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Related papers: On the Interval-Based Dose-Finding Designs

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Bayesian adaptive designs have gained popularity in all phases of clinical trials with numerous new developments in the past few decades. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the need to establish evidence for the effectiveness of vaccines,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-08 Shirin Golchi

We propose a frequentist adaptive phase 2 trial design to evaluate the safety and efficacy of three treatment regimens (doses) compared to placebo for four types of helminth (worm) infections. This trial will be carried out in four…

Immunotherapy has transformed cancer treatment, yet its delayed therapeutic effects often lead to non-proportional hazards, rendering many conventional phase II designs underpowered and prone to type I error inflation. To address this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Zhongheng Cai , Haitao Pan

The widespread application of Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques has significantly influenced the development of new therapeutic agents. These computational methods can be used to design and predict the properties of generated…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-08-21 Arthur Cerveira , Frederico Kremer , Darling de Andrade Lourenço , Ulisses B Corrêa

Time-to-event endpoints are central to evaluate treatment efficacy across many disease areas. Many trial protocols include interim analyses within group-sequential designs that control type I error via spending functions or boundary…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Edoardo Ratti , Federico L. Perlino , Stefania Galimberti , Maria G. Valsecchi

Phase I dose-escalation trials constitute the first step in investigating the safety of potentially promising drugs in humans. Conventional methods for phase I dose-escalation trials are based on a single treatment schedule only. More…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-04 Burak Kürsad Günhan , Sebastian Weber , Abdelkader Seroutou , Tim Friede

We consider the optimal design problem for identifying effective dose combinations within drug combination studies where the effect of the combination of two drugs is investigated. Drug combination studies are becoming increasingly…

Clinical trials constitute a critical yet exceptionally challenging and costly stage of drug development (\$2.6B per drug), where protocols are encoded as complex natural language documents, motivating the use of AI systems beyond manual…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Sixue Xing , Kerui Wu , Xuanye Xia , Meng Jiang , Jintai Chen , Tianfan Fu

Design-based simulations - procedures that hold realized outcomes fixed and generate variation by resampling treatment assignment or shocks - are widely used in both methodological and applied work to assess inference procedures. This paper…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-13 Bruno Ferman

Broadening eligibility criteria in cancer trials has been advocated to represent the true patient population more accurately. While the advantages are clear in terms of generalizability and recruitment, novel dose-finding designs are needed…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-12 Rebecca B. Silva , Bin Cheng , Richard D. Carvajal , Shing M. Lee

Oncology dose-finding trials are shifting from identifying the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) to determining the optimal biological dose (OBD), driven by the need for efficient methods that consider both toxicity and efficacy. This is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Hao Sun , Jieqi Tu , Revathi Ananthakrishnan , Eunhee Kim

An important task in drug development is to identify patients, which respond better or worse to an experimental treatment. Identifying predictive covariates, which influence the treatment effect and can be used to define subgroups of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-27 Marius Thomas , Björn Bornkamp , Katja Ickstadt

A common feature of many recent trials evaluating the effects of immunotherapy on survival is that non-proportional hazards can be anticipated at the design stage. This raises the possibility to use a statistical method tailored towards…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-27 Dominic Magirr , José L. Jiménez

We propose a novel Phase I intra-patient dose-escalation design tailored for multi-cycle immunotherapy settings, in which toxicity at a fixed dose level is clinically expected to decrease over successive treatment cycles. This design was…

In developing products for rare diseases, statistical challenges arise due to the limited number of patients available for participation in drug trials and other clinical research. Bayesian adaptive clinical trial designs offer the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-19 Xiao Wu , Yi Xu , Bradley P. Carlin

Regulatory guidance notes the need for caution in the interpretation of confidence intervals (CIs) constructed during and after an adaptive clinical trial. Conventional CIs of the treatment effects are prone to undercoverage (as well as…

Phase I-II cancer clinical trial designs are intended to accelerate drug development. In cases where efficacy cannot be ascertained in a short period of time, it is common to divide the study in two stages: i) a first stage in which dose is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-13 José L. Jiménez , Mourad Tighiouart

An important task in early phase drug development is to identify patients, which respond better or worse to an experimental treatment. While a variety of different subgroup identification methods have been developed for the situation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-22 Marius Thomas , Björn Bornkamp , Heidi Seibold

Practical employment of Bayesian trial designs is still rare. Even if accepted in principle, the regulators have commonly required that such designs be calibrated according to an upper bound for the frequentist type I error rate. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-25 Elja Arjas , Dario Gasbarra

An important tool to evaluate the performance of any design is an optimal benchmark proposed by O'Quigley and others (2002, Biostatistics 3(1), 51-56) that provides an upper bound on the performance of a design under a given scenario. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Pavel Mozgunov , Thomas Jaki , Xavier Paoletti
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