Related papers: An early warning system for multivariate time seri…
Out-of-distribution (OOD) detection is critical for the safe deployment of machine learning systems in safety-sensitive domains. Diffusion models have recently emerged as powerful generative models, capable of capturing complex data…
Diffusion models have achieved state-of-the-art performance in generative modeling, yet their sampling procedures remain vulnerable to hallucinations-often stemming from inaccuracies in score approximation. In this work, we reinterpret…
Understanding the time-varying structure of complex temporal systems is one of the main challenges of modern time series analysis. In this paper, we show that every uniformly-positive-definite-in-covariance and sufficiently short-range…
The problem of increased queueing delays in the Internet motivates the study of currently implemented transport protocols and active queue management (AQM) policies. We study Compound TCP (default protocol in Windows) with Random Early…
We develop an early-warning signal for bifurcations of one-dimensional random difference equations with additive bounded noise, based on the asymptotic behaviour of the stationary density near a boundary of its support. We demonstrate the…
This study presents a nonlinear signal processing method for accurate radar-based heartbeat interval estimation by exploiting the periodicity of higher-order harmonics inherent in heartbeat signals. Unlike conventional approaches that…
Approximate variational inference has shown to be a powerful tool for modeling unknown complex probability distributions. Recent advances in the field allow us to learn probabilistic models of sequences that actively exploit spatial and…
Propagation of uncertainty in dynamical systems is a significant challenge. Here we focus on random multiscale ordinary differential equation models. In particular, we study Hopf bifurcation in the fast subsystem for random initial…
Backtests on historical data are the basis for practical evaluations of portfolio selection rules, but their reliability is often limited by reliance on a single sample path. This can lead to high estimation variance. Resampling techniques…
Perception of time from sequentially acquired sensory inputs is rooted in everyday behaviors of individual organisms. Yet, most algorithms for time-series modeling fail to learn dynamics of random event timings directly from visual or audio…
Within the field of hierarchical modelling, little attention is paid to micro-macro models: those in which group-level outcomes are dependent on covariates measured at the level of individuals within groups. Although such models are perhaps…
Testing the independence between random vectors is a fundamental problem in statistics. Distance correlation, a recently popular dependence measure, is universally consistent for testing independence against all distributions with finite…
For reliable deployment of deep-learning systems, out-of-distribution (OOD) detection is indispensable. In the real world, where test-time inputs often arrive as streaming mixtures of in-distribution (ID) and OOD samples under evolving…
In this paper a new distributed asynchronous algorithm is proposed for time synchronization in networks with random communication delays, measurement noise and communication dropouts. Three different types of the drift correction algorithm…
Random feature ridge regression is often analyzed in the high-dimensional regime under the homogeneous sampling model $x_i=\Sigma^{1/2}x_i'$, where the vectors $x_i'$ have iid entries and the same covariance matrix $\Sigma$ is shared by all…
This paper proposes a flexible framework for inferring large-scale time-varying and time-lagged correlation networks from multivariate or high-dimensional non-stationary time series with piecewise smooth trends. Built on a novel and unified…
Automatic differentiation (AD) in reverse mode (RAD) is a central component of deep learning and other uses of large-scale optimization. Commonly used RAD algorithms such as backpropagation, however, are complex and stateful, hindering deep…
Out-of-distribution (OOD) detection identifies test samples that differ from the training data, which is critical to ensuring the safety and reliability of machine learning (ML) systems. While a plethora of methods have been developed to…
Despite its impressive theory \& practical performance, Frequent Directions (\acrshort{fd}) has not been widely adopted for large-scale regression tasks. Prior work has shown randomized sketches (i) perform worse in estimating the…
Studies of sparse representation of deterministic signals have been well developed. Amongst there exists one called adaptive Fourier decomposition (AFD) established through adaptive selections of the parameters defining a Takenaka-Malmquist…