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Related papers: Runaway Feedback Loops in Predictive Policing

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There are ongoing discussions about predictive policing systems, such as those deployed in Los Angeles, California and Baltimore, Maryland, being unfair, for example, by exhibiting racial bias. Studies found that unfairness may be due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Samin Semsar , Kiran Laxmikant Prabhu , Gabriella Waters , James Foulds

Police departments around the world have been experimenting with forms of place-based data-driven proactive policing for over two decades. Modern incarnations of such systems are commonly known as hot spot predictive policing. These systems…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-02-08 Nil-Jana Akpinar , Maria De-Arteaga , Alexandra Chouldechova

Widespread deployment of societal-scale machine learning systems necessitates a thorough understanding of the resulting long-term effects these systems have on their environment, including loss of trustworthiness, bias amplification, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Andrey Veprikov , Alexander Afanasiev , Anton Khritankov

Predictive policing has its roots in crime hotspot modeling. In this paper we give an example of what goes into mathematical crime hot spot modeling and show that the modeling assumptions perpetuate systemic racism in policing. The goal of…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2021-03-23 Heidi Goodson , Alanna Hoyer-Leitzel

A predictor that is deployed in a live production system may perturb the features it uses to make predictions. Such a feedback loop can occur, for example, when a model that predicts a certain type of behavior ends up causing the behavior…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-04 Stefan Wager , Nick Chamandy , Omkar Muralidharan , Amir Najmi

Crime prediction plays an impactful role in enhancing public security and sustainable development of urban. With recent advances in data collection and integration technologies, a large amount of urban data with rich crime-related…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-23 Xiangyu Zhao , Jiliang Tang

We develop and analyze mathematical models for residential burglary that incorporates police deployment through a delayed feedback mechanism. Motivated by empirical observations from publicly available crime and policing data, we extend a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Baoli Hao , Kamrun Mily , Annalisa Quaini , Ming Zhong

A crime is a punishable offence that is harmful for an individual and his society. It is obvious to comprehend the patterns of criminal activity to prevent them. Research can help society to prevent and solve crime activates. Study shows…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-23 Sohrab Hossain , Ahmed Abtahee , Imran Kashem , Mohammed Moshiul Hoque , Iqbal H. Sarker

The performance, reliability, cost, size and energy usage of computing systems can be improved by one or more orders of magnitude by the systematic use of modern control and optimization methods. Computing systems rely on the use of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-10-13 Eric C. Kerrigan

Predictive policing systems that allocate patrol resources based solely on predicted crime risk can unintentionally amplify racial disparities through feedback driven data bias. We present FASE, a Fairness Aware Spatiotemporal Event Graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Pronob Kumar Barman , Pronoy Kumar Barman , Plaban Kumar Barman , Rohan Mandar Salvi

In the criminal legal context, risk assessment algorithms are touted as data-driven, well-tested tools. Studies known as validation tests are typically cited by practitioners to show that a particular risk assessment algorithm has…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Benjamin Laufer

World models aim to improve robotic decision making by predicting the consequences of actions. However, in practice, their predictions often become unreliable once the robot encounters states outside the training distribution, limiting…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Tuo An , Jindou Jia , Gen Li , Jingliang Li , Chuhao Zhou , Pengfei Liu , Bofan Lyu , Jiaqi Bai , Xinying Guo , Geng Li , Jianfei Yang

We are interested in developing a data-driven method to evaluate race-induced biases in law enforcement systems. While the recent works have addressed this question in the context of police-civilian interactions using police stop data, they…

Recidivism prediction provides decision makers with an assessment of the likelihood that a criminal defendant will reoffend that can be used in pre-trial decision-making. It can also be used for prediction of locations where crimes most…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-07 Eduardo Soares , Plamen Angelov

Fueled by motion prediction competitions and benchmarks, recent years have seen the emergence of increasingly large learning based prediction models, many with millions of parameters, focused on improving open-loop prediction accuracy by…

In recent years, urban safety has become a paramount concern for city planners and law enforcement agencies. Accurate prediction of likely crime occurrences can significantly enhance preventive measures and resource allocation. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Sia Gupta , Simeon Sayer

Crime prediction is a widely studied research problem due to its importance in ensuring safety of city dwellers. Starting from statistical and classical machine learning based crime prediction methods, in recent years researchers have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Rittik Basak Utsha , Muhtasim Noor Alif , Yeasir Rayhan , Tanzima Hashem , Mohammad Eunus Ali

Containing the spreading of crime is a major challenge for society. Yet, since thousands of years, no effective strategy has been found to overcome crime. To the contrary, empirical evidence shows that crime is recurrent, a fact that is not…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-02 Matjaz Perc , Karsten Donnay , Dirk Helbing

When we rely on deep-learned models for robotic perception, we must recognize that these models may behave unreliably on inputs dissimilar from the training data, compromising the closed-loop system's safety. This raises fundamental…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-19 Rohan Sinha , Edward Schmerling , Marco Pavone

In this concept paper, we discuss intricacies of specifying and verifying the quality of continuous and lifelong learning artificial intelligence systems as they interact with and influence their environment causing a so-called concept…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-19 Anton Khritankov
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