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Yang et al. (2016) proved that the symmetric random walk Metropolis--Hastings algorithm for Bayesian variable selection is rapidly mixing under mild high-dimensional assumptions. We propose a novel MCMC sampler using an informed proposal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-26 Quan Zhou , Jun Yang , Dootika Vats , Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

We present a general framework for defining priors on model structure and sampling from the posterior using the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. The key idea is that structure priors are defined via a probability tree and that the proposal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Nicos Angelopoulos , James Cussens

One of the most important queries in knowledge compilation is weighted model counting (WMC), which has been applied to probabilistic inference on various models, such as Bayesian networks. In practical situations on inference tasks, the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Kengo Nakamura , Masaaki Nishino , Norihito Yasuda

The emergence and development of cancer is a consequence of the accumulation over time of genomic mutations involving a specific set of genes, which provides the cancer clones with a functional selective advantage. In this work, we model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-10 Daniele Ramazzotti , Marco S. Nobile , Paolo Cazzaniga , Giancarlo Mauri , Marco Antoniotti

We study the problem of sampling high and infinite dimensional target measures arising in applications such as conditioned diffusions and inverse problems. We focus on those that arise from approximating measures on Hilbert spaces defined…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Martin Hairer , Andrew M. Stuart , Sebastian J. Vollmer

Can we make Bayesian posterior MCMC sampling more efficient when faced with very large datasets? We argue that computing the likelihood for N datapoints in the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) test to reach a single binary decision is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-17 Anoop Korattikara , Yutian Chen , Max Welling

The standard approach to Bayesian inference is based on the assumption that the distribution of the data belongs to the chosen model class. However, even a small violation of this assumption can have a large impact on the outcome of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-22 Jeffrey W. Miller , David B. Dunson

This article introduces a Bayesian neural network estimation method for quantile regression assuming an asymmetric Laplace distribution (ALD) for the response variable. It is shown that the posterior distribution for feedforward neural…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-06 Sanket R. Jantre , Shrijita Bhattacharya , Tapabrata Maiti

An important issue in survival analysis is the investigation and the modeling of hazard rates. Within a Bayesian nonparametric framework, a natural and popular approach is to model hazard rates as kernel mixtures with respect to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Pierpaolo De Blasi , Giovanni Peccati , Igor Prünster

Bayesian nonparametric mixture models offer a rich framework for model based clustering. We consider the situation where the kernel of the mixture is available only up to an intractable normalizing constant. In this case, most of the…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-21 Mario Beraha , Riccardo Corradin

Stochastic variational Bayes algorithms have become very popular in the machine learning literature, particularly in the context of nonparametric Bayesian inference. These algorithms replace the true but intractable posterior distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-04 Pedro Regueiro , Abel Rodríguez , Juan Sosa

Developing efficient MCMC algorithms is indispensable in Bayesian inference. In parallel tempering, multiple interacting MCMC chains run to more efficiently explore the state space and improve performance. The multiple chains advance…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-15 A. Marie d'Avigneau , S. S. Singh , L. M. Murray

The pseudo-marginal algorithm is a popular variant of the Metropolis--Hastings scheme which allows us to sample asymptotically from a target probability density $\pi$, when we are only able to estimate an unnormalized version of $\pi$…

Computation · Statistics 2017-07-20 George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet , Michael K. Pitt

We present a two-stage Metropolis-Hastings algorithm for sampling probabilistic models, whose log-likelihood is computationally expensive to evaluate, by using a surrogate Gaussian Process (GP) model. The key feature of the approach, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-29 Alessio Benavoli , Jason Wyse , Arthur White

In this paper we study the Metropolis algorithm in connection with two mean--field spin systems, the so called mean--field Ising model and the Blume--Emery--Griffiths model. In both this examples the naive choice of proposal chain gives…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Bassetti Federico , Leisen Fabrizio

Probability density function estimation with weighted samples is the main foundation of all adaptive importance sampling algorithms. Classically, a target distribution is approximated either by a non-parametric model or within a parametric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-16 Julien Demange-Chryst , François Bachoc , Jérôme Morio , Timothé Krauth

We consider the problem of streaming kernel regression, when the observations arrive sequentially and the goal is to recover the underlying mean function, assumed to belong to an RKHS. The variance of the noise is not assumed to be known.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-03 Audrey Durand , Odalric-Ambrym Maillard , Joelle Pineau

In many applications one is interested to detect certain (known) patterns in the mean of a process with smallest delay. Using an asymptotic framework which allows to capture that feature, we study a class of appropriate sequential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-01 Ansgar Steland

The success of kernel-based learning methods depend on the choice of kernel. Recently, kernel learning methods have been proposed that use data to select the most appropriate kernel, usually by combining a set of base kernels. We introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-12-21 Arash Afkanpour , Csaba Szepesvari , Michael Bowling

Computing the expectation of kernel functions is a ubiquitous task in machine learning, with applications from classical support vector machines to exploiting kernel embeddings of distributions in probabilistic modeling, statistical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Wenzhe Li , Zhe Zeng , Antonio Vergari , Guy Van den Broeck