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A microscopic dynamic model is here constructed and analyzed, describing the evolution of the income distribution in the presence of taxation and redistribution in a society in which also tax evasion and auditing processes occur. The focus…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-03 M. L. Bertotti , G. Modanese

This paper presents a simple agent-based model of an economic system, populated by agents playing different games according to their different view about social cohesion and tax payment. After a first set of simulations, correctly…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-24 L. S. Di Mauro , A. Pluchino , A. E. Biondo

Debt aversion can have severe adverse effects on financial decision-making. We propose a model of debt aversion, and design an experiment involving real debt and saving contracts, to elicit and jointly estimate debt aversion with…

General Economics · Economics 2022-07-27 Thomas Meissner , David Albrecht

Credit scores are critical for allocating consumer debt in the United States, yet little evidence is available on their performance. We benchmark a widely used credit score against a machine learning model of consumer default and find…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-04 Stefania Albanesi , Domonkos F. Vamossy

Microscopic models describing a whole of economic interactions in a closed society are considered. The presence of a tax system combined with a redistribution process is taken into account, as well as the occurrence of tax evasion. In…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-11 M. L. Bertotti , G. Modanese

The deep financial turmoil in China caused by the COVID-19 pandemic has exacerbated fiscal shocks and soaring public debt levels, which raises concerns about the stability and sustainability of China's public debt growth in the future. This…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-03 Tianbao Zhou , Zhixin Liu , Yingying Xu

In the General Theory, Keynes remarked that the economy's state depends on expectations, and that these expectations can be subject to sudden swings. In this work, we develop a multiple equilibria behavioural business cycle model that can…

Agents buy and sell services. All services are of equal quality. Buyers choose sellers at random. Monetary and fiscal policies are imposed by a central bank and a central government. Credit is supplied by a commercial banking system.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-02-03 Robert W. Easton

We replicate Meissner (2016), where debt aversion was reported for the first time in an intertemporal consumption and saving problem. While Meissner (2016) uses a German sample, our participants are US undergraduate students. All of the…

General Economics · Economics 2025-01-08 Steffen Ahrens , Ciril Bosch-Rosa , Thomas Meissner

We study a simple, solvable model that allows us to investigate effects of credit contagion on the default probability of individual firms, in both portfolios of firms and on an economy wide scale. While the effect of interactions may be…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 J. P. L. Hatchett , R. Kuehn

This study explores the interdependent relationship between consumer credit and consumer confidence in the United States using monthly data from January 1978 to August 2024. Utilizing a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), the analysis…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-29 Samiha Tariq , Weikang Zhang

Post-pandemic world has thrown up several challenges, such as, high inflation, low growth, high debt, collapse of economies, political instability, job losses, lowering of income in addition to damages caused natural disasters, more…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Dibakar Das

We discuss a class of debt management problems in a stochastic environment model. We propose a model for the debt-to-GDP (Gross Domestic Product) ratio where the government interventions via fiscal policies affect the public debt and the…

General Economics · Economics 2021-07-23 Matteo Brachetta , Claudia Ceci

Economic hardships significantly affect public perception and voting intentions in general elections. The primary focus of my study is to capture the degree of influence that individual economic hardships have on their voting. I utilize the…

General Economics · Economics 2024-08-13 Muhammad Hassan Bin Afzal

We investigate a multi-household DSGE model in which past aggregate consumption impacts the confidence, and therefore consumption propensity, of individual households. We find that such a minimal setup is extremely rich, and leads to a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-19 Federico Guglielmo Morelli , Michael Benzaquen , Marco Tarzia , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

This article investigates the fundamental factors influencing the rate and manner of Electoral participation with an economic model-based approach. In this study, the structural parameters affecting people's decision making are divided into…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-29 Mostafa Raeisi Sarkandiz

The major perspective of this paper is to provide more evidence into the empirical determinants of capital structure adjustment in different macroeconomics states by focusing and discussing the relative importance of firm-specific and…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-23 Andreas Kaloudis , Dimitrios Tsolis

In our model, private actors with interbank cash flows similar to, but nore general than (Carmona, Fouque, Sun, 2013) borrow from the outside economy at a certain interest rate, controlled by the central bank, and invest in risky assets.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-09 Aditya Maheshwari , Andrey Sarantsev

We study here the dynamics of opinion formation in a society where we take into account of the internally held beliefs and externally expressed opinions of the individuals, which are not necessarily the same at all times. While these two…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-04-27 Subhadeep Roy , Soumyajyoti Biswas

We estimate the causal effect of external debt on greenhouse gas emissions in a panel of 78 emerging market and developing economies over the 1990-2015 period. Unlike previous literature, we use external instruments to address the potential…

General Economics · Economics 2024-04-23 Jorge Carrera , Pablo de la Vega