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Modern cosmological data demand modern data analysis techniques. We introduce BayOp, a new likelihood sampling and maximisation method which is based on the Bayesian Optimisation algorithm and learns a function instead of randomly sampling…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-04-15 Jan Hamann , Julius Wons

Line-intensity mapping (LIM) provides a promising way to probe cosmology, reionization and galaxy evolution. However, its sensitivity to cosmology and astrophysics at the same time is also a nuisance. Here we develop a comprehensive…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-01-21 José Luis Bernal , Patrick C. Breysse , Héctor Gil-Marín , Ely D. Kovetz

We propose an efficient Bayesian MCMC algorithm for estimating cosmological parameters from CMB data without use of likelihood approximations. It builds on a previously developed Gibbs sampling framework that allows for exploration of the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-03-29 Benjamin Racine , Jeffrey B. Jewell , Hans Kristian K. Eriksen , Ingunn K. Wehus

$ $Future surveys could obtain tighter constraints on the cosmological parameters with the galaxy power spectrum than with the Cosmic Microwave Background. However, the inclusion of multiple overlapping tracers, redshift bins, and more…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-24 Yan Lai , Cullan Howlett , Tamara M. Davis

We consider the problem of estimating the expected value of information (the knowledge gradient) for Bayesian learning problems where the belief model is nonlinear in the parameters. Our goal is to maximize some metric, while simultaneously…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-23 Xinyu He , Warren B. Powell

This work presents a novel and effective method for fitting multidimensional ellipsoids to scattered data in the contamination of noise and outliers. We approach the problem as a Bayesian parameter estimate process and maximize the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-30 Zhao Mingyang , Jia Xiaohong , Ma Lei , Shi Yuke , Jiang Jingen , Li Qizhai , Yan Dong-Ming , Huang Tiejun

Extracting information from cosmic surveys is often done in a two-step process, construction of maps and then summary statistics such as two-point functions. We use simulations to demonstrate the advantages of a general Bayesian framework…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-12-06 Alan Junzhe Zhou , Scott Dodelson

The Bayesian evidence is a key tool in model selection, allowing a comparison of models with different numbers of parameters. Its use in analysis of cosmological models has been limited by difficulties in calculating it, with current…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-02-01 Juan Garcia-Bellido

We develop a general formalism for analysing parameter information from non-Gaussian cosmic fields. The method can be adapted to include the nonlinear effects in galaxy redshift surveys, weak lensing surveys and cosmic velocity field…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-31 Andy Taylor , Peter Watts

A ubiquitous feature of data of our era is their extra-large sizes and dimensions. Analyzing such high-dimensional data poses significant challenges, since the feature dimension is often much larger than the sample size. This thesis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-11 Kai Yang

Although the broad outlines of the appropriate pipeline for cosmological likelihood analysis with CMB data has been known for several years, only recently have we had to contend with the full, large-scale, computationally challenging…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 Andrew H. Jaffe , J. R. Bond , P. G. Ferreira , L. E. Knox

We propose a formalism for estimating the skewness and angular power spectrum of a general Cosmic Microwave Background data set. We use the Edgeworth Expansion to define a non-Gaussian likelihood function that takes into account the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2010-04-30 C. R. Contaldi , P. G. Ferreira , J. Magueijo , K. M. Gorski

Marked power spectra provide a computationally efficient way to extract non-Gaussian information from the matter density field using the usual analysis tools developed for the power spectrum without the need for explicit calculation of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-02 Jessica A. Cowell , David Alonso , Jia Liu

Numerical nonlinear algebra is applied to maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian models defined by linear constraints on the covariance matrix. We examine the generic case as well as special models (e.g. Toeplitz, sparse, trees) that…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-07 Bernd Sturmfels , Sascha Timme , Piotr Zwiernik

We present a generic algorithm for generating Gaussian random initial conditions for cosmological simulations on periodic rectangular lattices. We show that imposing periodic boundary conditions on the real-space correlator and choosing…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-30 Ue-Li Pen

We use the non-equlibrium statistical field theory for classical particles, recently developed by Mazenko and Das and Mazenko, together with the free generating functional we have previously derived for point sets initially correlated in…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2014-11-06 Matthias Bartelmann , Felix Fabis , Daniel Berg , Elena Kozlikin , Robert Lilow , Celia Viermann

Analysing next-generation cosmological data requires balancing accurate modeling of non-linear gravitational structure formation and computational demands. We propose a solution by introducing a machine learning-based field-level emulator,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-12 Ludvig Doeser , Drew Jamieson , Stephen Stopyra , Guilhem Lavaux , Florent Leclercq , Jens Jasche

The primary science driver for 3D galaxy surveys is their potential to constrain cosmological parameters. Forecasts of these surveys' effectiveness typically assume Gaussian statistics for the underlying matter density, despite the fact…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-10-27 Andrew Repp , István Szapudi , Julien Carron , Melody Wolk

Precise reconstruction of the cosmic microwave background lensing potential can be achieved with deep polarization surveys by iteratively removing lensing-induced $B$ modes. We introduce a lensing spectrum estimator and its likelihood for…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-13 Louis Legrand , Julien Carron

Bayesian model selection methods provide a self-consistent probabilistic framework to test the validity of competing scenarios given a set of data. We present a case study application to strong gravitational lens parametric models. Our goal…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2013-04-22 Irène Balmès , Pier-Stefano Corasaniti