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In astronomical observations, the estimation of distances from parallaxes is a challenging task due to the inherent measurement errors and the non-linear relationship between the parallax and the distance. This study leverages ideas from…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-05 Soham Ghosh , Uttaran Chatterjee , Jyotishka Datta

Shot noise processes are used in applied probability to model a variety of physical systems in, for example, teletraffic theory, insurance and risk theory and in the engineering sciences. In this work we prove a large deviation principle…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-18 Amarjit Budhiraja , Pierre Nyquist

This article discusses modelling of the tail of a multivariate distribution function by means of a large deviation principle (LDP), and its application to the estimation of the probability of a multivariate extreme event from a sample of n…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-23 Cees de Valk

This paper establishes a Freidlin-Wentzell large deviation principle for stochastic differential equations(SDEs) under locally weak monotonicity conditions and Lyapunov conditions. We illustrate the main result of the paper by showing that…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-14 Jian Wang , Hao Yang , Jianliang Zhai , Tusheng Zhang

We prove large deviations principles for spectral measures of perturbed (or spiked) matrix models in the direction of an eigenvector of the perturbation. In each model under study, we provide two approaches, one of which relying on large…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-24 Nathan Noiry , Alain Rouault

Starting from one-point tail bounds, we establish an upper tail large deviation principle for the directed landscape at the metric level. Metrics of finite rate are in one-to-one correspondence with measures supported on a set of countably…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-27 Sayan Das , Duncan Dauvergne , Bálint Virág

We prove existence of the large deviation principle, with a proper convex rate function, for the distribution of the renormalized distance from the origin of a random walk on a free product of finitely generated groups. As a consequence, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-26 Emilio Corso

Real space condensation is known to occur in stochastic models of mass transport in the regime in which the globally conserved mass density is greater than a critical value. It has been shown within models with factorised stationary states…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-11-04 Juraj Szavits-Nossan , Martin R. Evans , Satya N. Majumdar

We obtain concentration and large deviation for the sums of independent and identically distributed random variables with heavy-tailed distributions. Our concentration results are concerned with random variables whose distributions satisfy…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Milad Bakhshizadeh , Arian Maleki , Victor H. de la Pena

In this paper, we study the large deviation principle of invariant measures of stochastic reaction-diffusion lattice systems driven by multiplicative noise. We first show that any limit of a sequence of invariant measures of the stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-07 Bixiang Wang

We establish the well-posedness of stationary solutions for a class of SPDEs with locally monotone coefficients, and prove the Freidlin--Wentzell large deviation principle (LDP) for these stationary solutions. The LDP for the associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-27 Yong Liu , Bin Tang , Rangrang Zhang

This work establishes a large deviation principle for the spectral measure of the Lax matrix associated to the periodic Toda chain of $N$ particles, subject to a generalised Gibbs measure. This large deviation principle is governed by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Tamara Grava , Alice Guionnet , Karol K. Kozlowski , Alex Little

In this paper, we consider the large deviations of invariant measure for the 3D stochastic hyperdissipative Navier-Stokes equations driven by additive noise. The unique ergodicity of invariant measure as a preliminary result is proved using…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-07-11 Zhaoyang Qiu , Hui Liu , Chengfeng Sun

We study discrete statistical mechanics systems perturbed by a random environment without a finite second moment. Specifically, we consider a random environment whose tail distribution satisfies $P[\omega > x] \sim x^{-\gamma}$ as $x \to…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-05 Gaspard Gomez

We consider the incompressible 2D Navier-Stokes equations on the torus, driven by a deterministic time periodic force and a noise that is white in time and degenerate in Fourier space. The main result is twofold. Firstly, we establish a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-13 Rongchang Liu , Kening Lu

In many experimental situations, a physical system undergoes stochastic evolution which may be described via random maps between two compact spaces. In the current work, we study the applicability of large deviations theory to time-averaged…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Vladimir Y. Chernyak , Michael Chertkov , Sergey V. Malinin , Razvan Teodorescu

Large deviation principles and related results are given for a class of Markov chains associated to the "leaves" in random recursive trees and preferential attachment random graphs, as well as the "cherries" in Yule trees. In particular,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-22 W. Bryc , D. Minda , S. Sethuraman

For any hyperbolic rational map and any net of Borel probability measures on the space of Borel probability measures on the Julia set, we show that this net satisfies a strong form of the large deviation principle with a rate function given…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-05-13 Henri Comman

In this paper, we develop sample path large deviations for multivariate Hawkes processes with heavy-tailed mutual excitation rates. Our results address a broad class of rare events in Hawkes processes at the sample path level and, via the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Jose Blanchet , Roger J. A. Laeven , Xingyu Wang , Bert Zwart

Heavy-tailed distributions are found throughout many naturally occurring phenomena. We have reviewed the models of stochastic dynamics that lead to heavy-tailed distributions (and power law distributions, in particular) including the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2011-05-09 Ph. Blanchard , T. Krueger , D. Volchenkov