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The instrumental variable quantile regression (IVQR) model (Chernozhukov and Hansen, 2005) is a popular tool for estimating causal quantile effects with endogenous covariates. However, estimation is complicated by the non-smoothness and…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-14 Hiroaki Kaido , Kaspar Wuthrich

In this article, we present a novel approach to multivariate probabilistic forecasting. Our approach is based on an extension of single-output quantile regression (QR) to multivariate-targets, called quantile surfaces (QS). QS uses a simple…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-13 Maarten Bieshaar , Jens Schreiber , Stephan Vogt , André Gensler , Bernhard Sick

We develop a scalable algorithmic framework for sparse convex quantile regression (SCQR), addressing key computational challenges in the literature. Enhancing the classical CQR model, we introduce L2-norm regularization and an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Xiaoyu Luo , Chuanhou Gao

In the context of spatial econometrics, it is very useful to have methodologies that allow modeling the spatial dependence of the observed variables and obtaining more precise predictions of both the mean and the variability of the response…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-19 J. D. Toloza-Delgado , O. O. Melo , N. A. Cruz

We propose a prediction procedure for the functional linear quantile regression model by using partial quantile covariance techniques and develop a simple partial quantile regression (SIMPQR) algorithm to efficiently extract partial…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-03 Dengdeng Yu , Linglong Kong , Ivan Mizera

This paper considers the quantile regression approach for partially linear spatial autoregressive models with possibly varying coefficients. B-spline is employed for the approximation of varying coefficients. The instrumental variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-08 Xiaowen Dai , Shaoyang Li , Maozai Tian

In recent years, censored quantile regression has enjoyed an increasing popularity for survival analysis while many existing works rely on linearity assumptions. In this work, we propose a Global Censored Quantile Random Forest (GCQRF) for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-17 Siyu Zhou , Limin Peng

Uncertainty quantification has been a core of the statistical machine learning, but its computational bottleneck has been a serious challenge for both Bayesians and frequentists. We propose a model-based framework in quantifying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Minsuk Shin , Young Lee , Jun S. Liu

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is an important component of molecular property prediction, particularly for drug discovery applications where model predictions direct experimental design and where unanticipated imprecision wastes valuable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-21 Lior Hirschfeld , Kyle Swanson , Kevin Yang , Regina Barzilay , Connor W. Coley

Motivated by the study of how daily temperature affects soybean yield, this article proposes a simultaneous functional quantile regression (FQR) model featuring a locally sparse bivariate slope function indexed by both quantile and time and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Boyi Hu , Jiguo Cao

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is a booming discipline for complex computational models based on the analysis of robustness, reliability and credibility. UQ analysis for nonlinear crash models with high dimensional outputs presents…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-03-31 Marc Rocas , Alberto García-González , Xabier Larrayoz , Pedro Díez

A framework is developed based on different uncertainty quantification (UQ) techniques in order to assess validation and verification (V&V) metrics in computational physics problems, in general, and computational fluid dynamics (CFD), in…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-07-15 Saleh Rezaeiravesh , Ricardo Vinuesa , Philipp Schlatter

Unmeasured, spatially-structured factors can confound associations between spatial environmental exposures and health outcomes. Adding flexible splines to a regression model is a simple approach for spatial confounding adjustment, but the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-22 Joshua P. Keller , Adam A. Szpiro

I propose a quantile-based nonadditive fixed effects panel model to study heterogeneous causal effects. Similar to standard fixed effects (FE) model, my model allows arbitrary dependence between regressors and unobserved heterogeneity, but…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-11 Xin Liu

Semi-parametric quantile regression (SPQR) is a flexible approach to density regression that learns a spline-based representation of conditional density functions using neural networks. As it makes no parametric assumptions about the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Reetam Majumder , Jordan Richards

In a Bayesian setting, inverse problems and uncertainty quantification (UQ) --- the propagation of uncertainty through a computational (forward) model --- are strongly connected. In the form of conditional expectation the Bayesian update…

This study proposes a method for aggregating/synthesizing global and local sub-models for fast and flexible spatial regression modeling. Eigenvector spatial filtering (ESF) was used to model spatially varying coefficients and spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-25 Daisuke Murakami , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Hajime Seya , Daniel A. Griffith

Residuals in regression models are often spatially correlated. Prominent examples include studies in environmental epidemiology to understand the chronic health effects of pollutants. I consider the effects of residual spatial structure on…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-11-05 Christopher J. Paciorek

In the instrumental variable quantile regression (IVQR) model of Chernozhukov and Hansen (2005), a one-dimensional unobserved rank variable monotonically determines a single potential outcome. In practice, when researchers are interested in…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-28 Haruki Kono

Spatiotemporal prediction plays a critical role in numerous real-world applications such as urban planning, transportation optimization, disaster response, and pandemic control. In recent years, researchers have made significant progress by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Dahai Yu , Dingyi Zhuang , Lin Jiang , Rongchao Xu , Xinyue Ye , Yuheng Bu , Shenhao Wang , Guang Wang