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In this paper we consider the joint problems of state estimation and model identification for a class of continuous-time nonlinear systems in output-feedback canonical form. An adaptive observer is proposed that combines an extended…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-01 Michelangelo Bin , Lorenzo Marconi

This paper considers the problem of computing Bayesian estimates of both states and model parameters for nonlinear state-space models. Generally, this problem does not have a tractable solution and approximations must be utilised. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-15 Jarrad Courts , Johannes Hendriks , Adrian Wills , Thomas Schön , Brett Ninness

We introduce a nonparametric spectral density estimator for continuous-time and continuous-space processes measured at fully irregular locations. Our estimator is constructed using a weighted nonuniform Fourier sum whose weights yield a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Christopher J. Geoga , Paul G. Beckman

We define a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) in which each hidden state has time-dependent $\textit{activity levels}$ that drive transitions and emissions, and show how to estimate its parameters. Our construction is motivated by the problem of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-28 David A. Meyer , Asif Shakeel

State estimation allows to monitor power networks, exploiting field measurements to derive the most likely grid state. In the literature, measurement errors are usually assumed to follow zero-mean Gaussian distributions; however, it has…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-07 Marta Vanin , Tom Van Acker , Reinhilde D'hulst , Dirk Van Hertem

We consider the estimation of the global mode of a density under some decay rate condition around the global mode. We show that the maximum of a histogram, with proper choice of bandwidth, achieves the minimax rate that we establish for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-19 Ery Arias-Castro , Wanli Qiao , Lin Zheng

Many applications involve estimation of a signal matrix from a noisy data matrix. In such cases, it has been observed that estimators that shrink or truncate the singular values of the data matrix perform well when the signal matrix has…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-20 David Gerard , Peter Hoff

We propose and investigate a new estimation method for the parameters of models consisting of smooth density functions on the positive half axis. The procedure is based on a recently introduced characterization result for the respective…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-16 Steffen Betsch , Bruno Ebner , Bernhard Klar

In system identification, estimating parameters of a model using limited observations results in poor identifiability. To cope with this issue, we propose a new method to simultaneously select and estimate sensitive parameters as key model…

We develop an approach for estimating models described via conditional moment restrictions, with a prototypical application being non-parametric instrumental variable regression. We introduce a min-max criterion function, under which the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-15 Nishanth Dikkala , Greg Lewis , Lester Mackey , Vasilis Syrgkanis

We estimate on a compact interval densities with isolated irregularities, such as discontinuities or discontinuities in some derivatives. From independent and identically distributed observations we construct a kernel estimator with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Céline Duval , Émeline Schmisser

In various practical situations, we encounter data from stochastic processes which can be efficiently modelled by an appropriate parametric model for subsequent statistical analyses. Unfortunately, the most common estimation and inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Rohan Hore , Abhik Ghosh

In a first part, we prove Bernstein-type deviation inequalities for bifurcating Markov chains (BMC) under a geometric ergodicity assumption, completing former results of Guyon and Bitseki Penda, Djellout and Guillin. These preliminary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-11 S. Valère Bitseki Penda , Marc Hoffmann , Adélaïde Olivier

In a previous article, a least square regression estimation procedure was proposed: first, we condiser a family of functions and study the properties of an estimator in every unidimensionnal model defined by one of these functions; we then…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Pierre Alquier

In this paper, approximate Linear Minimum Variance (LMV) filters for continuous-discrete state space models are introduced. The filters are obtained by means of a recursive approximation to the predictions for the first two moments of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-18 Juan Carlos Jimenez

We construct a novel estimator for the diffusion coefficient of the limiting homogenized equation, when observing the slow dynamics of a multiscale model, in the case when the slow dynamics are of bounded variation. Previous research…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-04 Theodoros Manikas , Anastasia Papavasiliou

In this paper we study the computation of the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE) in multivariate mixture models. Our first approach discretizes this infinite dimensional convex optimization problem by fixing the support…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-20 Yangjing Zhang , Ying Cui , Bodhisattva Sen , Kim-Chuan Toh

The Pseudo-Marginal (PM) algorithm is a popular Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method used to sample from a target distribution when its density is inaccessible, but can be estimated with a non-negative unbiased estimator. Its performance…

Computation · Statistics 2025-09-30 Sarra Abaoubida , Mylène Bédard , Florian Maire

We propose a generative model that achieves minimax-optimal convergence rates for estimating probability distributions supported on unknown low-dimensional manifolds. Building on Fefferman's solution to the geometric Whitney problem, our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Arthur Stéphanovitch

This paper studies density estimation under pointwise loss in the setting of contamination model. The goal is to estimate $f(x_0)$ at some $x_0\in\mathbb{R}$ with i.i.d. observations, $$ X_1,\dots,X_n\sim (1-\epsilon)f+\epsilon g, $$ where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-30 Haoyang Liu , Chao Gao