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Causal discovery outputs a causal structure, represented by a graph, from observed data. For time series data, there is a variety of methods, however, it is difficult to evaluate these on real data as realistic use cases very rarely come…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-31 Søren Wengel Mogensen , Karin Rathsman , Per Nilsson

In our previous study we have presented an approach to studying lead--lag effect in financial markets using information and network theories. Methodology presented there, as well as previous studies using Pearson's correlation for the same…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-21 Paweł Fiedor

We consider the structure learning problem for graphical models that we call loosely connected Markov random fields, in which the number of short paths between any pair of nodes is small, and present a new conditional independence test…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-02-05 Rui Wu , R. Srikant , Jian Ni

Time-limited states characterise many dynamical processes on networks: disease infected individuals recover after some time, people forget news spreading on social networks, or passengers may not wait forever for a connection. These…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-13 Arash Badie-Modiri , Márton Karsai , Mikko Kivelä

The causal connectivity of a network is often inferred to understand the network function. It is arguably acknowledged that the inferred causal connectivity relies on causality measure one applies, and it may differ from the network's…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-20 Zhong-qi K. Tian , Kai Chen , Songting Li , David W. McLaughlin , Douglas Zhou

Granger causality and variants of this concept allow the study of complex dynamical systems as networks constructed from multivariate time series. In this work, a large number of Granger causality measures used to form causality networks…

Computation · Statistics 2020-01-08 Elsa Siggiridou , Christos Koutlis , Alkiviadis Tsimpiris , Dimitris Kugiumtzis

Causal structure learning, also known as causal discovery, aims to estimate causal relationships between variables as a form of a causal directed acyclic graph (DAG) from observational data. One of the major frameworks is the order-based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-18 Kentaro Kanamori , Hirofumi Suzuki , Takuya Takagi

Sparse regression has been a popular approach to perform variable selection and enhance the prediction accuracy and interpretability of the resulting statistical model. Existing approaches focus on offline regularized regression, while the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-03 Shuoguang Yang , Yuhao Yan , Xiuneng Zhu , Qiang Sun

Causal inference permits us to discover covert relationships of various variables in time series. However, in most existing works, the variables mentioned above are the dimensions. The causality between dimensions could be cursory, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-14 Yuanhao Liu , Dehui Du , Zihan Jiang , Anyan Huang , Yiyang Li

Recovering latent structure from count data has received considerable attention in network inference, particularly when one seeks both cross-group interactions and within-group similarity patterns in bipartite networks, which is widely used…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-27 Aoran Zhang , Tianyao Wei , Maria J. Guerrero , César A. Uribe

Links in most real networks often change over time. Such temporality of links encodes the ordering and causality of interactions between nodes and has a profound effect on network dynamics and function. Empirical evidences have shown that…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-07-10 Disheng Tang , Wenbo Du , Louis Shekhtman , Yijie Wang , Shlomo Havlin , Xianbin Cao , Gang Yan

We propose a network structure discovery model for continuous observations that generalizes linear causal models by incorporating a Gaussian process (GP) prior on a network-independent component, and random sparsity and weight matrices as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-01 Amir Dezfouli , Edwin V. Bonilla , Richard Nock

We study the identification of direct and indirect causes on time series and provide conditions in the presence of latent variables, which we prove to be necessary and sufficient under some graph constraints. Our theoretical results and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-23 Atalanti A. Mastakouri , Bernhard Schölkopf , Dominik Janzing

Time-series causal discovery (TSCD) is a fundamental problem of machine learning. However, existing synthetic datasets cannot properly evaluate or predict the algorithms' performance on real data. This study introduces the CausalTime…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-04 Yuxiao Cheng , Ziqian Wang , Tingxiong Xiao , Qin Zhong , Jinli Suo , Kunlun He

Discovering the underlying dynamics of complex systems from data is an important practical topic. Constrained optimization algorithms are widely utilized and lead to many successes. Yet, such purely data-driven methods may bring about…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-17 Nan Chen , Yinling Zhang

We propose a novel machine learning approach for inferring causal variables of a target variable from observations. Our focus is on directly inferring a set of causal factors without requiring full causal graph reconstruction, which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Jang-Hyun Kim , Claudia Skok Gibbs , Sangdoo Yun , Hyun Oh Song , Kyunghyun Cho

Compressed sensing is a scheme that allows for sparse signals to be acquired, transmitted and stored using far fewer measurements than done by conventional means employing Nyquist sampling theorem. Since many naturally occurring signals are…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-29 Aditi Kathpalia , Nithin Nagaraj

Most of the metrics used for detecting a causal relationship among multiple time series ignore the effects of practical measurement impairments, such as finite sample effects, undersampling and measurement noise. It has been shown that…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-03 Rahul Devendra , Ribhu Chopra , Kumar Appaiah

Temporally causal representation learning aims to identify the latent causal process from time series observations, but most methods require the assumption that the latent causal processes do not have instantaneous relations. Although some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Zijian Li , Yifan Shen , Kaitao Zheng , Ruichu Cai , Xiangchen Song , Mingming Gong , Guangyi Chen , Kun Zhang

Causal graph recovery is traditionally done using statistical estimation-based methods or based on individual's knowledge about variables of interests. They often suffer from data collection biases and limitations of individuals' knowledge.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Yuzhe Zhang , Yipeng Zhang , Yidong Gan , Lina Yao , Chen Wang