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Undirected graphical models are applied in genomics, protein structure prediction, and neuroscience to identify sparse interactions that underlie discrete data. Although Bayesian methods for inference would be favorable in these contexts,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-15 John Ingraham , Debora Marks

In this work we develop an effective Monte Carlo method for estimating sensitivities, or gradients of expectations of sufficiently smooth functionals, of a reflected diffusion in a convex polyhedral domain with respect to its defining…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-01 David Lipshutz , Kavita Ramanan

This paper studies the original discrete-time denoising diffusion probabilistic model (DDPM) from a probabilistic point of view. We present three main theoretical results. First, we show that the time-dependent score function associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Yumiharu Nakano

Structured additive distributional regression models offer a versatile framework for estimating complete conditional distributions by relating all parameters of a parametric distribution to covariates. Although these models efficiently…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-14 Jana Kleinemeier , Nadja Klein

Error bounds are derived for sampling and estimation using a discretization of an intrinsically defined Langevin diffusion with invariant measure $\text{d}\mu_\phi \propto e^{-\phi} \mathrm{dvol}_g $ on a compact Riemannian manifold. Two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-10 Karthik Bharath , Alexander Lewis , Akash Sharma , Michael V Tretyakov

Given a sample from a discretely observed L\'evy process $X=(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ of the finite jump activity, the problem of nonparametric estimation of the L\'evy density $\rho$ corresponding to the process $X$ is studied. An estimator of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Shota Gugushvili

In this paper, an alternative approximation to the innovation method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from partial and noisy observations. This is based on a convergent approximation to the first two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-19 J. C. Jimenez

High-dimensional vector autoregression with measurement error is frequently encountered in a large variety of scientific and business applications. In this article, we study statistical inference of the transition matrix under this model.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-18 Xiang Lyu , Jian Kang , Lexin Li

As a simplified model for subsurface flows elliptic equations may be utilized. Insufficient measurements or uncertainty in those are commonly modeled by a random coefficient, which then accounts for the uncertain permeability of a given…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-02-07 Andrea Barth , Andreas Stein

We consider the gamma process perturbed by a Brownian motion (independent of the gamma process) as a degradation model. Parameters estimation is studied here. We assume that $n$ independent items are observed at irregular instants. From…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-16 Laurent Bordes , Christian Paroissin , Ali Salami

While diffusion models can successfully generate data and make predictions, they are predominantly designed for static images. We propose an approach for efficiently training diffusion models for probabilistic spatiotemporal forecasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Salva Rühling Cachay , Bo Zhao , Hailey Joren , Rose Yu

In this paper a concentration inequality is proved for the deviation in the ergodic theorem in the case of discrete time observations of diffusion processes. The proof is based on the geometric ergodicity property for diffusion processes.…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-16 Leonid Galtchouk , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

Let $(X_t)$ be a reflected diffusion process in a bounded convex domain in $\mathbb R^d$, solving the stochastic differential equation $$dX_t = \nabla f(X_t) dt + \sqrt{2f (X_t)} dW_t, ~t \ge 0,$$ with $W_t$ a $d$-dimensional Brownian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Richard Nickl

Consider discrete time observations (X_{\ell\delta})_{1\leq \ell \leq n+1}$ of the process $X$ satisfying $dX_t= \sqrt{V_t} dB_t$, with $V_t$ a one-dimensional positive diffusion process independent of the Brownian motion $B$. For both the…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-12-25 Fabienne Comte , Valentine Genon-Catalot , Yves Rozenholc

Data attribution for generative models seeks to quantify the influence of individual training examples on model outputs. Existing methods for diffusion models typically require access to model gradients or retraining, limiting their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Yutian Zhao , Chao Du , Xiaosen Zheng , Tianyu Pang , Min Lin

We consider a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimate the diffusion coefficient of a stochastic differential equation given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval. As a prior on the diffusion coefficient, we employ a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-22 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

Penalized estimation methods for diffusion processes and dependent data have recently gained significant attention due to their effectiveness in handling high-dimensional stochastic systems. In this work, we introduce an adaptive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Alessandro De Gregorio , Dario Frisardi , Francesco Iafrate , Stefano Iacus

Diffusion models over discrete spaces have recently shown striking empirical success, yet their theoretical foundations remain incomplete. In this paper, we study the sampling efficiency of score-based discrete diffusion models under a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Daniil Dmitriev , Zhihan Huang , Yuting Wei

Score-based modeling through stochastic differential equations (SDEs) has provided a new perspective on diffusion models, and demonstrated superior performance on continuous data. However, the gradient of the log-likelihood function, i.e.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Haoran Sun , Lijun Yu , Bo Dai , Dale Schuurmans , Hanjun Dai

In various practical situations, we encounter data from stochastic processes which can be efficiently modelled by an appropriate parametric model for subsequent statistical analyses. Unfortunately, the most common estimation and inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Rohan Hore , Abhik Ghosh