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We characterize the identified sets of a wide range of stochastic choice models, including random utility, various models of boundedly-rational behavior, and dynamic discrete choice. In each of these settings, we show two distributions over…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-24 Peter Caradonna , Christopher Turansick

Understanding how subsets of items are chosen from offered sets is critical to assortment planning, wireless network planning, and many other applications. There are two seemingly unrelated subset choice models that capture dependencies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Sander Aarts , David B. Shmoys , Alex Coy

Different voters behave differently, different governments make different decisions, or different organizations are ruled differently. Many research questions important to political scientists concern choice behavior, which involves dealing…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-06 Gerhard Tutz , Ingrid Mauerer

We consider a static linear panel model with both correlated and uncorrelated random coefficients, where the former can depend arbitrarily on observable regressors while the latter are independent of them. We provide sufficient conditions…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-21 Irene Botosaru , James L. Powell

Many structural econometric models include latent variables on whose probability distributions one may wish to place minimal restrictions. Leading examples in panel data models are individual-specific variables sometimes treated as "fixed…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-15 Andrew Chesher , Adam M. Rosen , Yuanqi Zhang

This paper constructs individual-specific density forecasts for a panel of firms or households using a dynamic linear model with common and heterogeneous coefficients as well as cross-sectional heteroskedasticity. The panel considered in…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-06 Laura Liu

Accurate estimation for extent of cross{sectional dependence in large panel data analysis is paramount to further statistical analysis on the data under study. Grouping more data with weak relations (cross{sectional dependence) together…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-04-16 Jiti Gao , Guangming Pan , Yanrong Yang , Bo Zhang

We study a class of missingness mechanisms, called sequentially additive nonignorable, for modeling multivariate data with item nonresponse. These mechanisms explicitly allow the probability of nonresponse for each variable to depend on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-19 Mauricio Sadinle , Jerome P. Reiter

We prove identifiability of parameters for a broad class of random graph mixture models. These models are characterized by a partition of the set of graph nodes into latent (unobservable) groups. The connectivities between nodes are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-06-07 Elizabeth S. Allman , Catherine Matias , John A. Rhodes

A parameter of a mathematical model is structurally identifiable if it can be determined from noiseless experimental data. Here, we examine the identifiability properties of two important classes of linear compartmental models:…

This paper discusses capabilities that are essential to models applied in policy analysis settings and the limitations of direct applications of off-the-shelf machine learning methodologies to such settings. Traditional econometric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Youssef M. Aboutaleb , Mazen Danaf , Yifei Xie , Moshe Ben-Akiva

We provide a comprehensive examination of the predictive performance of panel forecasting methods based on individual, pooling, fixed effects, and empirical Bayes estimation, and propose optimal weights for forecast combination schemes. We…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-30 M. Hashem Pesaran , Andreas Pick , Allan Timmermann

A dynamic model of collective consumption and saving decisions made by a finite number of agents with constant but different discount rates is developed. Collective utility is a weighted sum of individual utilities with time-varying utility…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-18 Luis A. Alcala

We provide new results for nonparametric identification, estimation, and inference of causal effects using `proxy controls': observables that are noisy but informative proxies for unobserved confounding factors. Our analysis applies to…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-22 Ben Deaner

Given data on the choices made by consumers for different offer sets, a key challenge is to develop parsimonious models that describe and predict consumer choice behavior while being amenable to prescriptive tasks such as pricing and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-15 Yanqiu Ruan , Xiaobo Li , Karthyek Murthy , Karthik Natarajan

We propose a robust method of discrete choice analysis when agents' choice sets are unobserved. Our core model assumes nothing about agents' choice sets apart from their minimum size. Importantly, it leaves unrestricted the dependence,…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-11 Levon Barseghyan , Maura Coughlin , Francesca Molinari , Joshua C. Teitelbaum

We introduce a dynamic distribution regression panel data model with heterogeneous coefficients across units. The objects of primary interest are functionals of these coefficients, including predicted one-step-ahead and stationary…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-31 Ivan Fernandez-Val , Wayne Yuan Gao , Yuan Liao , Francis Vella

Panel data allows for the modeling of unobserved heterogeneity, significantly raising the number of nuisance parameters and making high dimensionality a practical issue. Meanwhile, temporal and cross-sectional dependence in panel data…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-23 Kaicheng Chen

This paper considers a linear panel model with interactive fixed effects and unobserved individual and time heterogeneities that are captured by some latent group structures and an unknown structural break, respectively. To enhance realism…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-01 Yiren Wang , Peter C B Phillips , Liangjun Su

Many popular estimation methods in panel data rely on the assumption that the covariates of interest are strictly exogenous. However, this assumption is empirically restrictive in a wide range of settings. In this paper I argue that…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-22 Stephane Bonhomme