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The presence of non-Gaussian tails is a prevalent characteristic in many financial modeling scenarios, necessitating the use of complex non-Gaussian distributions such as the generalized beta of the second kind (GB2) and the skewed…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-10 Xing Yan , Yue Zhao , Qi Wu , Wenxuan Ma

This paper develops semiparametric methods for estimation and inference of widely used inequality measures when survey data are subject to nonignorable nonresponse, a challenging setting in which response probabilities depend on the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-16 Xinyu Wang , Chunlin Wang , Tao Yu , Pengfei Li

Income inequality estimators are biased in small samples, leading generally to an underestimation. This aspect deserves particular attention when estimating inequality in small domains and performing small area estimation at the area level.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-23 Silvia De Nicolò , Maria Rosaria Ferrante , Silvia Pacei

Given $n$ samples from a population of individuals belonging to different species, what is the number $U$ of hitherto unseen species that would be observed if $\lambda n$ new samples were collected? This is an important problem in many…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-17 Stefano Favaro , Zacharie Naulet

This paper investigates the phenomenon of benign overfitting in binary classification problems with heavy-tailed input distributions, extending the analysis of maximum margin classifiers to $\alpha$ sub-exponential distributions ($\alpha…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Kota Okudo , Kei Kobayashi

Heavy tailed distributions present a tough setting for inference. They are also common in industrial applications, particularly with Internet transaction datasets, and machine learners often analyze such data without considering the biases…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-14 Matt Taddy , Hedibert Freitas Lopes , Matt Gardner

Classical measures of inequality use the mean as the benchmark of economic dispersion. They are not sensitive to inequality at the left tail of the distribution, where it would matter most. This paper presents a new inequality measurement…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-09-13 Mario Schlemmer

In this paper, we introduce reduced-bias estimators for the estimation of the tail index of a Pareto-type distribution. This is achieved through the use of a regularised weighted least squares with an exponential regression model for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-19 E. Ocran , R. Minkah , G. Kallah-Dagadu , K. Doku-Amponsah

We propose a multivariate generative model to capture the complex dependence structure often encountered in business and financial data. Our model features heterogeneous and asymmetric tail dependence between all pairs of individual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-10 Xiangqian Sun , Xing Yan , Qi Wu

This article introduces a novel nonparametric methodology for Generalized Linear Models which combines the strengths of the binary regression and latent variable formulations for categorical data, while overcoming their disadvantages.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-12 K. P. Chowdhury

A geometric representation for multivariate extremes, based on the shapes of scaled sample clouds in light-tailed margins and their so-called limit sets, has recently been shown to connect several existing extremal dependence concepts.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-03 Jennifer Wadsworth , Ryan Campbell

In traditional extreme value analysis, the bulk of the data is ignored, and only the tails of the distribution are used for inference. Extreme observations are specified as values that exceed a threshold or as maximum values over distinct…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-20 Mitchell Krock , Julie Bessac , Michael L. Stein , Adam H. Monahan

Graph representation learning (GRL) models have succeeded in many scenarios. Real-world graphs have imbalanced distribution, such as node labels and degrees, which leaves a critical challenge to GRL. Imbalanced inputs can lead to imbalanced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Xiaorui Qi , Yanlong Wen , Xiaojie Yuan

Since the extreme value index (EVI) controls the tail behaviour of the distribution function, the estimation of EVI is a very important topic in extreme value theory. Recent developments in the estimation of EVI along with covariates have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-21 Takuma Yoshida

We develop a unified nonparametric framework for sharp partial identification and inference on inequality indices when the data contain coarsened observations of the variable of interest. We characterize the extremal allocations for all…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-18 James Banks , Thomas Glinnan , Tatiana Komarova

This paper considers endogenous selection models, in particular nonparametric ones. Estimating the unconditional law of the outcomes is possible when one uses instrumental variables. Using a selection equation which is additively separable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-07 Eric Gautier

This article proposes a new method of truncated estimation to estimate the tail index $\alpha$ of the extremely heavy-tailed distribution with infinite mean or variance. We not only present two truncated estimators $\hat{\alpha}$ and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-13 F. Q. Tang , D. Han

We revisit and refine known tail inequalities and confidence bounds for the hypergeometric distribution, i.e., for the setting where we sample without replacement from a fixed population with binary values or properties. The results are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Anne-Marie George

We present a nonparametric family of estimators for the tail index of a Pareto-type distribution when covariate information is available. Our estimators are based on a weighted sum of the log-spacings between some selected observations.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-04-06 L. Gardes , S. Girard

This paper presents two results concerning uniform confidence intervals for the tail index and the extreme quantile. First, we show that it is impossible to construct a length-optimal confidence interval satisfying the correct uniform…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Yuya Sasaki , Yulong Wang