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We propose a general modeling framework for marked Poisson processes observed over time or space. The modeling approach exploits the connection of the nonhomogeneous Poisson process intensity with a density function. Nonparametric Dirichlet…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-02 Matthew A. Taddy , Athanasios Kottas

We discuss the equivalence of definitions for conditional Poisson processes, Cox processes, and stochastic intensities of point processes on the real line. We show that Watanabe's characterisation of conditional Poisson processes in terms…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Dirk Becherer , Thomas Bernhardt , Pavel Gapeev

In the present paper the change of measures technique for compound mixed renewal processes, developed in Tzaninis & Macheras [24], is applied to the ruin problem in order to compute the ruin probability and to find upper and lower bounds…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-21 Spyridon M. Tzaninis

We consider a class of semi-Markov processes (SMP) such that the embedded discrete time Markov chain may be non-homogeneous. The corresponding augmented processes are represented as semi-martingales using stochastic integral equation…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-14 Anindya Goswami , Subhamay Saha , Ravishankar Kapildev Yadav

We consider stochastic processes arising from dynamical systems simply by evaluating an observable function along the orbits of the system and study marked point processes associated to extremal observations of such time series…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-07 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mário Magalhães

When the distribution of the inter-arrival times of a renewal process is a mixture of geometric laws, we prove that the renewal function of the process is given by the moments of a probability measure which is explicitly related to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Nathanaël Enriquez , Nathan Noiry

Multivariate Poisson processes have many important applications in Insurance, Finance, and many other areas of Applied Probability. In this paper we study the backward simulation approach to modelling multivariate Poisson processes and…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-30 Michael Chiu , Kenneth R. Jackson , Alexander Kreinin

We study the persistence probabilities of a moving average process of order one with innovations that follow a Laplace distribution. The persistence probabilities can be computed fully explicitly in terms of classical combinatorial…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Frank Aurzada , Kilian Raschel

We develop a novel stochastic valuation and premium calculation principle based on probability measure distortions that are induced by quantile processes in continuous time. Necessary and sufficient conditions are derived under which the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-07 Holly Brannelly , Andrea Macrina , Gareth W. Peters

This paper investigates the martingale characterizations of non-homogeneous counting processes and their fractional generalizations. We show that the weighted sum of non-homogeneous Poisson processes (NPPs) is the non-homogeneous…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-24 Kartik Tathe , Sayan Ghosh

Processes having the same bridges as a given reference Markov process constitute its {\it reciprocal class}. In this paper we study the reciprocal class of compound Poisson processes whose jumps belong to a finite set $\mathcal{A} \subset…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-01 Giovanni Conforti , Paolo Dai Pra , Sylvie Roelly

Progressive quenching (PQ) is a stochastic process during which one fixes, one after another, the degrees of freedom of a globally coupled Ising spin system while letting it thermalize through a heat bath. It has previously been shown that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-05-18 Charles Moslonka , Ken Sekimoto

Generalization of the Lorden's inequality is an excellent tool for obtaining strong upper bounds for the convergence rate for various complicated stochastic models. This paper demonstrates a method for obtaining such bounds for some…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-13 Galina Zverkina

We prove a multidimensional Poisson limit theorem in free probability, and define joint free Poisson distributions in a non-commutative probability space. We define (compound) free Poisson process explicitly, similar to the definitions of…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2015-07-31 Guimei An , Mingchu Gao

This chapter is an attempt to present a mathematical theory of compound fractional Poisson processes. The chapter begins with the characterization of a well-known L\'evy process: The compound Poisson process. The semi-Markov extension of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-04 Enrico Scalas

Martingales constitute a basic tool in stochastic analysis; this paper considers their application to counting processes. We use this tool to revisit a renewal theorem and its extensions for various counting processes. We first consider a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-27 Daryl J. Daley , Masakiyo Miyazawa

A stochastic model for pure-jump diffusion (the compound renewal process) can be used as a zero-order approximation and as a phenomenological description of tick-by-tick price fluctuations. This leads to an exact and explicit general…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-02-21 Enrico Scalas , Mauro Politi

The Poisson compound decision problem is a long-standing problem in statistics, where empirical Bayes methodologies are commonly used to estimate Poisson's means in static or batch domains. In this paper, we study the Poisson compound…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-10 Stefano Favaro , Sandra Fortini

Compound Poisson distributions and signed compound Poisson measures are used for approximation of the Markov binomial distribution. The upper and lower bound estimates are obtained for the total variation, local and Wasserstein norms. In a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-29 V. Čekanavičius , P. Vellaisamy

Important models in insurance, for example the Carm{\'e}r--Lundberg theory and the Sparre Andersen model, essentially rely on the Poisson process. The process is used to model arrival times of insurance claims. This paper extends the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-16 Arun Kumar , Nikolai Leonenko , Alois Pichler