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Due to the interconnectedness of financial entities, estimating certain key properties of a complex financial system (e.g. the implied level of systemic risk) requires detailed information about the structure of the underlying network.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-08 Federica Parisi , Tiziano Squartini , Diego Garlaschelli

Q($\sigma$) is a recently proposed temporal-difference learning method that interpolates between learning from expected backups and sampled backups. It has been shown that intermediate values for the interpolation parameter $\sigma \in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Brett Daley , Isaac Chan

A refinement of Bennett's inequality is introduced which is strictly tighter than the classical bound. The new bound establishes the convergence of the average of independent random variables to its expected value. It also carefully…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Tony Jebara

Using a probabilistic approach, we derive some interesting combinatorial identities involving gamma and beta functions. These results generalize certain well-known combinatorial identities involving binomial coefficients and special…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Palaniappan Vellaisamy , Puja Pandey

The Bayes factor, the data-based updating factor of the prior to posterior odds of two hypotheses, is a natural measure of statistical evidence for one hypothesis over the other. We show how Bayes factors can also be used for parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-09 Samuel Pawel

We introduce a simple and tractable methodology for estimating semiparametric conditional latent factor models. Our approach disentangles the roles of characteristics in capturing factor betas of asset returns from ``alpha.'' We construct…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-29 Qihui Chen , Nikolai Roussanov , Xiaoliang Wang

Errors in variables (Deming) regression of measurements spanning a wide range of values requires appropriate weighting to reflect nonconstant variance. Precision profile models, mathematical relationships between measurement variance and…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-06 Douglas M Hawkins , Jessica J Kraker

Uplift modeling estimates the causal effect of an intervention as the difference between potential outcomes under treatment and control, whereas counterfactual identification aims to recover the joint distribution of these potential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-10 Théo Verhelst , Gianluca Bontempi

New versions of the set-valued average value at risk for multivariate risks are introduced by generalizing the well-known certainty equivalent representation to the set-valued case. The first "regulator" version is independent from any…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-22 Andreas H. Hamel , Birgit Rudloff , Mihaela Yankova

We derive formulas for the performance of capital assets in continuous time from an efficient market hypothesis, with no stochastic assumptions and no assumptions about the beliefs or preferences of investors. Our efficient market…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-06 Vladimir Vovk , Glenn Shafer

One of the significant problems associated with imbalanced data classification is the lack of reliable metrics. This runs primarily from the fact that for most real-life (as well as commonly used benchmark) problems, we do not have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Szymon Wojciechowski , Michał Woźniak

The beta regression model is a useful framework to model response variables that are rates or proportions, that is to say, response variables which are continuous and restricted to the interval (0,1). As with any other regression model,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-27 Luis Firinguetti , Manuel González-Navarrete , Romer Machaca-Aguilar

This article proposes a new method for the estimation of the parameters of a simple linear regression model which accounts for the role of co-moments in non-Gaussian distributions being based on the minimization of a quartic loss function.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-18 Giuseppe arbia

Although several models have been proposed towards assisting machine learning (ML) tasks with quantum computers, a direct comparison of the expressive power and efficiency of classical versus quantum models for datasets originating from…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-01-09 Javier Alcazar , Vicente Leyton-Ortega , Alejandro Perdomo-Ortiz

This paper studies a class of rank-based inequality measures built from linear combinations of expected order statistics. The proposed framework unifies several well-known indices, including the classical Gini coefficient, the $m$th Gini…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Roberto Vila , Helton Saulo

Weighted Model Integration (WMI) is a popular formalism aimed at unifying approaches for probabilistic inference in hybrid domains, involving logical and algebraic constraints. Despite a considerable amount of recent work, allowing WMI…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-06-29 Giuseppe Spallitta , Gabriele Masina , Paolo Morettin , Andrea Passerini , Roberto Sebastiani

This paper represents an extended version of an earlier note [10]. The concept of weighted entropy takes into account values of different outcomes, i.e., makes entropy context-dependent, through the weight function. We analyse analogs of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-31 Mark Kelbert , Izabella Stuhl , Yuri Suhov

Both classical and respectively quantum observables can be modeled as somewhat similar examples of random variables. In such a model the associated measurements preserve the values spectrum of an observable but change the corresponding…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-03-20 S. Dumitru , A. Boer

Consider a linear regression model with n-dimensional response vector, regression parameter \beta = (\beta_1, ..., \beta_p) and independent and identically N(0, \sigma^2) distributed errors. Suppose that the parameter of interest is \theta…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-18 Paul Kabaila , Khageswor Giri

Beta-binomial/Poisson models have been used by many authors to model multivariate count data. Lora and Singer (Statistics in Medicine, 2008) extended such models to accommodate repeated multivariate count data with overdipersion in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-03-08 Mayra Ivanoff Lora , Julio M Singer
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