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Monte Carlo simulation is often used for the reliability assessment of power systems, but it converges slowly when the system is complex. Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) can be applied to speed up computation without compromises on model…

Computation · Statistics 2022-07-12 Ensieh Sharifnia , Simon Tindemans

Understanding decisions made by neural networks is key for the deployment of intelligent systems in real world applications. However, the opaque decision making process of these systems is a disadvantage where interpretability is essential.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-12 Kai Fischer , Jonas Schneider

We continue our study [Domain Uncertainty Quantification in Computational Electromagnetics, JUQ (2020), 8:301--341] of the numerical approximation of time-harmonic electromagnetic fields for the Maxwell lossy cavity problem for uncertain…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-15 Rubén Aylwin , Carlos Jerez-Hanckes , Christoph Schwab , Jakob Zech

This study is devoted to the construction of a multifidelity Monte Carlo (MFMC) method for the uncertainty quantification of a nonlocal, non-mass-conserving Cahn-Hilliard model for phase transitions with an obstacle potential. We are…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Parisa Khodabakhshi , Olena Burkovska , Karen Willcox , Max Gunzburger

We describe a Monte Carlo procedure which allows sampling of the disjoint configuration spaces associated with crystalline and fluid phases, within a single simulation. The method utilises biased sampling techniques to enhance the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 N. B. Wilding , A. D. Bruce

In this paper, we are interested in deriving non-asymptotic error bounds for the multilevel Monte Carlo method. As a first step, we deal with the explicit Euler discretization of stochastic differential equations with a constant diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-19 Benjamin Jourdain , Ahmed Kebaier

Stochastic spectral methods have become a popular technique to quantify the uncertainties of nano-scale devices and circuits. They are much more efficient than Monte Carlo for certain design cases with a small number of random parameters.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2016-03-22 Zheng Zhang , Tsui-Wei Weng , Luca Daniel

This paper addresses finite sample stability properties of sequential Monte Carlo methods for approximating sequences of probability distributions. The results presented herein are applicable in the scenario where the start and end…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-19 Nick Whiteley

Monte Carlo experiments produce samples in order to estimate features of a given distribution. However, simultaneous estimation of means and quantiles has received little attention, despite being common practice. In this setting we…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-24 Nathan Robertson , James M. Flegal , Dootika Vats , Galin L. Jones

We propose in this work a Monte Carlo method for three dimensional scalar radiative transfer equations with non-integrable, space-dependent scattering kernels. Such kernels typically account for long-range statistical features, and arise…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Christophe Gomez , Olivier Pinaud

Many inverse problems in nuclear fusion and high-energy astrophysics research, such as the optimization of tokamak reactor geometries or the inference of black hole parameters from interferometric images, necessitate high-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-09 Jonathan Gorard , Ammar Hakim , Hong Qin , Kyle Parfrey , Shantenu Jha

A first-order, Monte Carlo ensemble method has been recently introduced for solving parabolic equations with random coefficients in [26], which is a natural synthesis of the ensemble-based, Monte Carlo sampling algorithm and the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-02-19 Yan Luo , Zhu Wang

Probabilistic (or Bayesian) modeling and learning offers interesting possibilities for systematic representation of uncertainty using probability theory. However, probabilistic learning often leads to computationally challenging problems.…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-14 Andreas Svensson , Thomas B. Schön , Fredrik Lindsten

The equilibrium configuration of a plasma in an axially symmetric reactor is described mathematically by a free boundary problem associated with the celebrated Grad--Shafranov equation. The presence of uncertainty in the model parameters…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-12-22 Howard C. Elman , Jiaxing Liang , Tonatiuh Sánchez-Vizuet

In this article, we analyze Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) by placing it in the setting of Riemannian geometry using the Jacobi metric, so that each step corresponds to a geodesic on a suitable Riemannian manifold. We then combine the notion…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-21 Susan Holmes , Simon Rubinstein-Salzedo , Christof Seiler

In multiple scientific and technological applications we face the problem of having low dimensional data to be justified by a linear model defined in a high dimensional parameter space. The difference in dimensionality makes the problem…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-08-04 Jorge Fernandez-de-Cossio-Diaz , Roberto Mulet

This paper concerns the approximation of smooth, high-dimensional functions from limited samples using polynomials. This task lies at the heart of many applications in computational science and engineering - notably, some of those arising…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Ben Adcock , Simone Brugiapaglia

The problem of estimating certain distributions over $\{0,1\}^d$ is considered here. The distribution represents a quantum system of $d$ qubits, where there are non-trivial dependencies between the qubits. A maximum entropy approach is…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-08 Ryan Bennink , Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Pavel Lougovski

A statistical learning approach for parametric PDEs related to Uncertainty Quantification is derived. The method is based on the minimization of an empirical risk on a selected model class and it is shown to be applicable to a broad range…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-01-07 Martin Eigel , Reinhold Schneider , Philipp Trunschke , Sebastian Wolf

Spatially referenced datasets have become increasingly prevalent across many fields, largely driven by advances in data collection methods such as satellite remote sensing. In many applications, predictions at unobserved locations are…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Isaac Amouzou , Ben Seiyon Lee
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