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We consider an RCAR$(p)$ process and we establish that the standard estimation lacks consistency as soon as there exists a nonzero serial correlation in the coefficients. We give the correct asymptotic behavior and some simulations come to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-26 Frédéric Proïa , Marius Soltane

Optimization under uncertainty and risk is indispensable in many practical situations. Our paper addresses stability of optimization problems using composite risk functionals which are subjected to measure perturbations. Our main focus is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-06 Darinka Dentcheva , Yang Lin , Spiridon Penev

We consider a random process as a solution of stochastic differential equations with dependence of the coefficients on small parameter $\varepsilon$ and we suppose that the drift coefficients of these equations are unbounded on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-15 Ivan H. Krykun

We prove a strong approximation result for the empirical process associated to a stationary sequence of real-valued random variables, under dependence conditions involving only indicators of half lines. This strong approximation result also…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-22 Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède , Emmanuel Rio

We propose two new conformity scores for conformal prediction, in a general multivariate regression framework. The underlying score functions are based on a covariance analysis of the residuals and the input points. We give theoretical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-30 Iain Henderson , Adrien Mazoyer , Fabrice Gamboa

In this paper, we study finite-sample properties of the least squares estimator in first order autoregressive processes. By leveraging a result from decoupling theory, we derive upper bounds on the probability that the estimate deviates by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Rodrigo A. González , Cristian R. Rojas

We present some new results on the dynamic regressor extension and mixing parameter estimators for linear regression models recently proposed in the literature. This technique has proven instrumental in the solution of several open problems…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-15 Romeo Ortega , Stanislav Aranovskiy , Anton A. Pyrkin , Alessandro Astolfi , Alexey A. Bobtsov

In this paper, we give a AR$(1)$ type of characterization covering all multivariate strictly stationary processes indexed by the set of integers. Consequently, we derive continuous time algebraic Riccati equations for the parameter matrix…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-05 Marko Voutilainen

This contribution proposes a recursive, computationally efficient, ready-to-use, online method for the ellipsoidal state characterization for linear discrete-time models with additive unknown disturbances vectors (bounded by known possibly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-28 Yasmina Becis-Aubry

It was recently proven that the correlation function of the stationary version of a reflected L\'evy process is nonnegative, nonincreasing and convex. In another branch of the literature it was established that the mean value of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-16 Offer Kella , Michel Mandjes

Stationarity is a very common assumption in time series analysis. A vector autoregressive process is stationary if and only if the roots of its characteristic equation lie outside the unit circle, constraining the autoregressive coefficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-18 Sarah E. Heaps

We study randomized variants of two classical algorithms: coordinate descent for systems of linear equations and iterated projections for systems of linear inequalities. Expanding on a recent randomized iterated projection algorithm of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-06-19 D. Leventhal , A. S. Lewis

An algorithm is proposed, analyzed, and tested for solving continuous nonlinear-equality-constrained optimization problems where the objective and constraint functions are defined by expectations or averages over large, finite numbers of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-14 Frank E. Curtis , Lingjun Guo , Daniel P. Robinson

This paper investigates a partially linear spatial autoregressive panel data model that incorporates fixed effects, constant and time-varying regression coefficients, and a time-varying spatial lag coefficient. A two-stage least squares…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-15 Lingling Tian , Chuanhua Wei , Mixia Wu

The estimation of the covariance function of a stochastic process, or signal, is of integral importance for a multitude of signal processing applications. In this work, we derive closed-form expressions for the variance of covariance…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-05 Filip Elvander , Johan Karlsson

We consider a recursive algorithm to construct an aggregated estimator from a finite number of base decision rules in the classification problem. The estimator approximately minimizes a convex risk functional under the l1-constraint. It is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Anatoli Juditsky , Alexander Nazin , Alexandre Tsybakov , Nicolas Vayatis

We provide novel theoretical results regarding local optima of regularized $M$-estimators, allowing for nonconvexity in both loss and penalty functions. Under restricted strong convexity on the loss and suitable regularity conditions on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-05 Po-Ling Loh , Martin J. Wainwright

We study uniform consistency in nonparametric mixture models as well as closely related mixture of regression (also known as mixed regression) models, where the regression functions are allowed to be nonparametric and the error…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-29 Bryon Aragam , Ruiyi Yang

Point processes are stochastic models generating interacting points or events in time, space, etc. Among characteristics of these models, first-order intensity and conditional intensity functions are often considered. We focus on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-24 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Ismaïla Ba , Achmad Choiruddin

This paper presents an approach for constrained Gaussian Process (GP) regression where we assume that a set of linear transformations of the process are bounded. It is motivated by machine learning applications for high-consequence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-12 Christian Agrell