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We discuss and develop Bayesian dynamic modelling and predictive decision synthesis for portfolio analysis. The context involves model uncertainty with a set of candidate models for financial time series with main foci in sequential…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-06 Emily Tallman , Mike West

Efficiently trading off exploration and exploitation is one of the key challenges in online Reinforcement Learning (RL). Most works achieve this by carefully estimating the model uncertainty and following the so-called optimistic model.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-16 Asaf Cassel , Orin Levy , Yishay Mansour

We investigate the interplay between passivity, no-regret, and convergence in contractive games for various learning dynamic models and their higher-order variants. Our setting is continuous time. Building on prior work for replicator…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-01 Hassan Abdelraouf , Georgios Piliouras , Jeff S. Shamma

This paper addresses the problem of learning to sparsify stochastic linear bandits, where a decision-maker sequentially selects actions from a high-dimensional space subject to a sparsity constraint on the number of nonzero elements in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Zhengmiao Wang , Ming Chi , Zhi-Wei Liu , Lintao Ye , Carla Fabiana Chiasserini

In portfolio optimization, decision makers face difficulties from uncertainties inherent in real-world scenarios. These uncertainties significantly influence portfolio outcomes in both classical and multi-objective Markowitz models. To…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-07 Yannick Becker , Pascal Halffmann , Anita Schöbel

We address the problem of simultaneously learning and control in an online receding horizon control setting. We consider the control of an unknown linear dynamical system with general cost functions and affine constraints on the control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-02 Deepan Muthirayan , Jianjun Yuan , Pramod P. Khargonekar

We study the problem of \emph{dynamic regret minimization} in $K$-armed Dueling Bandits under non-stationary or time varying preferences. This is an online learning setup where the agent chooses a pair of items at each round and observes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Aadirupa Saha , Shubham Gupta

We develop a framework for designing simple and efficient policies for a family of online allocation and pricing problems, that includes online packing, budget-constrained probing, dynamic pricing, and online contextual bandits with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-03 Alberto Vera , Siddhartha Banerjee , Itai Gurvich

Penalized regression models are popularly used in high-dimensional data analysis to conduct variable selection and model fitting simultaneously. Whereas success has been widely reported in literature, their performances largely depend on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-16 Wei Sun , Junhui Wang , Yixin Fang

Portfolio construction is the science of balancing reward and risk; it is at the core of modern finance. In this paper, we tackle the question of optimal decision-making within a Bayesian paradigm, starting from a decision-theoretic…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-12 Nicolas Nguyen , James Ridgway , Claire Vernade

This paper considers the distributed online convex-concave optimization with constraint sets over a multiagent network, in which each agent autonomously generates a series of decision pairs through a designable mechanism to cooperatively…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-14 Wentao Zhang , Baoyong Zhang , Deming Yuan , Shengyuan Xu , Vincent K. N. Lau

We develop a new analysis for portfolio optimisation with options, tackling the three fundamental issues with this problem: asymmetric options' distributions, high dimensionality and dependence structure. To do so, we propose a new…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-10 Jonathan Raimana Chan , Thomas Huckle , Antoine Jacquier , Aitor Muguruza

Bargaining can be used to resolve mixed-motive games in multi-agent systems. Although there is an abundance of negotiation strategies implemented in automated negotiating agents, most agents are based on single fixed strategies, while it is…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-12-21 Bram M. Renting , Holger H. Hoos , Catholijn M. Jonker

We consider an investor facing a classical portfolio problem of optimal investment in a log-Brownian stock and a fixed-interest bond, but constrained to choose portfolio and consumption strategies that reduce a dynamic shortfall risk…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-04 Imke Redeker , Ralf Wunderlich

A constrained version of the online convex optimization (OCO) problem is considered. With slotted time, for each slot, first an action is chosen. Subsequently the loss function and the constraint violation penalty evaluated at the chosen…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-25 Rahul Vaze

We consider an investor, whose portfolio consists of a single risky asset and a risk free asset, who wants to maximize his expected utility of the portfolio subject to the Value at Risk assuming a heavy tail distribution of the stock prices…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-02 Subhojit Biswas , Diganta Mukherjee

An important problem in sequential decision-making under uncertainty is to use limited data to compute a safe policy, i.e., a policy that is guaranteed to perform at least as well as a given baseline strategy. In this paper, we develop and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-14 Marek Petrik , Yinlam Chow , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh

Non-stationary online learning has drawn much attention in recent years. Despite considerable progress, dynamic regret minimization has primarily focused on convex functions, leaving the functions with stronger curvature (e.g., squared or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Yu-Jie Zhang , Peng Zhao , Masashi Sugiyama

Motivated by the challenge of nonstationarity in sequential decision making, we study Online Convex Optimization (OCO) under the coupling of two problem structures: the domain is unbounded, and the comparator sequence $u_1,\ldots,u_T$ is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Zhiyu Zhang , Ashok Cutkosky , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis

We study the problem of learning Markov decision processes with finite state and action spaces when the transition probability distributions and loss functions are chosen adversarially and are allowed to change with time. We introduce an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-03-14 Yasin Abbasi-Yadkori , Peter L. Bartlett , Csaba Szepesvari