhui Li , Jiaming Liu

Probability estimation models play an important role in various fields, such as weather forecasting, recommendation systems, and sports analysis. Among several models estimating probabilities, it is difficult to evaluate which model gives…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Euihyeon Choi , Jooyoung Kim , Wonkyung Lee

In this paper, a competing risks model is analyzed based on improved adaptive type-II progressive censored sample (IAT-II PCS). Two independent competing causes of failures are considered. It is assumed that lifetimes of the competing…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-20 Subhankar Dutta , Suchandan Kayal

We introduce and study the problem of calibrating conditional risk, which involves estimating the expected loss of a prediction model conditional on input features. We analyze this problem in both classification and regression settings and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Andrey Vasilyev , Yikai Wang , Xiaocheng Li , Guanting Chen

When constructing models to summarize clinical data to be used for simulations, it is good practice to evaluate the models for their capacity to reproduce the data. This can be done by means of Visual Predictive Checks (VPC), which consist…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-06 Christian Bartels , Thomas Dumortier

Understanding the confidence with which a machine learning model classifies an input datum is an important, and perhaps under-investigated, concept. In this paper, we propose a new calibration metric, the Entropic Calibration Difference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Daniel James Sumler , Lee Devlin , Simon Maskell , Richard O. Lane

With the rapid advances of deep learning, many computational methods have been developed to analyze nonlinear and complex right censored data via deep learning approaches. However, the majority of the methods focus on predicting survival…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-11 Jong-Hyeon Jeong , Yichen Jia

Predictive algorithms inform consequential decisions in settings with selective labels: outcomes are observed only for units selected by past decision makers. This creates an identification problem under unobserved confounding -- when…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-07 Ashesh Rambachan , Amanda Coston , Edward Kennedy

We use statistical mechanics techniques, viz. the replica method, to model the effect of censoring on overfitting in Cox's proportional hazards model, the dominant regression method for time-to-event data. In the overfitting regime, Maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-06 Emanuele Massa , Alexander Mozeika , Anthony Coolen