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With the advancement of GPS and remote sensing technologies, large amounts of geospatial and spatiotemporal data are being collected from various domains, driving the need for effective and efficient prediction methods. Given spatial data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-25 Zhe Jiang

Spatial scan statistics are well-known methods for cluster detection and are widely used in epidemiology and medical studies for detecting and evaluating the statistical significance of disease hotspots. For the sake of simplicity, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-25 Mohamed-Salem Ahmed , Lionel Cucala , Michael Genin

Scoring rules are aimed at evaluation of the quality of predictions, but can also be used for estimation of parameters in statistical models. We propose estimating parameters of multivariate spatial models by maximising the average…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-23 Helga Kristin Olafsdottir , Holger Rootzén , David Bolin

The authors apply three methods of prospective modelling to high resolution georeferenced land cover data in a Mediterranean mountain area: GIS approach, non linear parametric model and neuronal network. Land cover prediction to the latest…

The overwhelming majority of homeless individuals are jobless, despite many expressing a willingness to work. While this strong individual-level link between homelessness and unemployment is well-documented, the broader impact of labor…

General Economics · Economics 2025-04-01 Damba Lkhagvasuren , Purevdorj Tuvaandorj

We present a novel approach for the analysis of multivariate case-control georeferenced data using Bayesian inference in the context of disease mapping, where the spatial distribution of different types of cancers is analyzed. Extending…

Spatio-temporal problems exist in many areas of knowledge and disciplines ranging from biology to engineering and physics. However, solution strategies based on classical statistical techniques often fall short due to the large number of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-15 Emil B. Iversen , Rune Juhl , Jan K. Møller , Jan Kleissl , Henrik Madsen , Juan M. Morales

We develop a spatio-temporal model to forecast sensor output at five locations in North East England. The signal is described using coupled dynamic linear models, with spatial effects specified by a Gaussian process. Data streams are…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-15 Yingying Lai , Andrew Golightly , Richard Boys

This paper addresses the problem of recovering the spatial market potential of a retail product from spatially distributed sales data. In order to tackle the problem in a general way, the concept of spatial potential is introduced. The…

Applications · Statistics 2015-03-13 Francesco Finazzi

This study introduces a statistical mechanics framework to analyze the territorial distribution of the Resident Foreign Population across Italian municipalities. The observed percentages of foreign residents are treated as the reference…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Pierpaolo Massoli

What is the impact of COVID-19 on South Africa? This paper envisages assisting researchers and decision-makers in battling the COVID-19 pandemic focusing on South Africa. This paper focuses on the spread of the disease by applying heatmap…

This research develops a socioeconomic health index for nations through a model-based approach which incorporates spatial dependence and examines the impact of a policy through a causal modeling framework. As the gross domestic product…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-11 F. Swen Kuh , Grace S. Chiu , Anton H. Westveld

Disease mapping attempts to explain observed health event counts across areal units, typically using Markov random field models. These models rely on spatial priors to account for variation in raw relative risk or rate estimates. Spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-03 Garazi Retegui , Alan E. Gelfand , Jaione Etxeberria , María Dolores Ugarte

Accurately forecasting urban development and its environmental and climate impacts critically depends on realistic models of the spatial structure of the built environment, and of its dependence on key factors such as population and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-24 Adrian Albert , Jasleen Kaur , Emanuele Strano , Marta Gonzalez

In recent years, there has been growing interest in leveraging machine learning for homeless service assignment. However, the categorical nature of administrative data recorded for homeless individuals hinders the development of accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-13 Khandker Sadia Rahman , Charalampos Chelmis

Modelling the extremal dependence structure of spatial data is considerably easier if that structure is stationary. However, for data observed over large or complicated domains, non-stationarity will often prevail. Current methods for…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-04 Jordan Richards , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

Accurate forecasts of the impact of spatial weather and pan-European socio-economic and political risks on hourly electricity demand for the mid-term horizon are crucial for strategic decision-making amidst the inherent uncertainty. Most…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-06 Monika Zimmermann , Florian Ziel

Spatial crowdsourcing refers to a system that periodically assigns a number of location-based workers with spatial tasks nearby (e.g., taking photos or videos at some spatial locations). Previous works on the spatial crowdsourcing usually…

Databases · Computer Science 2018-02-26 Peng Cheng , Xiang Lian , Lei Chen , Cyrus Shahabi

Traditional robotic approaches rely on an accurate model of the environment, a detailed description of how to perform the task, and a robust perception system to keep track of the current state. On the other hand, reinforcement learning…

Although much has been published regarding street protests on social media, few works have attempted to characterize social media users' spatial behavior in such events. The research reported here uses spatial capture-recapture methods to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-03-11 Víctor H. Masías , Fernando Crespo , Pilar Navarro R. , Razan Masood , Nicole C. Krämer , H. Ulrich Hoppe