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Referring to a standard context of voting theory, and to the classic notion of voting situation, here we show that it is possible to observe any arbitrary set of elections' outcomes, no matter how paradoxical it may appear. On this purpose…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-01 Emilio De Santis , Fabio Spizzichino

Given $K$ uncertainty sets that are arbitrarily dependent -- for example, confidence intervals for an unknown parameter obtained with $K$ different estimators, or prediction sets obtained via conformal prediction based on $K$ different…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-15 Matteo Gasparin , Aaditya Ramdas

Importance sampling is a popular method for efficient computation of various properties of a distribution such as probabilities, expectations, quantiles etc. The output of an importance sampling algorithm can be represented as a weighted…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-18 Henrik Hult , Pierre Nyquist

In this paper we investigate the question of how much combined measurements can increase the accuracy of additive quantities. Therefore, we consider a set of measurements from a selection of all possible combinations of the $n$ labeled…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-05-18 B. Mirbach , M. Boguslawski

Ratios of universal enumerable semimeasures corresponding to hypotheses are investigated as a solution for statistical composite hypotheses testing if an unbounded amount of computation time can be assumed. Influence testing for discrete…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-12-15 Bruno Bauwens

Important decisions are likely made by groups of agents. Thus group decision making is very common in practice. Very transparent group aggregating rules are given by weighted voting, where each agent is assigned a weight. Here a proposal is…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2014-01-08 Sascha Kurz , Nikolas Tautenhahn

We show on theoretical grounds that, even in the presence of noise, probabilistic measurement strategies (which have a certain probability of failure or abstention) can provide, upon a heralded successful outcome, estimates with a precision…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-10-27 J. Calsamiglia , B. Gendra , R. Munoz-Tapia , E. Bagan

Reliability is probability of success in a success-failure experiment. Confidence in reliability estimate improves with increasing number of samples. Assurance sets confidence level same as reliability to create one number for easier…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-07 Sanjay M. Joshi

Argumentation is a formalism allowing to reason with contradictory information by modeling arguments and their interactions. There are now an increasing number of gradual semantics and impact measures that have emerged to facilitate the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-12 Caren Al Anaissy , Jérôme Delobelle , Srdjan Vesic , Bruno Yun

This paper makes the case for using Shapley value to quantify the importance of random input variables to a function. Alternatives based on the ANOVA decomposition can run into conceptual and computational problems when the input variables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-22 Art B. Owen , Clémentine Prieur

Weighting estimators based on propensity scores are widely used for causal estimation in a variety of contexts, such as observational studies, marginal structural models and interference. They enjoy appealing theoretical properties such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-06 Linbo Wang , Yuexia Zhang , Thomas S. Richardson , Xiao-Hua Zhou

Although there has been significant research in boosting of weak learners, there has been little work in the field of boosting from strong learners. This latter paradigm is a form of weighted voting with learned weights. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-22 Matthew A. Reyna , Gari D. Clifford

Statistical significance measures the reliability of a result obtained from a random experiment. We investigate the number of repetitions needed for a statistical result to have a certain significance. In the first step, we consider…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-19 Maike Tormählen , Galiya Klinkova , Michael Grabinski

We study a model of temporal voting where there is a fixed time horizon, and at each round the voters report their preferences over the available candidates and a single candidate is selected. Prior work has adapted popular notions of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Edith Elkind , Svetlana Obraztsova , Jannik Peters , Nicholas Teh

A proposed measure of voting power should satisfy two conditions to be plausible: first, it must be conceptually justified, capturing the intuitive meaning of what voting power is; second, it must satisfy reasonable postulates. This paper…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-05-18 Arash Abizadeh , Adrian Vetta

We propose using the technique of weighted citation to measure an article's prestige. The technique allocates a different weight to each reference by taking into account the impact of citing journals and citation time intervals. Weighted…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2010-12-23 Erjia Yan , Ying Ding

In this paper, we consider the voter model with popularity bias. The influence of each node on its neighbors depends on its degree. We find the consensus probabilities and expected consensus times for each of the states. We also find the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-06-30 Babak Fotouhi , Michael G. Rabbat

The paper analyzes theoretically and empirically the performance of likelihood weighting (LW) on a subset of nodes in Bayesian networks. The proposed scheme requires fewer samples to converge due to reduction in sampling variance. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Bozhena Bidyuk , Rina Dechter

Weighted voting is a classic model of cooperation among agents in decision-making domains. In such games, each player has a weight, and a coalition of players wins the game if its total weight meets or exceeds a given quota. A players power…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-01-17 Haris Aziz , Yoram Bachrach , Edith Elkind , Mike Paterson

In this paper we study empirically the validity of measures of referential success for referring expressions involving gradual properties. More specifically, we study the ability of several measures of referential success to predict the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-10-02 Albert Gatt , Nicolás Marín , Gustavo Rivas-Gervilla , Daniel Sánchez