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This paper is concerned with the development of rigorous approximations to various expectations associated with Markov chains and processes having non-stationary transition probabilities. Such non-stationary models arise naturally in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Zeyu Zheng , Harsha Honnappa , Peter W. Glynn

We provide a novel method for sensitivity analysis of parametric robust Markov chains. These models incorporate parameters and sets of probability distributions to alleviate the often unrealistic assumption that precise probabilities are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Thom Badings , Sebastian Junges , Ahmadreza Marandi , Ufuk Topcu , Nils Jansen

Markov chain analysis is a key technique in formal verification. A practical obstacle is that all probabilities in Markov models need to be known. However, system quantities such as failure rates or packet loss ratios, etc. are often not --…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Sebastian Junges , Erika Ábrahám , Christian Hensel , Nils Jansen , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Tim Quatmann , Matthias Volk

We consider a simple but important class of metastable discrete time Markov chains, which we call perturbed Markov chains. Basically, we assume that the transition matrices depend on a parameter $\varepsilon$, and converge as $\varepsilon$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-23 Volker Betz , Stéphane Le Roux

We consider stochastic matrix models for population driven by random environments which form a Markov chain. The top Lyapunov exponent $a$, which describes the long-term growth rate, depends smoothly on the demographic parameters…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-02-09 David Steinsaltz , Shripad Tuljapurkar , Carol Horvitz

We study some regularity properties in locally stationary Markov models which are fundamental for controlling the bias of nonparametric kernel estimators. In particular, we provide an alternative to the standard notion of derivative process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-07 Lionel Truquet

Linear systems governed by continuous-time difference equations cover a wide class of linear systems. From the Lyapunov-Krasovskii approach, we investigate stability for such a class of systems. Sufficient conditions, and in some particular…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-30 S. Damak , M. Di Loreto , W. Lombardi , V Andrieu

This article aims to investigate sufficient conditions for the stability of stochastic differential equations with a random structure, particularly in contexts involving the presence of concentration points. The proof of asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-22 Taras Lukashiv , Igor V. Malyk , Maryna Chepeleva , Petr V. Nazarov

Perturbation analysis of Markov chains provides bounds on the effect that a change in a Markov transition matrix has on the corresponding stationary distribution. This paper compares and analyzes bounds found in the literature for finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-03 Karim Abbas , Joost Berkhout , Bernd Heidergott

Markov processes are used in a wide range of disciplines, including finance. The transition densities of these processes are often unknown. However, the conditional characteristic functions are more likely to be available, especially for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-04 Song X. Chen , Liang Peng , Cindy L. Yu

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

We study the stability of a Markovian model of electricity production and consumption that incorporates production volatility due to renewables and uncertainty about actual demand versus planned production. We assume that the energy…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-04-23 Jean-Yves Le Boudec , Dan-Cristian Tomozei

We develop a practical approach to establish the stability, that is, the recurrence in a given set, of a large class of controlled Markov chains. These processes arise in various areas of applied science and encompass important numerical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-02 Christophe Andrieu , Vladislav B. Tadić , Matti Vihola

We consider Markov chains that obey the following general non-linear state space model: $\Phi_{k+1} = F(\Phi_k, \alpha(\Phi_k, U_{k+1}))$ where the function $F$ is $C^1$ while $\alpha$ is typically discontinuous and $\{U_k: k \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-07 Alexandre Chotard , Anne Auger

This article is concerned with stability analysis and stabilization of randomly switched nonlinear systems. These systems may be regarded as piecewise deterministic stochastic systems: the discrete switches are triggered by a stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-09-08 Debasish Chatterjee , Daniel Liberzon

We address stability of a class of Markovian discrete-time stochastic hybrid systems. This class of systems is characterized by the state-space of the system being partitioned into a safe or target set and its exterior, and the dynamics of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-03-09 Debasish Chatterjee , Soumik Pal

Random dynamical systems with countably many maps which admit countable Markov partitions on complete metric spaces such that the resulting Markov systems are uniformly continuous and contractive are considered. A non-degeneracy and a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-11-18 Ivan Werner

Starting from a Markov chain with a finite alphabet, we consider the chain obtained when all but one symbol are undistinguishable for the practitioner. We study necessary and sufficient conditions for this chain to have continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-23 Walter A. F. de Carvalho , Sandro Gallo , Nancy L. Garcia

The asymptotic variance is an important criterion to evaluate the performance of Markov chains, especially for the central limit theorems. We give the variational formulas for the asymptotic variance of discrete-time (non-reversible) Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Lu-Jing Huang , Yong-Hua Mao

We present an approach that can be useful when the network or system performance is described by a model that is not Markovian. Although most performance models are based on Markov chains or Markov processes, in some cases the Markov…

Performance · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Andras Farago
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