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We establish a comprehensive sample path large deviation principle (LDP) for log-processes associated with multivariate time-inhomogeneous stochastic volatility models. Examples of models for which the new LDP holds include Gaussian models,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Archil Gulisashvili

We derive a large deviation principle for random permutations induced by probability measures of the unit square, called permutons. These permutations are called $\mu$-random permutations. We also introduce and study a new general class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Jacopo Borga , Sayan Das , Sumit Mukherjee , Peter Winkler

We derive a large deviation principle for families of random variables in the basin of attraction of spectrally positive stable distributions by proving a uniform version of the Tauberian theorem for Laplace-Stieltjes transforms. The main…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-25 Giampaolo Cristadoro , Gaia Pozzoli

In this paper we introduce a topology under which the pair empirical measure of a large class of random walks satisfies a strong Large Deviation principle. The definition of the topology is inspired by the recent article by Mukherjee and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Dirk Erhard , Julien Poisat

For Markov processes evolving on multiple time-scales a combination of large component scalings and averaging of rapid fluctuations can lead to useful limits for model approximation. A general approach to proving a law of large numbers to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Lea Popovic

We establish a large deviation theorem for the empirical spectral distribution of random covariance matrices whose entries are independent random variables with mean 0, variance 1 and having controlled forth moments. Some new properties of…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2017-07-25 Tien-Cuong Dinh , Duc-Viet Vu

Motivated by empirical evidence from the joint behavior of realized volatility time series, we propose to model the joint dynamics of log-volatilities using a multivariate fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. This model is a multivariate…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-19 Ranieri Dugo , Giacomo Giorgio , Paolo Pigato

The research presented in this article provides an alternative option pricing approach for a class of rough fractional stochastic volatility models. These models are increasingly popular between academics and practitioners due to their…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-02 Raul Merino , Jan Pospíšil , Tomáš Sobotka , Tommi Sottinen , Josep Vives

We propose a quasi maximum likelihood estimation method for Bergomi-type stochastic volatility models with parametrized kernels, focusing on the estimation of the kernel parameters from high-frequency time-series observations of option…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Masaaki Fukasawa , Haruki Tomita

In this paper, we develop a general rough volatility model for commodities that provides an automatic calibration of the initial term structure of the futures prices and an appropriate treatment of the Samuelson effect. After the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-30 Roberto Daluiso , Héctor Folgar-Cameán , Andrea Pallavicini , Carlos Vázquez

Volatility of intra-day stock market indices computed at various time horizons exhibits a scaling behaviour that differs from what would be expected from fractional Brownian motion (fBm). We investigate this anomalous scaling by using…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-17 Noemi Nava , T. Di Matteo , Tomaso Aste

The large deviations at 'Level 2.5 in time' for time-dependent ensemble-empirical-observables, introduced by C. Maes, K. Netocny and B. Wynants [Markov Proc. Rel. Fields. 14, 445 (2008)] for the case of $N$ independent Markov jump…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-12 Cecile Monthus

Borgs, Chayes, Gaudio, Petti and Sen [arXiv:2007.14508] proved a large deviation principle for block model random graphs with rational block ratios. We strengthen their result by allowing any block ratios (and also establish a simpler…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-27 Jan Grebík , Oleg Pikhurko

Diffusion processes driven by Fractional Brownian motion (FBM) have often been considered in modeling stock price dynamics in order to capture the long range dependence of stock price observed in reality. Option prices for such models had…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-29 Ananya Lahiri , Rituparna Sen

Extensive time-series encoding the position of particles such as viruses, vesicles, or individual proteins are routinely garnered in single-particle tracking experiments or supercomputing studies. They contain vital clues on how viruses…

An introduction to numerical large-deviation sampling is provided. First, direct biasing with a known distribution is explained. As simple example, the Bernoulli experiment is used throughout the text. Next, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-10-01 Alexander K. Hartmann

Let $X$ be a L\'evy process with regularly varying L\'evy measure $\nu$. We obtain sample-path large deviations for scaled processes $\bar X_n(t) \triangleq X(nt)/n$ and obtain a similar result for random walks. Our results yield detailed…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Chang-Han Rhee , Jose Blanchet , Bert Zwart

We investigate the random walk of prices by developing a simple model relating the properties of the signs and absolute values of individual price changes to the diffusion rate (volatility) of prices at longer time scales. We show that this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Gabriele La Spada , J. Doyne Farmer , Fabrizio Lillo

Techniques from deep learning play a more and more important role for the important task of calibration of financial models. The pioneering paper by Hernandez [Risk, 2017] was a catalyst for resurfacing interest in research in this area. In…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-26 Christian Bayer , Blanka Horvath , Aitor Muguruza , Benjamin Stemper , Mehdi Tomas

Consider a random walk in a time-dependent random environment on the lattice Zd. Recently, Rassoul-Agha, Seppalainen and Yilmaz [RSY11] proved a general large deviation principle under mild ergodicity assumptions on the random environment…