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The aim of this paper is to investigate risk-averse and distributionally robust modeling of Stochastic Optimal Control (SOC) and Markov Decision Process (MDP). We discuss construction of conditional nested risk functionals, a particular…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-23 Alexander Shapiro , Yan Li

We consider statistical learning problems in which data are observed as a set of probability measures. Optimal transport (OT) is a popular tool to compare and manipulate such objects, but its computational cost becomes prohibitive when the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Erell Gachon , Elsa Cazelles , Jérémie Bigot

The determination of acceptability prices of contingent claims requires the choice of a stochastic model for the underlying asset price dynamics. Given this model, optimal bid and ask prices can be found by stochastic optimization. However,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-31 Martin Glanzer , Georg Ch. Pflug , Alois Pichler

We consider discrete optimization problems with interval uncertatinty of objective function coefficients. The interval uncertainty models measurements errors. A pos\-sible optimal solution is a solution that is optimal for some possible…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Alexander Prolubnikov

This brief note aims to introduce the recent paradigm of distributional robustness in the field of shape and topology optimization. Acknowledging that the probability law of uncertain physical data is rarely known beyond a rough…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-13 Charles Dapogny , Franck Iutzeler , Andrea Meda , Boris Thibert

We address the statistical estimation of composite functionals which may be nonlinear in the probability measure. Our study is motivated by the need to estimate coherent measures of risk, which become increasingly popular in finance,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-13 Darinka Dentcheva , Spiridon Penev , Andrzej Ruszczynski

In this paper, we solve the multiple product price optimization problem under interval uncertainties of the price sensitivity parameters in the demand function. The objective of the price optimization problem is to maximize the overall…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Mahdi Hamzeei , Alvin Lim , Jiefeng Xu

Risk measures connect probability theory or statistics to optimization, particularly to convex optimization. They are nowadays standard in applications of finance and in insurance involving risk aversion. This paper investigates a wide…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-26 Paul Dommel , Alois Pichler

We study robust versions of pricing problems where customers choose products according to a generalized extreme value (GEV) choice model, and the choice parameters are not known exactly but lie in an uncertainty set. We show that, when the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-19 Tien Mai , Patrick Jaillet

We consider a distributionally robust formulation of stochastic optimization problems arising in statistical learning, where robustness is with respect to uncertainty in the underlying data distribution. Our formulation builds on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Mert Gürbüzbalaban , Andrzej Ruszczyński , Landi Zhu

While deep learning models often achieve high predictive accuracy, their predictions typically do not come with any provable guarantees on risk or reliability, which are critical for deployment in high-stakes applications. The framework of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Christopher Yeh , Nicolas Christianson , Adam Wierman , Yisong Yue

We present a method for computing A-optimal sensor placements for infinite-dimensional Bayesian linear inverse problems governed by PDEs with irreducible model uncertainties. Here, irreducible uncertainties refers to uncertainties in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Karina Koval , Alen Alexanderian , Georg Stadler

We consider entropically regularized, semi-discrete versions of variational problems on the set of probability measures involving optimal transport as well as other terms. We prove that the solutions can be characterized by well-posed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Adrien Cances , Luca Nenna , Daniyar Omarov , Brendan Pass

Optimal transport (OT) serves as a natural framework for comparing probability measures, with applications in statistics, machine learning, and applied mathematics. Alas, statistical estimation and exact computation of the OT distances…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Tao Wang , Ziv Goldfeld

Optimal Transport (OT) has recently emerged as a central tool in data sciences to compare in a geometrically faithful way point clouds and more generally probability distributions. The wide adoption of OT into existing data analysis and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-18 Thibault Séjourné , Gabriel Peyré , François-Xavier Vialard

We introduce a universal framework for mean-covariance robust risk measurement and portfolio optimization. We model uncertainty in terms of the Gelbrich distance on the mean-covariance space, along with prior structural information about…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-02 Viet Anh Nguyen , Soroosh Shafiee , Damir Filipović , Daniel Kuhn

This paper develops a risk-adjusted alternative to standard optimal policy learning (OPL) for observational data by importing Roy's (1952) safety-first principle into the treatment assignment problem. We formalize a welfare functional that…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-07 Giovanni Cerulli , Francesco Caracciolo

Uncertainty quantification, by means of confidence interval (CI) construction, has been a fundamental problem in statistics and also important in risk-aware decision-making. In this paper, we revisit the basic problem of CI construction,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-13 Shengyi He , Henry Lam

Optimal transport (OT) has become exceedingly popular in machine learning, data science, and computer vision. The core assumption in the OT problem is the equal total amount of mass in source and target measures, which limits its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Yikun Bai , Berhnard Schmitzer , Mathew Thorpe , Soheil Kolouri

The problem of robust utility maximization in an incomplete market with volatility uncertainty is considered, in the sense that the volatility of the market is only assumed to lie between two given bounds. The set of all possible models…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-07 Anis Matoussi , Dylan Possamaï , Chao Zhou