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A control strategy for expert systems is presented which is based on Shafer's Belief theory and the combination rule of Dempster. In contrast to well known strategies it is not sequentially and hypotheses-driven, but parallel and self…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Kerstin Schill , Ernst Poppel , Christoph Zetzsche

By elaborating on the notion of linear belief functions (Dempster 1990; Liu 1996), we propose an elementary approach to knowledge representation for expert systems using linear belief functions. We show how to use basic matrices to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Liping Liu , Catherine Shenoy , Prakash P. Shenoy

This paper discusses an expert system shell that integrates rule-based reasoning and the Dempster-Shafer evidence combination scheme. Domain knowledge is stored as rules with associated belief functions. The reasoning component uses a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Gautam Biswas , Teywansh S. Anand

The main goal of this paper is to describe an axiomatic utility theory for Dempster-Shafer belief function lotteries. The axiomatic framework used is analogous to von Neumann-Morgenstern's utility theory for probabilistic lotteries as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-07-16 Thierry Denoeux , Prakash P. Shenoy

The AGM theory of belief revision has become an important paradigm for investigating rational belief changes. Unfortunately, researchers working in this paradigm have restricted much of their attention to rather simple representations of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Frans Voorbraak

Efficient modeling of uncertain information in real world is still an open issue. Dempster-Shafer evidence theory is one of the most commonly used methods. However, the Dempster-Shafer evidence theory has the assumption that the hypothesis…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-05-14 Yong Deng

Several authors have explained that the likelihood ratio measures the strength of the evidence represented by observations in statistical problems. This idea works fine when the goal is to evaluate the strength of the available evidence for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Paul-Andre Monney

We introduce a logical framework for reasoning about "uncertain interpretations" and investigate two key applications: a new semantics for implication capturing a kind of "meaning entailment", and a conservative notion of "evidentially…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-03-21 Adam Bjorndahl

Stemming from de Finetti's work on finitely additive coherent probabilities, the paradigm of coherence has been applied to many uncertainty calculi in order to remove structural restrictions on the domain of the assessment. Three possible…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-30 Davide Petturiti , Barbara Vantaggi

In this paper, we suggest marrying Dempster-Shafer (DS) theory with Knowledge Representation (KR). Born out of this marriage is the definition of "Dempster-Shafer Belief Bases", abstract data types representing uncertain knowledge that use…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Alessandro Saffiotti

Quantum theory can be viewed as a generalization of classical probability theory, but the analogy as it has been developed so far is not complete. Whereas the manner in which inferences are made in classical probability theory is…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-12-04 M. S. Leifer , R. W. Spekkens

Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence is widely applied to uncertainty modelling and knowledge reasoning because of its advantages in dealing with uncertain information. But some conditions or requirements, such as exclusiveness hypothesis and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-03-16 Xinyang Deng , Wen Jiang

Belief elicitation is ubiquitous in experiments but can distort behavior in the main tasks. We study when, and how, an experimenter can ask for a series of action-dependent belief statistics after a subject chooses an action, while…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-12 Yi-Chun Chen , Ruoyu Wang , Xinhan Zhang

Rule based classifiers that use the presence and absence of key sub-strings to make classification decisions have a natural mechanism for quantifying the uncertainty of their precision. For a binary classifier, the key insight is to treat…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-20 James Nutaro , Ozgur Ozmen

The main result presented in this article is that probability can fundamentally be characterized as a subset of conditional expectation induced by a plausible preorder on random quantities. This is justified by the fact that probability is…

Logic · Mathematics 2024-06-14 Ladislav Mečíř

This is a working paper summarizing results of an ongoing research project whose aim is to uniquely characterize the uncertainty measure for the Dempster-Shafer Theory. A set of intuitive axiomatic requirements is presented, some of their…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 David Harmanec

We investigate a class of methods for selective inference that condition on a selection event. Such methods follow a two-stage process. First, a data-driven (sub)collection of hypotheses is chosen from some large universe of hypotheses.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-09 Jelle Goeman , Aldo Solari

This paper investigates the use of Evidence Theory to enhance the training efficiency of object detection models by incorporating uncertainty into the feedback loop. In each training iteration, during the validation phase, Evidence Theory…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-24 M. Tahasanul Ibrahim , Rifshu Hussain Shaik , Andreas Schwung

Within the framework of evidence theory, the confidence functions of different information can be combined into a combined confidence function to solve uncertain problems. The Dempster combination rule is a classic method of fusing…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-09 Tianxiang Zhan , Fuyuan Xiao

This paper presents a new classifier combination technique based on the Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence. The Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence is a powerful method for combining measures of evidence from different classifiers. However,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-07-04 A. Al-Ani , M. Deriche
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