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In this paper we consider the problem of linear unmixing hidden random variables defined over the simplex with additive Gaussian noise, also known as probabilistic simplex component analysis (PRISM). Previous solutions to tackle this…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-26 Nerya Granot , Tzvi Diskin , Nicolas Dobigeon , Ami Wiesel

Mixture models are regularly used in density estimation applications, but the problem of estimating the mixing distribution remains a challenge. Nonparametric maximum likelihood produce estimates of the mixing distribution that are…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-28 Minwoo Chae , Ryan Martin , Stephen G. Walker

In this paper, we provide a multiscale perspective on the problem of maximum marginal likelihood estimation. We consider and analyse a diffusion-based maximum marginal likelihood estimation scheme using ideas from multiscale dynamics. Our…

Computation · Statistics 2024-06-11 O. Deniz Akyildiz , Michela Ottobre , Iain Souttar

This paper addresses the observability analysis and the optimal design of observation parameters in the presence of noisy measurements and parametric uncertainties. The main underlying frameworks are the nonlinear constrained moving horizon…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-05 Mazen Alamir

Accurate state and uncertainty estimation is imperative for mobile robots and self driving vehicles to achieve safe navigation in pedestrian rich environments. A critical component of state and uncertainty estimation for robot navigation is…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-04-08 Kapil D. Katyal , I-Jeng Wang , Gregory D. Hager

This paper presents a new approach to a robust Gaussian process (GP) regression. Most existing approaches replace an outlier-prone Gaussian likelihood with a non-Gaussian likelihood induced from a heavy tail distribution, such as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-15 Chiwoo Park , David J. Borth , Nicholas S. Wilson , Chad N. Hunter , Fritz J. Friedersdorf

The acceptance of automated driving is under the potential threat of motion sickness. It hinders the passengers' willingness to perform secondary activities. In order to mitigate motion sickness in automated vehicles, we propose an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-20 Yanggu Zheng , Barys Shyrokau , Tamas Keviczky

In black-box optimization, noise in the objective function is inevitable. Noise disrupts the ranking of candidate solutions in comparison-based optimization, possibly deteriorating the search performance compared with a noiseless scenario.…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-01-26 Daiki Morinaga , Youhei Akimoto

We investigate the problem of noise bias in maximum likelihood and maximum a posteriori estimators for cosmic shear. We derive the leading and next-to-leading order biases and compute them in the context of galaxy ellipticity measurements,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-03-23 Alex Hall , Andy Taylor

Motivated by various distributed control applications, we consider a linear system with Gaussian noise observed by multiple sensors which transmit measurements over a dynamic lossy network. We characterize the stationary optimal sensor…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-11 Hassan Hmedi , Johnson Carroll , Ari Arapostathis

Filtering and parameter estimation under partial information for multiscale problems is studied in this paper. After proving mean square convergence of the nonlinear filter to a filter of reduced dimension, we establish that the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-09 Andrew Papanicolaou , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We consider the parameter estimation problem of a probabilistic generative model prescribed using a natural exponential family of distributions. For this problem, the typical maximum likelihood estimator usually overfits under limited…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-13 Viet Anh Nguyen , Xuhui Zhang , Jose Blanchet , Angelos Georghiou

[This paper was initially published in PHME conference in 2016, selected for further publication in International Journal of Prognostics and Health Management.] This paper describes an Autoregressive Partially-hidden Markov model (ARPHMM)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-04 Pablo Juesas , Emmanuel Ramasso , Sébastien Drujont , Vincent Placet

This article studies a Newton-like method already used by several authors but which has not been thouroughly studied yet. We call it the robust-variance scoring (RVS) algorithm because the main version of the algorithm that we consider…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Daniel Commenges , Helene Jacqmin-Gadda , Cecile Proust , Jeremie Guedj

We derive an efficient stochastic algorithm for inverse problems that present an unknown linear forcing term and a set of nonlinear parameters to be recovered. It is assumed that the data is noisy and that the linear part of the problem is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Darko Volkov

A novel ordinal regression algorithm, called moving window regression (MWR), is proposed in this paper. First, we propose the notion of relative rank ($\rho$-rank), which is a new order representation scheme for input and reference…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-25 Nyeong-Ho Shin , Seon-Ho Lee , Chang-Su Kim

In this paper we address the problem of predicting a time series using the ARMA (autoregressive moving average) model, under minimal assumptions on the noise terms. Using regret minimization techniques, we develop effective online learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Oren Anava , Elad Hazan , Shie Mannor , Ohad Shamir

Real-world network applications must cope with failing nodes, malicious attacks, or, somehow, nodes facing corrupted data --- classified as outliers. One enabling application is the geographic localization of the network nodes. However,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-31 Cláudia Soares , João Gomes

The use of moving averages is pervasive in macroeconomic monitoring, particularly for tracking noisy series such as inflation. The choice of the look-back window is crucial. Too long of a moving average is not timely enough when faced with…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-24 Philippe Goulet Coulombe , Karin Klieber

Maximum likelihood estimation is a common method of estimating the parameters of the probability distribution from a given sample. This paper aims to introduce the maximum likelihood estimation in the framework of sublinear expectation. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-16 Xinpeng Li , Yue Liu , Jiaquan Lu