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This article establishes general conditions for posterior consistency of Bayesian finite mixture models with a prior on the number of components. That is, we provide sufficient conditions under which the posterior concentrates on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-09 Jeffrey W. Miller

Bayesian models that mix multiple Dirichlet prior parameters, called Multi-Dirichlet priors (MD) in this paper, are gaining popularity. Inferring mixing weights and parameters of mixed prior distributions seems tricky, as sums over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-18 Christoph Carl Kling

As for other latent-variable problems, exact Bayesian analysis is typically not practicable for mixture problems and approximate methods have been developed. Variational Bayes tends to produce approximate posterior distributions for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Nils Lid Hjort , Mike Titterington

Inference and estimation are fundamental in statistics, system identification, and machine learning. When prior knowledge about the system is available, Bayesian analysis provides a natural framework for encoding it through a prior…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-29 Yibo Shi , Braghadeesh Lakshminarayanan , Cristian R. Rojas

Finite mixture and Markov-switching models generalize and, therefore, nest specifications featuring only one component. While specifying priors in the two: the general (mixture) model and its special (single-component) case, it may be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-04 Łukasz Kwiatkowski

Mixture distributions arise in many parametric and non-parametric settings -- for example, in Gaussian mixture models and in non-parametric estimation. It is often necessary to compute the entropy of a mixture, but, in most cases, this…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-11-22 Artemy Kolchinsky , Brendan D. Tracey

This paper proposes an alternative approach for constructing invariant Jeffreys prior distributions tailored for hierarchical or multilevel models. In particular, our proposal is based on a flexible decomposition of the Fisher information…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-29 Thaís C. O. Fonseca , Helio S. Migon , Heudson Mirandola

Variance parameters in additive models are typically assigned independent priors that do not account for model structure. We present a new framework for prior selection based on a hierarchical decomposition of the total variance along a…

Finite mixtures are a flexible modeling tool for irregularly shaped densities and samples from heterogeneous populations. When modeling with mixtures using an exchangeable prior on the component features, the component labels are arbitrary…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-10 Deborah Kunkel , Mario Peruggia

In this paper, we present a novel approach to fitting mixture models based on estimating first the posterior distribution of the auxiliary variables that assign each observation to a group in the mixture. The posterior distributions of the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-29 Virgilio Gomez-Rubio

In this paper, we show how a complete and exact Bayesian analysis of a parametric mixture model is possible in some cases when components of the mixture are taken from exponential families and when conjugate priors are used. This restricted…

Computation · Statistics 2010-11-01 Christian P. Robert , Kerrie L. Mengersen

Predictive recursion is an accurate and computationally efficient algorithm for nonparametric estimation of mixing densities in mixture models. In semiparametric mixture models, however, the algorithm fails to account for any uncertainty in…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-19 Ryan Martin , Surya T. Tokdar

For many years it was routine to use equal model prior probabilities in Bayesian model uncertainty analysis. At least twenty years ago it became clear that this was problematic, leading to support of much too large models in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-23 James Berger , Gonzalo García-Donato , Elías Moreno , Luis Pericchi

In Bayesian statistics, the choice of the prior can have an important influence on the posterior and the parameter estimation, especially when few data samples are available. To limit the added subjectivity from a priori information, one…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-05 Nils Baillie , Antoine Van Biesbroeck , Clément Gauchy

In Bayesian inference for mixture models with an unknown number of components, a finite mixture model is usually employed that assumes prior distributions for mixing weights and the number of components. This model is called a mixture of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-25 Fumiya Iwashige , Shintaro Hashimoto

Informative Bayesian priors are often difficult to elicit, and when this is the case, modelers usually turn to noninformative or objective priors. However, objective priors such as the Jeffreys and reference priors are not tractable to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-08 Eric Nalisnick , Padhraic Smyth

Prior specification for nonparametric Bayesian inference involves the difficult task of quantifying prior knowledge about a parameter of high, often infinite, dimension. Realistically, a statistician is unlikely to have informed opinions…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-01 David C. Kessler , Peter D. Hoff , David B. Dunson

A key sticking point of Bayesian analysis is the choice of prior distribution, and there is a vast literature on potential defaults including uniform priors, Jeffreys' priors, reference priors, maximum entropy priors, and weakly informative…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-22 Andrew Gelman , Daniel Simpson , Michael Betancourt

In Bayesian statistics, the choice of prior distribution is often debatable, especially if prior knowledge is limited or data are scarce. In imprecise probability, sets of priors are used to accurately model and reflect prior knowledge.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-25 Gero Walter , Frank P. A. Coolen

In this paper, we present an innovative method for constructing proper priors for the skewness (shape) parameter in the skew-symmetric family of distributions. The proposed method is based on assigning a prior distribution on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-28 Holger Dette , Christophe Ley , Francisco Javier Rubio