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The Standard Model of Particle Physics has been verified to unprecedented precision in the last few decades. However there are still phenomena in nature which cannot be explained, and as such new theories will be required. Since terrestrial…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2008-12-25 Chris Bird

I discuss some central issues in particle physics which are potentially relevant to cosmology. I first briefly review the present (glorious) experimental status of the Standard Model, emphasizing that it provides a firm foundation both for…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 Frank Wilczek

Bayesian model averaging is a procedure to obtain parameter constraints that account for the uncertainty about the correct cosmological model. We use recent cosmological observations and Bayesian model averaging to derive tight limits on…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2012-06-07 M. Vardanyan , R. Trotta , J. Silk

We report an inconsistency found in probability theory (also referred to as measure-theoretic probability). For probability measures induced by real-valued random variables, we deduce an "equality" such that one side of the "equality" is a…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2017-03-01 Guang-Liang Li , Victor O. K. Li

The solution of a fine tuning problem is one of the principal motivations of Supersymmetry. However experimental constraints indicate that many Supersymmetric models are also fine tuned (although to a much lesser extent). We review the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-05-13 Peter Athron , D. J. Miller

I assess various proposals for the source of the intuition that there is something problematic about contextuality, ultimately concluding that contextuality is best thought of in terms of fine-tuning. I then argue that as with other…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-11-24 Emily Adlam

The apparent fine-tuning of several fundamental parameters that determine the properties of our Universe and make it hospitable to life is sometimes used as an argument for God from design. I review the concept of cosmic fine-tuning and…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2025-02-18 Adam D. Hincks

The solution to fine tuning is one of the principal motivations for supersymmetry. However constraints on the parameter space of the Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model (MSSM) suggest it may also require fine tuning (although to a much…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-10-15 Peter Athron , D. J. Miller

The reader surely knows what particles physics is about: finding building blocks of nature that appear elementary at a given time and study their interactions - so why in the world this essay? The problem is how to arrive at a fundamental…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-04-21 Goran Senjanović

We introduce a mathematical framework for quantifying fine-tuning in general physical settings. In particular, we identify two distinct perspectives on fine-tuning, namely, a local and a global perspective --- and develop corresponding…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-11-28 Feraz Azhar , Abraham Loeb

In recent years, criticism of the methodology of particle physics beyond the Standard Model has increased, diagnosing too much reliance on aesthetic criteria for theory development and evaluation. Faced with several decades of experimental…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2024-06-25 Johannes Branahl

Modern scientific cosmology pushes the boundaries of knowledge and the knowable. This is prompting questions on the nature of scientific knowledge. A central issue is what defines a 'good' model. When addressing global properties of the…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2018-12-12 Martin Sahlén

In this philosophical paper, we explore computational and biological analogies to address the fine-tuning problem in cosmology. We first clarify what it means for physical constants or initial conditions to be fine-tuned. We review…

General Physics · Physics 2013-01-01 Clement Vidal

It is commonplace in discussions of modern cosmology to assert that the early universe began in a special state. Conventionally, cosmologists characterize this fine-tuning in terms of the horizon and flatness problems. I argue that the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2014-06-13 Sean M. Carroll

Consistent experiment data are crucial to adjust parameters of physics models and to determine best estimates of observables. However, often experiment data are not consistent due to unrecognized systematic errors. Standard methods of…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2018-03-05 Georg Schnabel

We demonstrate that many Naturalness tests of particle theories discussed in the literature can be reformulated as straightforward algorithmic finetuning assessments in the matching of Wilsonian effective theories above and below particle…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2021-07-14 James D. Wells

The effective coupling `constants' of physics, especially the cosmological constant, are observed to have highly biophilic values. If this is not a hugely improbable accident, or a consequence of some mysterious logical necessity or of some…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2011-01-31 Don N. Page

Bayesian inference is used to estimate continuous parameter values given measured data in many fields of science. The method relies on conditional probability densities to describe information about both data and parameters, yet the notion…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-25 Klaus Mosegaard , Andrew Curtis

Bayesian probability theory is used to analyze the oft-made assumption that humans are typical observers in the universe. Some theoretical calculations make the {\it selection fallacy} that we are randomly chosen from a class of objects by…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2008-11-26 James B. Hartle , Mark Srednicki

Fine-tuning criteria are frequently used to place upper limits on the masses of superpartners in supersymmetric extensions of the standard model. However, commonly used prescriptions for quantifying naturalness have some important…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-09-25 Greg Anderson , Diego Castano