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Epidemic outbreaks of new pathogens, or known pathogens in new populations, cause a great deal of fear because they are hard to predict. For theoretical models of disease spreading, on the other hand, quantities characterizing the outbreak…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-20 Petter Holme , Taro Takaguchi

This manuscript introduces a new analytical approach for studying the time evolution of disease spread on a finite size network. Our methodology can accommodate any disease with a general infectivity profile. This new approach is able to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-05-25 B. Davoudi , B. Pourbohloul

We present a modified \emph{susceptible-infected-susceptible} (SIS) model on complex networks, small-world and scale-free, to study epidemic spreading with the effect of time delay which is introduced to the infected phase. Considering the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Xin-Jian Xu , Hai-Ou Peng , Xiao-Mei Wang , Ying-Hai Wang

This study develops the epidemic hitting time (EHT) metric on graphs measuring the expected time an epidemic starting at node $a$ in a fully susceptible network takes to propagate and reach node $b$. An associated EHT centrality measure is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-12-02 Max Goering , Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Nathan Albin , Caterina Scoglio , Pietro Poggi-Corradini

The evolution of network structure and the spreading of epidemic are common coexistent dynamical processes. In most cases, network structure is treated either static or time-varying, supposing the whole network is observed in a same time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-23 Yanjun Lei , Xin Jiang , Quantong Guo , Yifang Ma , Meng Li , Zhiming Zheng

Many complex systems can be modeled by temporal networks, whose organization often evolves through distinct structural phases. Detecting the change points that delimit these phases is both important and challenging. In this work, we extend…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Samuel Koovely , Alexandre Bovet

Understanding how information, diseases, or influence spread across networks is a fundamental challenge in complex systems. While network diameter has been extensively studied in static networks, its definition and behavior in temporal…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Zahra Farahi , Ali Kamandi , Ali Moeini

In epidemic modeling, the term infection strength indicates the ratio of infection rate and cure rate. If the infection strength is higher than a certain threshold -- which we define as the epidemic threshold - then the epidemic spreads…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-12-19 Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Caterina Scoglio , Fahmida N. Chowdhury

Compartmental epidemic models with dynamics that evolve over a graph network have gained considerable importance in recent years but analysis of these models is in general difficult due to their complexity. In this paper, we develop two…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-31 Sei Zhen Khong , Lanlan Su

Adaptively monitoring the states of nodes in a large complex network is of interest in domains such as national security, public health, and energy grid management. Here, we present an information theoretic adaptive tracking and sampling…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-07-12 Patrick L Harrington , Alfred O. Hero

We study some simple models of disease transmission on small-world networks, in which either the probability of infection by a disease or the probability of its transmission is varied, or both. The resulting models display epidemic behavior…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Cristopher Moore , M. E. J. Newman

Epidemic spreading of infectious diseases is ubiquitous and has often considerable impact on public health and economic wealth. The large variability in spatio-temporal patterns of epidemics prohibits simple interventions and demands for a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-11-25 Christel Kamp

It has been known that epidemic outbreaks in the SIR model on networks are described by phase transitions. Despite the similarity with percolation transitions, whether an epidemic outbreak occurs or not cannot be predicted with probability…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-03-27 Junya Iwai , Shin-ichi Sasa

Threshold based models have been widely used in characterizing collective behavior on social networks. An individual's threshold indicates the minimum level of influence that must be exerted, by other members of the population engaged in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-05-29 Srinivasan Venkatramanan , Anurag Kumar

Wireless networks are commonly used in public spaces, universities and public institutions and provide accurate and easily accessible information to monitor the mobility and behavior of users. Following the application of containment…

Understanding individual decisions in a world where communications and information move instantly via cell phones and the internet, contributes to the development and implementation of policies aimed at stopping or ameliorating the spread…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-31 Asma Azizi , Cesar Montalvo , Baltazar Espinoza , Yun Kang , Carlos Castillo-Chavez

Global transport and communication networks enable information, ideas and infectious diseases now to spread at speeds far beyond what has historically been possible. To effectively monitor, design, or intervene in such epidemic-like…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-13 Sam Moore , Tim Rogers

One of the popular dynamics on complex networks is the epidemic spreading. An epidemic model describes how infections spread throughout a network. Among the compartmental models used to describe epidemics, the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-07-14 Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Caterina Scoglio

We consider an infectious disease spreading along the edges of a network which may have significant clustering. The individuals in the population have heterogeneous infectiousness and/or susceptibility. We define the out-transmissibility of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-05-01 Joel C. Miller

This letter investigates the multiple routes transmitted epidemic process on multiplex networks. We propose detailed theoretical analysis that allows us to accurately calculate the epidemic threshold and outbreak size. It is found that the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-06-18 Dawei Zhao , Lixiang Li , Haipeng Peng , Qun Luo , Yixian Yang
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