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Related papers: Sample Size for Pilot Studies and Precision Driven…

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The power of a large clinical trial can be adversely affected by low recruitment, follow-up and adherence rates. External pilot trials estimate these rates and use them, via pre-specified decision rules, to determine if the definitive trial…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-16 Duncan T. Wilson , Rebecca E. A. Walwyn , Julia Brown , Amanda J. Farrin

While running any experiment, we often have to consider the statistical power to ensure an effective study. Statistical power or power ensures that we can observe an effect with high probability if such a true effect exists. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Ajinkya K Mulay , Sean Lane , Erin Hennes

In this paper, we develop an approach for the exact determination of the minimum sample size for the estimation of a Poisson parameter with prescribed margin of error and confidence level. The exact computation is made possible by reducing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-19 Xinjia Chen

Determination of sample size is critical, however not easy to do. Sample size defined as the number of observations in a sample should be big enough to have a high likelihood of detecting a true difference between groups. Practical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-28 Hoi-Jeong Lim

A prediction interval covers a future observation from a random process in repeated sampling, and is typically constructed by identifying a pivotal quantity that is also an ancillary statistic. Analogously, a tolerance interval covers a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-19 Geoffrey S Johnson

Sample size calculations play a central role in study design because sample size affects study interpretability, costs, hospital resources, and staff time. For most veterinary orthopaedic risk-factor studies, either the sample size…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-10 Richard Evans , Antonio Pozzi

When prospectively developing a new clinical prediction model (CPM), fixed sample size calculations are typically conducted before data collection based on sensible assumptions. But if the assumptions are inaccurate the actual sample size…

Simulation studies are computer experiments that involve creating data by pseudorandom sampling. The key strength of simulation studies is the ability to understand the behaviour of statistical methods because some 'truth' (usually some…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-18 Tim P Morris , Ian R White , Michael J Crowther

The problem tackled in this paper is the determination of sample size for a given level and power in the context of a simple linear regression model. At a technical level, the simple linear regression model is a five-parameter model. It is…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-25 Tianyuan Guan , M. Khorshed Alam , M. Bhaskara Rao

Big data has shown its uniquely powerful ability to reveal, model, and understand driver behaviors. The amount of data affects the experiment cost and conclusions in the analysis. Insufficient data may lead to inaccurate models while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-26 Wenshuo Wang , Chang Liu , Ding Zhao

Conformal prediction, which makes no distributional assumptions about the data, has emerged as a powerful and reliable approach to uncertainty quantification in practical applications. The nonconformity measure used in conformal prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Yuko Kato , David M. J. Tax , Marco Loog

This paper explores an approach to Bayesian sample size determination in clinical trials. The approach falls into the category of what is often called "proper Bayesian", in that it does not mix frequentist concepts with Bayesian ones. A…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-04-23 Robb J. Muirhead , Adina I. Soaita

Adaptive experiments use preliminary analyses of the data to inform further course of action and are commonly used in many disciplines including medical and social sciences. Because the null hypothesis and experimental design are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Tobias Freidling , Qingyuan Zhao , Zijun Gao

In regression with random design, we study the problem of selecting a model that performs well for out-of-sample prediction. We do not assume that any of the candidate models under consideration are correct. Our analysis is based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-10-24 Hannes Leeb

Objective: Provide guidance on sample size considerations for developing predictive models by empirically establishing the adequate sample size, which balances the competing objectives of improving model performance and reducing model…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-25 Luis H. John , Jan A. Kors , Jenna M. Reps , Patrick B. Ryan , Peter R. Rijnbeek

Probabilities of causation (PoCs), such as the probability of necessity and sufficiency (PNS), are important tools for decision making but are generally not point identifiable. Existing work has derived bounds for these quantities using…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-20 Tianyuan Cheng , Ruirui Mao , Judea Pearl , Ang Li

Background: Clinical prediction models are increasingly used to inform healthcare decisions, but determining the minimum sample size for their development remains a critical and unresolved challenge. Inadequate sample sizes can lead to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Diana Shamsutdinova , Felix Zimmer , Oyebayo Ridwan Olaniran , Sarah Markham , Daniel Stahl , Gordon Forbes , Ewan Carr

Pilot studies (PS) are ubiquitous in HCI research. CHI papers routinely reference 'pilot studies', 'pilot tests', or 'preliminary studies' to justify design decisions, verify procedures, or motivate methodological choices. Yet despite their…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Belu Ticona , Amna Liaqat , Antonios Anastasopoulos

Prediction for very large data sets is typically carried out in two stages, variable selection and pattern recognition. Ordinarily variable selection involves seeing how well individual explanatory variables are correlated with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-12 Herman Chernoff , Shaw-Hwa Lo , Tian Zheng , Adeline Lo

Bayesian predictive probabilities are commonly used for interim monitoring of clinical trials through efficacy and futility stopping rules. Despite their usefulness, calculation of predictive probabilities, particularly in pre-experiment…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-18 Joe Marion , Liz Lorenzi , Cora Allen-Savietta , Scott Berry , Kert Viele