English
Related papers

Related papers: Second-Order Moment-Closure for Tighter Epidemic T…

200 papers

We investigate the expected time to extinction in the susceptible-infectious-susceptible (SIS) model of disease spreading. Rather than using stochastic simulations, or asymptotic calculations in network models, we solve the extinction time…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-26 Petter Holme , Liubov Tupikina

Higher-order dynamics refer to mechanisms where collective mutual or synchronous interactions differ fundamentally from their pairwise counterparts through the concept of many-body interactions. Phenomena absent in pairwise models, such as…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-25 Hugo P. Maia , Wesley Cota , Yamir Moreno , Silvio C. Ferreira

It is a longstanding debate on the absence of threshold for susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model on networks with finite second order moment of degree distribution. The eigenvector localization of the adjacency matrix for a network…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-20 Zong-Wen Wei , Bing-Hong Wang

In this paper, we are concerned with two SIS epidemic reaction-diffusion models with mass action infection mechanism of the form $SI$, and study the spatial profile of population distribution as the movement rate of the infected individuals…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Rui Peng , Zhi-an Wang , Guanghui Zhang , Maolin Zhou

We obtain two-sided bounds for the density of stochastic processes satisfying a weak H\"ormander condition. In particular we consider the cases when the support of the density is not the whole space and when the density has various…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-14 Chiara Cinti , Stephane Menozzi , Sergio Polidoro

Consider a migration process based on a closed network of N stations with K_N customers. Each station is a ./M/\infty queue with service (migration) rate mu. Upon departure, a customer is routed at random to another station. In addition to…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-10 Francois Baccelli , Sergey Foss , Vsevolod Shneer

Stochastic infection processes are continuous-time Markov chains on graphs that assign each vertex one of multiple states, such as susceptible, infected, or recovered. Depending on the model, vertices change their state based on random…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Nicolas Klodt , Martin S. Krejca

Higher-order interactions play an important role in complex contagion processes. Mean-field approximations have been used to characterize the onset of spreading in the presence of group interactions. However, individual-based mean-field…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-02 Federico Malizia , Luca Gallo , Mattia Frasca , István Z. Kiss , Vito Latora , Giovanni Russo

We study epidemic spreading processes in large networks, when the spread is assisted by a small number of external agents: infection sources with bounded spreading power, but whose movement is unrestricted vis-\`a-vis the underlying network…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-04-15 Siddhartha Banerjee , Aditya Gopalan , Abhik Kumar Das , Sanjay Shakkottai

In this work, we study the evolution of the susceptible individuals during the spread of an epidemic modeled by the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) process spreading on the top of complex networks. Using an edge-based compartmental…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-09-25 L. D. Valdez , P. A. Macri , L. A. Braunstein

The robustness of human social networks against epidemic propagation relies on the propensity for physical contact adaptation. During the early phase of infection, asymptomatic carriers exhibit the same activity level as susceptible…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-03-04 Masoumeh Moradian , Aresh Dadlani , Rasul Kairgeldin , Ahmad Khonsari

The susceptible-exposed-infectious-susceptible (SEIS) model is well-known in mathematical epidemiology as a model of infection in which there is a latent period between the moment of infection and the onset of infectiousness. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-06 Eric Foxall

We study the standard SIS model of epidemic spreading on networks where individuals have a fluctuating number of connections around a preferred degree $\kappa $. Using very simple rules for forming such preferred degree networks, we find…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-12-05 Shivakumar Jolad , Wenjia Liu , B. Schmittmann , R. K. P. Zia

We study a multilayer SIR model with two levels of mixing, namely a global level which is uniformly mixing, and a local level with two layers distinguishing household and workplace contacts, respectively. We establish the large population…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-27 Madeleine Kubasch

The dynamics of network social contagion processes such as opinion formation and epidemic spreading are often mediated by interactions between multiple nodes. Previous results have shown that these higher-order interactions can profoundly…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-07 Nicholas Landry , Juan G. Restrepo

Global transport and communication networks enable information, ideas and infectious diseases now to spread at speeds far beyond what has historically been possible. To effectively monitor, design, or intervene in such epidemic-like…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-13 Sam Moore , Tim Rogers

This paper is concerned with a nonlocal dispersal susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model with Dirichlet boundary condition, where the rates of disease transmission and recovery are assumed to be spatially heterogeneous. We…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-01-21 Fei-Ying Yang , Wan-Tong Li

The existence of a die-out threshold (different from the classic disease-invasion one) defining a region of slow extinction of an epidemic has been proved elsewhere for susceptible-aware-infectious-susceptible models without awareness…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-19 David Juher , Istvan Z. Kiss , Joan Saldana

We analyze the Bass and SI models for the spreading of innovations and epidemics, respectively, on homogeneous complete networks, circular networks, and heterogeneous complete networks with two homogeneous groups. We allow the network…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Gadi Fibich , Amit Golan , Steven Schochet

This paper studies a novel approach for approximating the behavior of compartmental spreading processes. In contrast to prior work, the methods developed describe a dynamics which bound the exact moment dynamics, without explicitly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-07-21 Nicholas J. Watkins , Cameron Nowzari , Victor M. Preciado , George J. Pappas