English
Related papers

Related papers: The tail process revisited

200 papers

There exist two ways of defining regular variation of a time series in a star-shaped metric space: either by the distributions of finite stretches of the series or by viewing the whole series as a single random element in a sequence space.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-03 Johan Segers , Yuwei Zhao , Thomas Meinguet

This paper describes limiting behaviour of tail empirical process associated with long memory stochastic volatility models. We show that such process has dichotomous behaviour, according to an interplay between a Hurst parameter and a tail…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-23 Rafal Kulik , Philippe Soulier

We consider the problem of inference for non-stationary time series with heavy-tailed error distribution. Under a time-varying linear process framework we show that there exists a suitable local approximation by a stationary process with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Fumiya Akashi , Konstantinos Fokianos , Junichi Hirukawa

We investigate a stationary random coefficient autoregressive process. Using renewal type arguments tailor-made for such processes, we show that the stationary distribution has a power-law tail. When the model is normal, we show that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Claudia Kluppelberg , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

We investigate a way of comparing and classifying tails of random variables. Our approach extends the notion of classical indices, such as exponential and moment indices, which are widely used measuring heaviness of tail functions. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-07 Jaakko Lehtomaa

We study how to sample paths of a random walk up to the first time it crosses a fixed barrier, in the setting where the step sizes are iid with negative mean and have a regularly varying right tail. We introduce a desirable property for a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-16 Ton Dieker , Guido Lagos

We study the empirical version of halfspace depths with the objective of establishing a connection between the rates of convergence and the tail behaviour of the corresponding underlying distributions. The intricate interplay between the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Sibsankar Singha , Marie Kratz , Sreekar Vadlamani

We investigate the tail asymptotic behavior of the sojourn time for a large class of centered Gaussian processes $X$, in both continuous- and discrete-time framework. All results obtained here are new for the discrete-time case. In the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-14 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Xiaofan Peng , Zbigniew Michna

We investigate the tail behaviour of the steady state distribution of a stochastic recursion that generalises Lindley's recursion. This recursion arises in queuing systems with dependent interarrival and service times, and includes…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-23 Maria Vlasiou , Zbigniew Palmowski

We consider a change-point test based on the Hill estimator to test for structural changes in the tail index of Long Memory Stochastic Volatility time series. In order to determine the asymptotic distribution of the corresponding test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-05 Annika Betken , Davide Giraudo , Rafał Kulik

The so-called partition function is a sample moment statistic based on blocks of data and it is often used in the context of multifractal processes. It will be shown that its behaviour is strongly influenced by the tail of the distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-02 Danijel Grahovac , Mofei Jia , Nikolai N. Leonenko , Emanuele Taufer

A general framework for the study of regular variation (RV) is that of Polish star-shaped metric spaces, while recent developments in [1] have discussed RV with respect to some properly localised boundedness $\mathcal{B}$ imposing weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-01 Martin Bladt , Enkelejd Hashorva , Georgiy Shevchenko

We consider a class of multiplicative processes which, added with stochastic reset events, give origin to stationary distributions with power-law tails -- ubiquitous in the statistics of social, economic, and ecological systems. Our main…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-26 Damián H. Zanette , Susanna Manrubia

Shapelet-based algorithms are widely used for time series classification because of their ease of interpretation, but they are currently outperformed by recent state-of-the-art approaches. We present a new formulation of time series…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-06-10 Antoine Guillaume , Christel Vrain , Elloumi Wael

Three abilities - the ability to recognize sounds, the ability to visually recognize movement and the ability to keep an upright standing position - can function only with using precise measurements of the short time intervals. Other…

General Physics · Physics 2020-07-28 Michael Rvachov

Quantitative understanding of human behaviors provides elementary comprehension of the complexity of many human-initiated systems. A basic assumption embedded in the previous analyses on human dynamics is that its temporal statistics are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-07-31 Tao Zhou , Xiaopu Han , Binghong Wang

An abstract treatment of Bell inequalities is proposed, in which the parameters characterizing Bell's observable can be times rather than directions. The violation of a Bell inequality might then be taken to mean that a property of a system…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Alexander Afriat

In this paper, we consider certain $\sigma$-finite measures which can be interpreted as the output of a linear filter. We assume that these measures have regularly varying tails and study whether the input to the linear filter must have…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-04 Martin Jacobsen , Thomas Mikosch , Jan Rosiński , Gennady Samorodnitsky

We investigate the application of the Adaptive Multilevel Splitting algorithm for the estimation of tail probabilities of solutions of Stochastic Differential Equations evaluated at a given time, and of associated temporal averages. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-27 Charles-Edouard Bréhier , Tony Lelièvre

The estimation of the extremal dependence structure is spoiled by the impact of the bias, which increases with the number of observations used for the estimation. Already known in the univariate setting, the bias correction procedure is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-03 Anne-Laure Fougères , Laurens de Haan , Cécile Mercadier