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Folding uncertainty in theoretical models into Bayesian parameter estimation is necessary in order to make reliable inferences. A general means of achieving this is by marginalizing over model uncertainty using a prior distribution…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2016-03-04 Christopher J. Moore , Christopher P. L. Berry , Alvin J. K. Chua , Jonathan R. Gair

With the improvement in sensitivity of gravitational wave (GW) detectors and the increasing diversity of GW sources, there is a strong need for accurate GW waveform models for data analysis. While the current model accuracy assessments…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2022-08-22 Qian Hu , John Veitch

The accuracy of Bayesian inference can be negatively affected by the use of inaccurate forward models. In the case of gravitational-wave inference, accurate but computationally expensive waveform models are sometimes substituted with faster…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-04-02 Miaoxin Liu , Xiao-Dong Li , Alvin J. K. Chua

Numerical simulations of merging black hole binaries produce the most accurate gravitational waveforms. The availability of hundreds of these numerical relativity (NR) waveforms, often containing many higher spherical harmonic modes, allows…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2016-11-24 Chad R. Galley , Patricia Schmidt

Gravitational-wave data analysis is rapidly absorbing techniques from deep learning, with a focus on convolutional networks and related methods that treat noisy time series as images. We pursue an alternative approach, in which waveforms…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-05-31 Alvin J. K. Chua , Chad R. Galley , Michele Vallisneri

Gravitational-wave analyses depend heavily on waveforms that model the evolution of compact binary coalescences as seen by observing detectors. In many cases these waveforms are given by waveform approximants, models that approximate the…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-10-11 Quirijn Meijer , Sarah Caudill

Posterior distributions on parameters computed from experimental data using Bayesian techniques are only as accurate as the models used to construct them. In many applications these models are incomplete, which both reduces the prospects of…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-06-23 Christopher J. Moore , Jonathan R. Gair

In this article, we consider the general task of performing Gaussian process regression (GPR) on pointwise observations of solutions of the 3 dimensional homogeneous free space wave equation.In a recent article, we obtained promising…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-11-10 Iain Henderson , Pascal Noble , Olivier Roustant

Numerical relativity (NR) enables the study of physics in strong and dynamical gravitational fields and provides predictions for the gravitational-wave signals produced by merging black holes. Despite the impressive accuracy of modern…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-10-15 Richard Dyer , Christopher J. Moore

Gravitational wave astrophysics relies heavily on the use of matched filtering both to detect signals in noisy data from detectors, and to perform parameter estimation on those signals. Matched filtering relies upon prior knowledge of the…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2020-03-18 Daniel Williams , Ik Siong Heng , Jonathan Gair , James A Clark , Bhavesh Khamesra

Accurate parameter estimation of gravitational waves from coalescing compact binary sources is a key requirement for gravitational-wave astronomy. Evaluating the posterior probability density function of the binary's parameters (component…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2015-06-12 R. J. E. Smith , K. Cannon , C. Hanna , D. Keppel , I. Mandel

Gaussian processes (GPs) have gained popularity as flexible machine learning models for regression and function approximation with an in-built method for uncertainty quantification. However, GPs suffer when the amount of training data is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-26 Jonas Latz , Aretha L. Teckentrup , Simon Urbainczyk

Data analysis of gravitational waves detected by the Ligo-Virgo-Kagra collaboration and future observatories relies on precise modelling of the sources. In order to build, calibrate and validate current models, we resort to expensive…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-02-22 Tomas Andrade , Rossella Gamba , Juan Trenado

Gaussian process regression (GPR) is a non-parametric Bayesian technique for interpolating or fitting data. The main barrier to further uptake of this powerful tool rests in the computational costs associated with the matrices which arise…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-16 Christopher J. Moore , Alvin J. K. Chua , Christopher P. L. Berry , Jonathan R. Gair

Matched-filter based gravitational-wave search pipelines identify candidate events within seconds of their arrival on Earth, offering a chance to guide electromagnetic follow-up and observe multi-messenger events. Understanding the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-14 Ryan Magee , Richard George , Alvin Li , Ritwik Sharma

Gravitational-wave astronomy of compact binaries relies on theoretical models of the gravitational-wave signal that is emitted as binaries coalesce. These models do not only need to be accurate, they also have to be fast to evaluate in…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-03-04 Yoshinta Setyawati , Michael Pürrer , Frank Ohme

We formulate a reduced-order strategy for efficiently forecasting complex high-dimensional dynamical systems entirely based on data streams. The first step of our method involves reconstructing the dynamics in a reduced-order subspace of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-03-08 Zhong Yi Wan , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

Reconstructing scalar fields from error-embedded gradient measurements is a fundamental linear inverse problem with broad applications in computational physics. Conventional approaches, such as Poisson-based solvers and the Green's Function…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-26 Zejian You , Mohamed Amine Abassi , Xiaofeng Liu , Qi Wang

We present an introduction to some of the state of the art in reduced order and surrogate modeling in gravitational wave (GW) science. Approaches that we cover include Principal Component Analysis, Proper Orthogonal Decomposition, the…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2022-05-04 Manuel Tiglio , Aarón Villanueva

The determination of the physical parameters of gravitational wave events is a fundamental pillar in the analysis of the signals observed by the current ground-based interferometers. Typically, this is done using Bayesian inference…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2023-11-07 M. Andrés-Carcasona , M. Martinez , Ll. M. Mir
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