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We consider the problem of estimating the covariance matrix of a random signal observed through unknown translations (modeled by cyclic shifts) and corrupted by noise. Solving this problem allows to discover low-rank structures masked by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-11 Boris Landa , Yoel Shkolnisky

In this topical review, we present a brief overview of the different methods and measures to detect the occurrence of critical transitions in complex systems. We start by introducing the mechanisms that trigger critical transitions, and how…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-05 Sandip V. George , Sneha Kachhara , G. Ambika

We consider detecting change points in the correlation structure of streaming data with minimum assumptions posed on the underlying data distribution. Detection statistics are constructed for dense and sparse change settings, based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Jie Gao , Liyan Xie , Zhaoyuan Li

We consider the problem of estimating the factors of a rank-$1$ matrix with i.i.d. Gaussian, rank-$1$ measurements that are nonlinearly transformed and corrupted by noise. Considering two prototypical choices for the nonlinearity, we study…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-02 Kabir Aladin Chandrasekher , Mengqi Lou , Ashwin Pananjady

The quickest change detection problem is considered in the context of monitoring large-scale independent normal distributed data streams with possible changes in some of the means. It is assumed that for each individual local data stream,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-18 Yuan Wang , Yajun Mei

We consider online monitoring of the network event data to detect local changes in a cluster when the affected data stream distribution shifts from one point process to another with different parameters. Specifically, we are interested in…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-26 Rui Zhang , Haoyun Wang , Yao Xie

This paper introduces an approach to multi-stream quickest change detection and fault isolation for unnormalized and score-based statistical models. Traditional optimal algorithms in the quickest change detection literature require explicit…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-07 Wuxia Chen , Sean Moushegian , Vahid Tarokh , Taposh Banerjee

We study a monitoring system in which the distributions of sensors' observations change from a nominal distribution to an abnormal distribution in response to an adversary's presence. The system uses the quickest change detection procedure,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-08 Thirupathaiah Vasantam , Don Towsley , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

In Change point detection task Likelihood Ratio Test (LRT) is sequentially applied in a sliding window procedure. Its high values indicate changes of parametric distribution in the data sequence. Correspondingly LRT values require…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-23 Nazar Buzun , Valeriy Avanesov

This paper considers the problems of detecting a change point and estimating the location in the correlation matrices of a sequence of high-dimensional vectors, where the dimension is large enough to be comparable to the sample size or even…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-07 Zhaoyuan Li , Jie Gao

This paper deals with the problem of estimating the covariance matrix of a series of independent multivariate observations, in the case where the dimension of each observation is of the same order as the number of observations. Although…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-03 Jianfeng Yao , Abla Kammoun , Jamal Najim

This paper tackles the problem of robust covariance matrix estimation when the data is incomplete. Classical statistical estimation methodologies are usually built upon the Gaussian assumption, whereas existing robust estimation ones assume…

In this paper, we introduce two robust, nonparametric methods for multiple change-point detection in the variability of a multivariate sequence of observations. We demonstrate that changes in ranks generated from data depth functions can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Kelly Ramsay , Shoja'eddin Chenouri

The realization that complex systems such as ecological communities can collapse or shift regimes suddenly and without rapid external forcing poses a serious challenge to our understanding and management of the natural world. The potential…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-30 Carl Boettiger , Noam Ross , Alan Hastings

In this paper, we propose a class of monitoring statistics for a mean shift in a sequence of high-dimensional observations. Inspired by the recent U-statistic based retrospective tests developed by Wang et al.(2019) and Zhang et al.(2020),…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-19 Teng Wu , Runmin Wang , Hao Yan , Xiaofeng Shao

This paper deals with the problem of asymptotically optimal detection of changes in regime-switching stochastic models. We need to divide the whole obtained sample of data into several sub-samples with observations belonging to different…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-25 Boris Brodsky , Boris Darkhovsky

Detecting changes in asset co-movements is of much importance to financial practitioners, with numerous risk management benefits arising from the timely detection of breakdowns in historical correlations. In this article, we propose a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-29 Bryan Lim , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

This paper addresses the problem of quickest change detection (QCD) at two spatially separated locations monitored by a single unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) equipped with a sensor. At any location, the UAV observes i.i.d. data sequentially…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-11 Saqib Abbas , Anurag Kumar , Arpan Chattopadhyay

Binary segmentation, which is sequential in nature is thus far the most widely used method for identifying multiple change points in statistical models. Here we propose a top down methodology called arbitrary segmentation that proceeds in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-12 Abhishek Kaul , Venkata K Jandhyala , Stergios B Fotopoulos

Random-matrix theory is applied to transition-rate matrices in the Pauli master equation. We study the distribution and correlations of eigenvalues, which govern the dynamics of complex stochastic systems. Both the cases of identical and of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-29 Carsten Timm