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Related papers: News-sentiment networks as a risk indicator

200 papers

In an increasingly connected global market, news sentiment towards one company may not only indicate its own market performance, but can also be associated with a broader movement on the sentiment and performance of other companies from the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Xingchen Wan , Jie Yang , Slavi Marinov , Jan-Peter Calliess , Stefan Zohren , Xiaowen Dong

In this study, we propose a novel machine-learning-based measure for stock price crash risk, utilizing the minimum covariance determinant methodology. Employing this newly introduced dependent variable, we predict stock price crash risk…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-23 Abdullah Karasan , Ozge Sezgin Alp , Gerhard-Wilhelm Weber

Analyzing stocks and making higher accurate predictions on where the price is heading continues to become more and more challenging therefore, we designed a new financial algorithm that leverages social media sentiment analysis to enhance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 SriVarsha Mulakala , Umesh Vangapally , Benjamin Larkey , Aidan Henrichs , Corey Wojslaw

Stock market forecasting is very important in the planning of business activities. Stock price prediction has attracted many researchers in multiple disciplines including computer science, statistics, economics, finance, and operations…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Dev Shah , Haruna Isah , Farhana Zulkernine

The new digital revolution of big data is deeply changing our capability of understanding society and forecasting the outcome of many social and economic systems. Unfortunately, information can be very heterogeneous in the importance,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-16 Gabriele Ranco , Ilaria Bordino , Giacomo Bormetti , Guido Caldarelli , Fabrizio Lillo , Michele Treccani

Sentiment-based stock prediction systems aim to explore sentiment or event signals from online corpora and attempt to relate the signals to stock price variations. Both the feature-based and neural-networks-based approaches have delivered…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Yue Zhou , Kerstin Voigt

The financial industry poses great challenges with risk modeling and profit generation. These entities are intricately tied to the sophisticated prediction of stock movements. A stock forecaster must untangle the randomness and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-14 Luke Sanborn , Matthew Sahagun

Accurate prediction of stock market trends is crucial for informed investment decisions and effective portfolio management, ultimately leading to enhanced wealth creation and risk mitigation. This study proposes a novel approach for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Lida Shahbandari , Elahe Moradi , Mohammad Manthouri

Prediction and quantification of future volatility and returns play an important role in financial modelling, both in portfolio optimization and risk management. Natural language processing today allows to process news and social media…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-14 Justina Deveikyte , Helyette Geman , Carlo Piccari , Alessandro Provetti

A stock market is considered as one of the highly complex systems, which consists of many components whose prices move up and down without having a clear pattern. The complex nature of a stock market challenges us on making a reliable…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-09-27 Minjun Kim , Hiroki Sayama

Predicting future prices of a stock is an arduous task to perform. However, incorporating additional elements can significantly improve our predictions, rather than relying solely on a stock's historical price data to forecast its future…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-21 S. Srinivas , R. Gadela , R. Sabu , A. Das , G. Nath , V. Datla

Predicting stock market movements is a well-known problem of interest. Now-a-days social media is perfectly representing the public sentiment and opinion about current events. Especially, twitter has attracted a lot of attention from…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2016-10-31 Venkata Sasank Pagolu , Kamal Nayan Reddy Challa , Ganapati Panda , Babita Majhi

The Web is a vast virtual space where people can share their opinions, impacting all aspects of life and having implications for marketing and communication. The most up-to-date and comprehensive information can be found on social media…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-15 Melvin Mokhtari , Ali Seraj , Niloufar Saeedi , Adel Karshenas

This paper proposed a method for stock prediction. In terms of feature extraction, we extract the features of stock-related news besides stock prices. We first select some seed words based on experience which are the symbols of good news…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-25 Zeya Zhang , Weizheng Chen , Hongfei Yan

This study looks into employees' communication, offering novel metrics which can help to predict a company's stock price. We studied the intranet forum of a large Italian company, exploring the interactions and the use of language of about…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-05-26 A. Fronzetti Colladon , G. Scettri

An increase in the novelty of news predicts negative stock market returns and negative macroeconomic outcomes over the next year. We quantify news novelty - changes in the distribution of news text - through an entropy measure, calculated…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-12 Paul Glasserman , Harry Mamaysky , Jimmy Qin

This paper introduces a new risk-on risk-off strategy for the stock market, which combines a financial stress indicator with a sentiment analysis done by ChatGPT reading and interpreting Bloomberg daily market summaries. Forecasts of market…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-02 Baptiste Lefort , Eric Benhamou , Jean-Jacques Ohana , David Saltiel , Beatrice Guez , Thomas Jacquot

This study examines how positive and negative news about firms is associated with stock prices and whether these associations extend to firms' suppliers and clients connected through supply chain relationships, using large samples of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-01-15 Hiroyasu Inoue , Yasuyuki Todo

This paper examines the pricing of short-term and long-term dynamic network risk in the cross-section of stock returns. Stocks with high sensitivities to dynamic network risk earn lower returns. We rationalize our finding with economic…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-14 Jozef Barunik , Michael Ellington

Stock prices are driven by various factors. In particular, many individual investors who have relatively little financial knowledge rely heavily on the information from news stories when making investment decisions in the stock market.…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-09-04 EunJeong Hwang , Yong-Hyuk Kim
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