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Bayesian inference provides a principled way of estimating the parameters of a stochastic process that is observed discretely in time. The overdamped Brownian motion of a particle confined in an optical trap is generally modelled by the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-02-01 Sudipta Bera , Shuvojit Paul , Rajesh Singh , Dipanjan Ghosh , Avijit Kundu , Ayan Banerjee , R. Adhikari

This paper addresses the problem of estimating drift parameter of the Ornstein - Uhlenbeck type process, driven by the sum of independent standard and fractional Brownian motions. The maximum likelihood estimator is shown to be consistent…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-03 Pavel Chigansky , Marina Kleptsyna

Starting from the notion of multivariate fractional Brownian Motion introduced in [F. Lavancier, A. Philippe, and D. Surgailis. Covariance function of vector self-similar processes. Statistics & Probability Letters, 2009] we define a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Ranieri Dugo , Giacomo Giorgio , Paolo Pigato

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is interpreted as Brownian motion in a harmonic potential. This Gaussian Markov process has a bounded variance and admits a stationary probability distribution, in contrast to the standard Brownian motion. It…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-06-07 Pece Trajanovski , Petar Jolakoski , Kiril Zelenkovski , Alexander Iomin , Ljupco Kocarev , Trifce Sandev

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process can be seen as a paradigm of a finite-variance and statistically stationary rough random walk. Furthermore, it is defined as the unique solution of a Markovian stochastic dynamics and shares the same local…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Laurent Chevillard , Marc Lagoin , Stephane G. Roux

In this paper, we investigate the parameter estimation for threshold Ornstein$\mathit{-}$Uhlenbeck processes. Least squares method is used to obtain continuous-type and discrete-type estimators for the drift parameters based on continuous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-28 Yuecai Han , Dingwen Zhang

We consider the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, a stochastic process widely used in finance, physics, and biology. Parameter estimation of the OU process is a challenging problem. Thus, we review traditional tracking methods and compare…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-24 Jacob Fein-Ashley

In this article, we develop a Bayesian approach to estimate parameters from time traces that originate from an overdamped Brownian particle in a harmonic potential, or Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process (OU). We show that least-square fitting the…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2020-01-08 Helmut H. Strey

We introduce the elliptical Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, which is a generalisation of the well-known univariate OU process to bivariate time series. This process maps out elliptical stochastic oscillations over time in the complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-08 Adam M. Sykulski , Sofia C. Olhede , Hanna M. Sykulska-Lawrence

We consider a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process involving a stochastic forcing term in the drift, as a solution of a linear stochastic differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion. For such process we specify mean and…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-25 Giacomo Ascione , Yuliya Mishura , Enrica Pirozzi

In the present paper we consider the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process of the second kind defined as solution to the equation $dX_{t} = -\alpha X_{t}dt+dY_{t}^{(1)}, \ \ X_{0}=0$, where $Y_{t}^{(1)}:=\int_{0}^{t}e^{-s}dB^H_{a_{s}}$ with…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Maoudo Faramba Balde , Rachid Belfadli , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy

Among all generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes which sample the same invariant measure and for which the same amount of randomness (a $N$-dimensional Brownian motion) is injected in the system, we prove that the asymptotic rate of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-07 Arnaud Guillin , Pierre Monmarché

Complex Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes have various applications in statistical modelling. They play role e.g. in the description of the motion of a charged test particle in a constant magnetic field or in the study of rotating waves in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-13 Sándor Baran , Csilla Szák-Kocsis , Milan Stehlík

I introduce a general, Bayesian method for modelling univariate time series data assumed to be drawn from a continuous, stochastic process. The method accommodates arbitrary temporal sampling, and takes into account measurement…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2012-10-24 C. A. L. Bailer-Jones

We study the problem of parameter estimation for the homogenization limit of multiscale systems involving fractional dynamics. In the case of stochastic multiscale systems driven by Brownian motion, it has been shown that in order for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-14 Pablo Ramses Alonso-Martin , Horatio Boedihardjo , Anastasia Papavasiliou

We refer by threshold Ornstein-Uhlenbeck to a continuous-time threshold autoregressive process. It follows the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck dynamics when above or below a fixed level, yet at this level (threshold) its coefficients can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-07 Sara Mazzonetto , Paolo Pigato

We examine a mean-reverting Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process that perturbs an unknown Lipschitz-continuous drift and aim to estimate the drift's value at a predetermined time horizon by sampling the path of the process. Due to the time varying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-20 Enrico Bernardi , Alberto Lanconelli , Christopher S. A. Lauria , Berk Tan Perçin

We obtain strong consistency and asymptotic normality of a least squares estimator of the drift coefficient for complex-valued Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes disturbed by fractional noise, extending the result of Y. Hu and D. Nualart,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-27 Yong Chen , Yaozhong Hu , Zhi Wang

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process describes the dynamics of Brownian particles in a confining harmonic potential, thereby constituting the paradigmatic model of overdamped, mean-reverting Langevin dynamics. Despite its widespread…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-16 Luca Cocconi , Henry Alston , Jacopo Romano , Thibault Bertrand

We consider a reflected Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $X$ driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in (0, \frac12) \cup (\frac12, 1)$. Our goal is to estimate an unknown drift parameter $\alpha\in (-\infty,\infty)$ on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-24 Chihoon Lee , Jian Song
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